Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

103

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$4.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-26 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 35% +$99

Other

36% 38% +$2

Politics

18% 56% -$275

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia strike kyiv on february 12 2026	1	$499	511	0	+511	Yes	+$11	02-12 07:40
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	5	$263	262,366	0	+262,366	Yes	-$263	01-30 20:17
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	2	$257	215	215	+0	No	+$144	10-18 06:11
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	2	$249	146	146	+0	Yes	+$42	02-05 20:24
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	2	$245	614	0	+614	Yes	+$368	02-05 20:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$230	129	129	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 06:13
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	3	$225	250	156	+94	Yes	-$100	10-18 16:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$169	189	189	+0	No	+$14	01-18 07:47
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	2	$165	300	300	+0	No	-$21	01-15 07:41
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	5	$111	356	356	+0	Yes	-$34	01-22 08:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$91	222	222	+0	open	—	10-26 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	4	$80	109	0	+109	Up	+$1	10-16 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	4	$80	1,107	0	+1,107	Up	$0	10-16 17:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:15 UTC	2	$79	259	0	+259	Up	-$20	02-05 07:28
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	2	$79	56	56	+0	open	—	10-22 08:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:45 UTC	1	$74	160	0	+160	Down	-$74	02-05 07:48
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	5	$72	313	313	+0	Yes	+$17	01-30 14:16
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$71	193	0	+193	No	-$71	02-06 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:15 UTC	4	$65	37	32	+5	Up	+$0	09-16 14:17
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$62	153	153	+0	No	+$2	01-18 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	5	$55	86	19	+67	Down	-$11	10-16 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	1	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	10-16 17:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	2	$49	81	81	+0	No	-$1	09-16 14:07
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	8	$49	639	639	+0	Yes	-$34	10-16 17:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	2	$48	156	156	+0	No	-$2	09-16 14:08
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$46	125	125	+0	Yes	+$6	01-18 07:47
will ethereum dip to 2600 in january 2026 489	3	$42	111	111	+0	Yes	-$3	01-30 17:08
bitcoin above 66k on february 12	3	$41	5,143	143	+5,000	No	+$11	02-12 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 07:30 UTC	1	$41	56	0	+56	Down	+$15	02-05 07:34
will ethereum dip to 1400 in february 2026	1	$33	127	0	+127	No	-$33	02-06 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:19:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	222	14¢	$31	0xcdf2a7…
10-23 06:13:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	49	93¢	$45	0x71d0cc…
10-22 08:58:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	89¢	$43	0xfe5977…
10-22 08:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x42440b…
10-22 08:49:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	222	27¢	$60	0x189308…
10-22 08:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf0360f…
10-22 08:18:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	80	88¢	$71	0x1d7031…
10-22 08:18:02	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	SELL	56	71¢	$40	0x7af7a0…
10-21 17:50:42	US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	Yes	BUY	56	69¢	$39	0x18b58c…
10-21 17:46:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x6d5d63…
10-18 16:55:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	94	66¢	$62	0xdb011d…
10-18 16:55:24	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	40¢	$62	0x6301b0…
10-18 10:25:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xca8fa2…
10-18 06:11:20	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	215	93¢	$200	0xb58515…
10-17 15:18:17	will russia target kyiv on october 17 2026	No	BUY	215	26¢	$56	0x2698b3…
10-16 17:46:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x777d2b…
10-16 17:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x92e495…
10-16 17:37:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	639	1¢	$7	0x57f820…
10-16 17:36:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xc0f9f1…
10-16 17:35:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8807c5…
10-16 17:35:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc41db9…
10-16 17:31:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1bae47…
10-16 17:29:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c4035…
10-16 17:26:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x0381cf…
10-16 17:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6d7f7c…
10-16 17:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x321afa…
10-16 17:22:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xa64b27…
10-16 17:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x003970…
10-16 17:17:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x0e157c…
10-16 17:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd8c44a…
10-16 17:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xe8f0bb…
10-16 17:01:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3f9d20…
10-16 17:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x279cb1…
10-16 16:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x60b8bd…
10-16 16:57:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd4fa94…
10-16 16:49:57	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0xe54bf2…
10-16 16:03:30	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe8b1c4…
10-16 15:43:00	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	184	5¢	$10	0x3f393a…
10-16 15:41:33	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	212	5¢	$10	0x400180…
10-16 15:16:46	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$7	0x32fde5…
10-16 15:11:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf5455c…
10-16 15:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x752fc1…
10-16 15:10:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0e42fe…
10-16 15:05:01	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x60354a…
10-16 15:02:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x23ce07…
10-16 15:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5c915c…
10-16 15:02:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5f738d…
10-16 15:02:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9d9eaf…
10-16 15:00:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7f1d1c…
10-16 14:58:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x31ea64…
10-16 14:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6b48cb…
10-16 14:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x04967b…
10-16 14:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5e54ac…
10-16 13:57:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	92	11¢	$10	0x71bf37…
10-16 10:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3c367f…
10-16 10:20:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x742691…
10-16 10:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0ff69f…
10-16 10:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x233926…
10-16 10:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb71b64…
10-16 10:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x8f96e8…
10-16 10:07:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xa54cdb…
10-16 10:06:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x99d9a3…
10-16 10:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	19	29¢	$5	0xad9d52…
10-16 10:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xaf746e…
10-16 10:01:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf49120…
10-16 09:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd94c1d…
10-16 09:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6fc3df…
10-16 09:45:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb39919…
10-16 09:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3aef04…
10-16 09:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x22a883…
10-16 09:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69893c…
10-16 08:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf651de…
09-18 14:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xcb0088…
09-18 14:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdefc54…
09-18 14:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xac75cb…
09-18 14:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x9b2ca3…
09-16 14:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xaf195d…
09-16 14:56:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc636cd…
09-16 14:54:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0xcc3b9a…
09-16 14:46:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x45c32d…
09-16 14:46:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb5ce76…
09-16 14:25:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x36f989…
09-16 14:20:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x924027…
09-16 14:17:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	32	96¢	$30	0x336361…
09-16 14:16:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x269fc3…
09-16 14:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfa2c1c…
09-16 14:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x57868c…
09-16 14:16:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:10 UTC	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0788bd…
09-16 14:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb9db09…
09-16 14:11:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4c5d79…
09-16 14:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfb76e1…
09-16 14:08:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xafbb61…
09-16 14:08:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	156	15¢	$23	0x2de9c6…
09-16 14:07:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	81	30¢	$24	0xd4b87f…
09-16 14:01:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x54f1f7…
09-16 14:00:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x94bc66…
02-12 17:14:51	bitcoin above 66k on february 12	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xfdbe72…
02-12 17:06:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xea78a5…
02-12 17:01:19	bitcoin above 60k on february 13	No	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x80a53e…
02-12 16:37:39	ethereum above 1800 on february 12	No	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0xc6d3fb…