Flimsy-Shade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

278

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$3.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$4

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 06:16
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-11 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 04:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:30
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:32
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 07:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 12c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 09:14
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 36c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 14:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:37
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 68 69f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 03:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 15c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-01 15:14
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:22
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:52
highest temperature in chongqing on march 30 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:24
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 82 83f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:39:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa8aee…
10-29 08:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b5c15…
10-28 07:37:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4193e…
10-27 08:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc3172…
10-26 09:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17164a…
10-24 11:21:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc5892…
10-22 10:11:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9414d6…
10-20 07:30:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4d88a…
10-19 09:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x174013…
10-18 09:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa31acb…
10-17 14:47:47	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc643a…
10-16 08:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6201f3…
10-15 09:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x751180…
10-14 09:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd2df5…
10-13 09:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f48d4…
10-12 08:21:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0033c…
10-11 08:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8be06…
10-08 08:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14dcb3…
10-07 14:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc4161…
10-06 07:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbca329…
10-04 15:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43fa67…
10-03 07:53:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06b36d…
10-02 11:33:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3a7a8…
10-01 08:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fcaa4…
09-30 12:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b63d6…
09-29 14:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d8f69…
09-28 09:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e3f13…
09-27 08:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x288d6d…
09-25 12:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27a4f6…
09-24 08:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x681412…
09-23 06:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0982e7…
09-22 07:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd3c37…
09-21 09:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd082ff…
09-20 05:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cd09d…
09-19 08:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x881d05…
09-18 06:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0920e5…
09-17 04:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x995dcc…
09-16 08:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ac48a…
09-15 09:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x228afa…
09-14 08:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e761e…
09-12 16:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5bb3da…
09-11 07:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37441e…
09-10 06:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4918f…
09-09 02:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x605341…
09-08 02:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea024e…
09-07 08:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe86f0b…
09-06 17:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1d2e3…
09-06 09:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b2c39…
09-05 09:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc502e6…
09-04 17:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28a8b6…
09-03 09:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27a42c…
09-02 07:36:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20cde1…
08-30 08:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa677cc…
08-29 07:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e29db…
08-28 07:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3269f…
08-27 08:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd58563…
08-26 08:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f741a…
08-25 09:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82b9dd…
08-24 09:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cffd2…
08-23 14:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7be3cb…
08-22 08:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbed0b5…
08-21 07:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x106535…
08-20 08:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cf797…
08-19 11:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa36b2f…
08-18 08:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebee38…
08-17 07:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4a192…
08-16 11:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45690e…
08-15 09:44:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e108b…
08-14 06:45:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82bc0f…
08-13 07:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc638a8…
08-12 07:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd313b9…
08-11 06:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb1aaf…
08-10 06:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb3610…
08-09 01:21:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e091d…
08-08 07:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb7cd9…
08-07 01:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a6142…
08-06 06:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e01a3…
08-05 07:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9ff8f…
08-04 08:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47901a…
08-03 07:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71120f…
08-02 01:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cf005…
08-01 06:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8526aa…
07-31 08:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bf515…
07-30 06:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27a675…
07-29 06:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e01bc…
07-28 06:19:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc05208…
07-27 08:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e3d63…
07-26 06:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95417e…
07-25 07:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c23b8…
07-24 09:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ad7c9…
07-23 07:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca5b2d…
07-22 01:50:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d08ef…
07-20 23:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec307…
07-20 07:48:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dbb52…
07-18 23:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf6de7…
07-18 00:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x165833…
07-17 06:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6678e6…
07-15 22:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc997e8…
07-15 07:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3823e7…
07-14 07:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc07051…