Upset-Referendum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

822

Trades

3,402

lifetime

Volume

$9.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-19 11:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% +$19

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771875000	3	$17	12	6	+6	open	—	02-23 19:40
btc updown 15m 1772117100	3	$16	12	6	+6	open	—	02-26 14:58
btc updown 15m 1772046900	3	$16	12	6	+6	open	—	02-25 19:28
btc updown 15m 1771849800	3	$15	12	6	+6	open	—	02-23 12:38
btc updown 15m 1772438400	4	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	03-02 08:14
btc updown 15m 1771896600	3	$15	12	6	+6	open	—	02-24 01:44
btc updown 15m 1772464500	3	$12	9	6	+3	open	—	03-02 15:29
btc updown 5m 1774220700	3	$12	8	4	+4	open	—	03-22 23:10
btc updown 5m 1775934600	3	$11	8	4	+4	open	—	04-11 19:14
btc updown 5m 1776026400	3	$11	8	4	+4	open	—	04-12 20:44
btc updown 15m 1772457300	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-02 13:27
btc updown 15m 1771838100	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-23 09:28
btc updown 15m 1771842600	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-23 10:41
btc updown 15m 1772093700	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-26 08:28
btc updown 15m 1772114400	3	$10	9	6	+3	open	—	02-26 14:14
btc updown 15m 1772471700	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	03-02 17:29
btc updown 15m 1771886700	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	02-23 22:56
btc updown 15m 1772474400	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	03-02 18:15
btc updown 5m 1774258500	3	$9	8	4	+4	open	—	03-23 09:39
btc updown 15m 1771877700	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	02-23 20:28
btc updown 5m 1774227600	3	$9	8	4	+4	open	—	03-23 01:04
btc updown 5m 1774013100	4	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	03-20 13:28
btc updown 5m 1774257600	3	$8	8	4	+4	open	—	03-23 09:24
btc updown 15m 1772498700	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	03-03 00:59
btc updown 15m 1772041500	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	02-25 17:59
btc updown 5m 1774269600	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-23 12:43
btc updown 5m 1774204200	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-22 18:34
btc updown 5m 1774247700	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-23 06:39
btc updown 5m 1774232700	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-23 02:29
btc updown 5m 1774290600	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-23 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 11:32:18	kbo kia ssg 2026 07 19	SSG Landers	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0x1e79d1…
07-19 11:32:06	kbo kia ssg 2026 07 19	SSG Landers	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x29664c…
07-18 14:28:52	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd09e33…
07-14 12:48:35	dota2 vg playti 2026 07 14	Vici Gaming	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf2b615…
07-13 14:09:23	lol ewi use1 2026 07 13	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x107253…
07-12 11:32:58	mlb mil pit 2026 07 12	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x78f670…
07-11 11:32:17	itf lopatic papoe 2026 07 11	Luka Talan Lopatic	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x2ce068…
07-09 14:42:13	crint zwe2 bgd2 2026 07 09	Zimbabwe	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x9612a7…
07-08 14:28:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5019ec…
07-07 14:26:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x2556b1…
07-05 11:41:28	cs2 eye faze 2026 07 05	EYEBALLERS	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd29ae0…
07-04 11:29:29	wta samsono bouzkov 2026 07 03	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8176e7…
07-03 11:26:58	atp safiull fonseca 2026 07 03	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x56b0ca…
07-02 09:06:16	btc updown 5m 1782983100	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xdb1b75…
07-01 10:00:53	btc updown 5m 1782900000	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xce9821…
06-30 10:57:11	btc updown 5m 1782816900	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7f15e5…
06-29 11:37:52	btc updown 5m 1782732900	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3a41d4…
06-28 12:36:52	btc updown 5m 1782650100	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x04c807…
06-27 13:36:47	btc updown 5m 1782567300	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd9147d…
06-26 14:36:34	btc updown 5m 1782484500	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf54fd6…
06-25 15:36:32	btc updown 5m 1782401700	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf3f5c2…
06-24 16:11:08	btc updown 5m 1782317400	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x895777…
06-23 17:11:07	btc updown 5m 1782234600	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb101f1…
06-22 18:02:47	btc updown 5m 1782151200	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc14c78…
06-21 19:02:01	btc updown 5m 1782068400	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x62b87d…
06-20 19:43:22	btc updown 5m 1781984400	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xca9592…
06-18 19:51:07	btc updown 5m 1781812200	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xde2084…
06-17 20:47:22	btc updown 5m 1781729100	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7d71d9…
06-16 21:10:58	btc updown 5m 1781644200	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x9e0339…
06-15 21:47:03	btc updown 5m 1781559900	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd75e90…
06-14 22:36:12	btc updown 5m 1781476500	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf6ff94…
06-13 23:27:03	btc updown 5m 1781393100	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x61db93…
06-12 01:16:42	btc updown 5m 1781226900	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcbe191…
06-11 02:02:15	btc updown 5m 1781143200	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xed2aa2…
06-10 02:51:04	btc updown 5m 1781059800	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x134836…
06-10 02:32:24	btc updown 5m 1781058600	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x031470…
06-09 03:31:33	btc updown 5m 1780975800	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x569d35…
06-08 04:28:45	btc updown 5m 1780892700	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9e421a…
06-07 05:27:03	btc updown 5m 1780809900	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x784b9d…
06-06 06:21:40	btc updown 5m 1780726800	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb76e4d…
06-05 07:16:51	btc updown 5m 1780643700	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xcd2e5c…
06-04 07:51:16	btc updown 5m 1780559400	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x3baf86…
06-03 08:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x50c55b…
06-02 09:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x9cd5c9…
06-01 10:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x6f5988…
05-31 11:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0db559…
05-30 12:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9f05ea…
05-29 08:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb2cc09…
05-28 09:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xc2a6aa…
05-27 10:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x2e722e…
05-26 11:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5982fc…
05-25 12:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd59e0c…
05-24 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x8b3f85…
05-23 13:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcbb9df…
05-22 12:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0c19a3…
05-21 13:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb4a6de…
05-20 14:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd7063f…
05-19 15:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdeac40…
05-18 16:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xefff8b…
05-17 17:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3910ec…
05-17 11:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xfb7a33…
05-17 11:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3c340e…
05-17 11:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x36f951…
05-17 11:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc97e9d…
05-17 10:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x7c48cb…
05-17 10:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe248b3…
05-17 10:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x846019…
05-17 10:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb22cfd…
05-17 10:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1b1926…
05-17 09:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xfea927…
05-17 09:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x876a56…
05-17 08:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf6fde8…
05-17 07:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x536a2b…
05-17 07:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x32c3d6…
05-17 06:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf5bdd3…
05-17 06:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x23c08d…
05-17 05:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb72fa9…
05-17 05:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb8b910…
05-17 05:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb1aeeb…
05-17 04:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x4beb78…
05-17 04:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x6bb651…
05-17 04:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x5fdd90…
05-17 03:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x90e6e0…
05-17 03:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc35acf…
05-17 02:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x070bf2…
05-17 02:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xef6139…
05-17 02:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x3a5b9c…
05-17 02:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xab6dd0…
05-17 01:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa9d443…
05-17 01:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5f53ba…
05-17 01:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa896f2…
05-17 01:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2ab5e9…
05-17 01:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc4dfd0…
05-17 01:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe05913…
05-17 01:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0b7244…
05-17 01:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x9a3065…
05-17 00:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x74a68a…
05-17 00:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7c8793…
05-17 00:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe9a668…
05-17 00:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0053f6…