Insubstantial-Piracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

683

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 05-23 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 42% +$15

Politics

5% 0% $-0

Other

0% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 181 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	5	$162	96	148	-52	open	—	02-01 13:13
btc updown 5m 1776527700	2	$119	80	80	+0	open	—	04-18 16:00
btc updown 5m 1776578400	7	$60	120	0	+120	open	—	04-19 06:00
btc updown 5m 1776519600	5	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-18 13:45
btc updown 5m 1776531300	4	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-18 17:00
btc updown 5m 1776517500	2	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-18 13:10
btc updown 5m 1776510900	5	$60	40	40	+0	open	—	04-18 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$46	60	30	+30	Down	+$10	05-06 14:48
btc updown 5m 1776535500	3	$45	30	30	+0	open	—	04-18 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$33	30	30	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	9	$33	42	42	+0	open	—	05-04 14:52
btc updown 5m 1776578100	4	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	04-19 05:55
btc updown 5m 1776573900	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 04:51
btc updown 5m 1776534300	4	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 17:50
btc updown 5m 1776576600	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 05:34
btc updown 5m 1776536400	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 18:24
btc updown 5m 1776532500	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 17:20
btc updown 5m 1776507000	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-18 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$26	25	20	+5	Up	+$13	05-06 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	8	$26	30	30	+0	Down	+$8	05-06 04:51
btc updown 5m 1776587100	4	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	04-19 08:29
btc updown 5m 1776575700	2	$25	10	20	-10	open	—	04-19 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$23	30	30	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 07:42
btc updown 5m 1776518400	3	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-18 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$22	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 07:22
btc updown 5m 1776515400	2	$21	15	14	+1	open	—	04-18 12:35
btc updown 5m 1776527400	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-18 15:50
btc updown 5m 1776673800	4	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-20 08:26
btc updown 5m 1776941700	7	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-23 10:51
btc updown 5m 1776941100	5	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-23 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 10:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0fb730…
05-13 20:05:03	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x63c983…
05-11 12:00:04	Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x30a934…
05-10 17:54:52	Will Trump say "Scam" or "Fraud" this week?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe0b657…
05-10 11:58:27	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc261ef…
05-07 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef0a33…
05-07 11:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xb63335…
05-07 11:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6c6a17…
05-07 11:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x234625…
05-07 11:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x7b88e5…
05-07 11:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9f567c…
05-07 11:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4e76dc…
05-07 10:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x6e19dd…
05-07 10:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xdfb6f3…
05-07 10:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xf9c08b…
05-07 10:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x340d3e…
05-07 10:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x059e05…
05-07 10:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa79b23…
05-07 10:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe14a09…
05-07 10:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xeb8411…
05-07 10:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x4eb13d…
05-07 10:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x805aa2…
05-07 10:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3561f1…
05-07 10:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x8fbf41…
05-07 09:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf0a460…
05-07 09:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x81d2de…
05-07 09:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x340abc…
05-07 09:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x78fc80…
05-07 09:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x08d247…
05-07 09:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xd55146…
05-07 09:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x771a7c…
05-07 09:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x95cfba…
05-07 06:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x228a73…
05-07 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x9eb89b…
05-07 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3555dc…
05-07 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x232def…
05-07 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x1b8aaa…
05-07 06:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x0a03eb…
05-07 06:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x65b3c7…
05-07 06:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x304cd1…
05-07 06:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xae4957…
05-07 06:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x44958a…
05-07 06:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xec01c7…
05-07 06:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x1d48b3…
05-07 06:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x602f1f…
05-07 06:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x588f57…
05-06 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc67afe…
05-06 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa4c469…
05-06 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x72f2f7…
05-06 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x4cf4d1…
05-06 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x23b6f2…
05-06 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd090f8…
05-06 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc8f45a…
05-06 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb27703…
05-06 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xa91573…
05-06 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x7ee50d…
05-06 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x545ffc…
05-06 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x38d29a…
05-06 15:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x06b7cd…
05-06 15:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xb38cd8…
05-06 15:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xb2943d…
05-06 15:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x31c9a3…
05-06 14:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xd032bc…
05-06 14:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x97b05f…
05-06 14:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0x713041…
05-06 14:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x02486a…
05-06 14:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x1b61df…
05-06 14:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xd9f43e…
05-06 14:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xb7a476…
05-06 14:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6ca606…
05-06 14:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x841f01…
05-06 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x595afd…
05-06 14:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xc0537a…
05-06 14:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x8d3233…
05-06 14:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x6f356a…
05-06 14:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x0700ec…
05-06 14:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf3a5a2…
05-06 14:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x222cd3…
05-06 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xeccb20…
05-06 14:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x26ab9d…
05-06 13:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x5cd527…
05-06 13:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x475087…
05-06 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xf4c5ec…
05-06 13:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x6be4bb…
05-06 13:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xfbf2f1…
05-06 13:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xdce7bd…
05-06 13:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x9630f9…
05-06 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2e0a96…
05-06 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x6cdf38…
05-06 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1be734…
05-06 12:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x5079d8…
05-06 12:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x9c6a32…
05-06 12:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x5286ba…
05-06 12:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xdb2fea…
05-06 12:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x2c0bb0…
05-06 12:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x75b182…
05-06 12:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa01e25…
05-06 12:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x1eee98…
05-06 12:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x626059…
05-06 12:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xccda41…