Ordinary-Outline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

953

Trades

1,910

lifetime

Volume

$3.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 09-30 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 63% +$36

Other

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$11	450	5	+444	No	-$1	06-04 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	09-29 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:30 UTC	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	09-30 01:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 17:50 UTC	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	08-11 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 15:35 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	07-26 15:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:15 UTC	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	09-30 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	09-28 04:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 21:10 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	07-26 21:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:55 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	09-30 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 15:25 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	08-11 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	08-11 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:10 UTC	2	$8	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:55 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	09-30 06:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:15 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	09-29 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:35 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	09-30 02:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:10 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	09-30 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:20 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	09-29 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	09-30 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-30 01:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:00 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	07-27 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 13:30 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-29 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 15:20 UTC	2	$8	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	07-26 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	09-28 04:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:10 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	09-30 08:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:55 UTC	2	$7	8	8	+0	Up	$0	09-29 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:35 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	08-06 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 22:00 UTC	2	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	08-11 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 17:05 UTC	2	$7	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	08-11 17:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 02:10 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	08-12 02:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 00:00 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	08-06 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 08:56:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x723aa2…
09-30 08:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x80fca0…
09-30 08:50:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xaf3b20…
09-30 08:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x95d63f…
09-30 08:46:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xf146a7…
09-30 08:45:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xe7a232…
09-30 08:40:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x5b3aea…
09-30 08:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x10d75a…
09-30 08:36:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x65c5f3…
09-30 08:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe4b687…
09-30 08:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xe2bf70…
09-30 08:19:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x595923…
09-30 08:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x057cd2…
09-30 08:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x74e774…
09-30 08:12:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x750457…
09-30 08:09:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4d0cb4…
09-30 08:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x9c4063…
09-30 07:59:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x9ea58f…
09-30 07:30:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0xe99003…
09-30 07:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0ad074…
09-30 07:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x19f43a…
09-30 07:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x50a226…
09-30 07:20:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xb52440…
09-30 07:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x212a39…
09-30 07:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0xe16fd7…
09-30 07:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbfc6c3…
09-30 06:56:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:55 UTC	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x69e048…
09-30 06:54:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xff721f…
09-30 06:50:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xb806b2…
09-30 06:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x96d225…
09-30 06:30:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x4d07f2…
09-30 06:29:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x031395…
09-30 06:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x19f902…
09-30 06:14:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x425d8d…
09-30 06:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x730cc9…
09-30 06:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xab001e…
09-30 05:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xb5e576…
09-30 05:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x202f6a…
09-30 05:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x867360…
09-30 05:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x05fea4…
09-30 05:20:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xbfb493…
09-30 05:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x80ee4c…
09-30 05:17:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xb204dd…
09-30 05:14:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xac718c…
09-30 04:57:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xd56cc6…
09-30 04:54:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4c7715…
09-30 04:40:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xda9f62…
09-30 04:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x665d62…
09-30 04:10:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x0f8d14…
09-30 04:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x7094ec…
09-30 04:05:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xb29e7f…
09-30 04:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc77038…
09-30 03:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:40 UTC	Up	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xfb1b98…
09-30 03:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x6e0739…
09-30 03:30:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x308879…
09-30 03:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xec57d0…
09-30 03:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x6ef722…
09-30 03:25:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x05bbd8…
09-30 03:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xead99e…
09-30 03:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x370940…
09-30 02:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x68dded…
09-30 02:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf00f3c…
09-30 02:37:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x23a94b…
09-30 02:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd885af…
09-30 02:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xafa74b…
09-30 02:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x65dca0…
09-30 02:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xe4e950…
09-30 02:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xead235…
09-30 02:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xf04426…
09-30 02:04:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x5d3e5c…
09-30 01:45:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xb6a993…
09-30 01:44:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xcd39b5…
09-30 01:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x2c1c11…
09-30 01:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x8c5305…
09-30 01:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x7448cd…
09-30 01:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x864d19…
09-29 18:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xdc976d…
09-29 18:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xefd9b4…
09-29 18:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x7e18a4…
09-29 18:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x427dfb…
09-29 18:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x1da25a…
09-29 18:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x2ac7c9…
09-29 18:16:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x6429ac…
09-29 18:14:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x58219c…
09-29 17:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x2fd245…
09-29 17:39:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc312ef…
09-29 16:59:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x66d1ff…
09-29 16:59:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4c95ab…
09-29 16:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xe4e515…
09-29 16:55:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x73e7e4…
09-29 16:45:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x820112…
09-29 16:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x174345…
09-29 16:30:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0xe16c1e…
09-29 16:29:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd78deb…
09-29 16:25:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x98833c…
09-29 16:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xde2f50…
09-29 16:22:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x7ffbb2…
09-29 16:19:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x74321d…
09-29 16:10:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x6f836e…
09-29 16:09:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x619281…