Composed-Authority — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

244

Trades

558

lifetime

Volume

$3.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-26 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 71% +$1

Other

18% 67% -$31

Sports

0% 0% -$11

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 11:45 UTC	4	$286	194	192	+2	Up	+$12	03-15 11:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 11:30 UTC	4	$243	180	178	+2	Up	+$15	03-15 11:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 11:15 UTC	4	$211	145	144	+2	Down	+$11	03-15 11:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 12:15 UTC	4	$174	184	182	+2	Up	-$72	03-15 12:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 12:00 UTC	2	$169	134	132	+2	Down	+$15	03-15 12:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 10:15 UTC	4	$148	120	119	+2	Up	+$19	03-15 10:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 10:30 UTC	4	$97	171	170	+2	Down	+$9	03-25 10:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 09:30 UTC	6	$91	81	80	+1	Down	-$3	03-15 09:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 12:45 UTC	4	$82	58	57	+1	Up	+$5	03-15 12:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 13:00 UTC	3	$77	73	38	+35	Down	-$23	03-15 13:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 09:45 UTC	4	$72	62	61	+1	Up	+$9	03-15 09:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 09:15 UTC	4	$72	60	59	+1	Up	+$7	03-15 09:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 10:00 UTC	2	$58	45	45	+1	Up	+$10	03-15 10:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 11:00 UTC	4	$55	100	99	+1	Up	+$2	03-25 11:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:45 UTC	2	$50	70	69	+1	Up	+$14	03-24 14:47
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 11:45 UTC	2	$40	138	138	+0	Down	+$16	03-25 11:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 13:30 UTC	6	$35	75	75	+0	Down	+$6	03-24 13:38
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:30 UTC	2	$32	64	63	+0	Down	+$4	03-24 14:37
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 12:15 UTC	1	$28	286	0	+286	Down	-$28	03-25 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	8	$28	19	19	+0	Up	$0	10-26 13:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:45 UTC	4	$27	51	50	+1	Up	-$3	03-23 14:53
highest temperature in london on march 29 2026 11c	2	$26	16	16	+0	Yes	+$4	03-29 13:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 10:45 UTC	2	$26	83	82	+1	Up	-$22	03-25 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 09:05 UTC	2	$26	24	23	+0	Up	+$4	03-15 09:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	2	$25	46	46	+0	Up	+$1	03-24 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:45 UTC	6	$25	50	49	+0	Down	-$3	03-14 20:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 11:15 UTC	3	$24	66	66	+0	Up	+$0	03-25 11:22
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 19c	5	$24	32	31	+1	No	-$8	04-07 16:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:00 UTC	2	$23	26	26	+0	Down	+$4	03-24 14:05
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:15 UTC	3	$23	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	03-26 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x19c071…
10-26 14:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x66dc7c…
10-26 14:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x2d4883…
10-26 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xa7c13f…
10-26 14:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xe71e78…
10-26 14:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe2bb28…
10-26 14:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xcda6b3…
10-26 14:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x4745e2…
10-26 14:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xbce648…
10-26 14:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xe831d4…
10-26 13:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb0eae1…
10-26 13:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x47fe75…
10-26 13:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x6bc923…
10-26 13:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xc27714…
10-26 13:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x8cc288…
10-26 13:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1a34a5…
10-26 13:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xa43c42…
10-26 13:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x450b45…
10-26 13:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa3fc06…
10-26 13:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x56bd55…
10-26 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x43655c…
10-26 13:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x10faa1…
10-26 13:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x1439d4…
10-26 13:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe94f77…
10-26 13:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xea5638…
10-26 13:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x52c8e5…
10-26 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xb096a6…
10-26 13:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbfcc85…
10-26 12:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4806a9…
10-26 12:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x5faf04…
10-26 12:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x3f086d…
10-26 12:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf4add6…
10-26 11:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4147af…
10-26 11:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75e730…
10-25 12:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcc520d…
10-13 14:47:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x2059c0…
10-13 14:47:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x9d097e…
10-13 14:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe9c3a1…
10-13 14:43:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3c6d1…
10-13 12:41:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x7535db…
10-13 12:40:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc138c0…
10-13 12:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x0b6935…
10-13 12:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xdd0c9f…
10-13 12:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x02b70c…
10-13 12:12:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x04ea05…
10-11 06:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x63b4f9…
10-11 06:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfda4b2…
10-10 20:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9b6636…
10-10 20:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xddfe27…
10-10 20:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd420d2…
10-10 20:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdf9d8b…
10-10 20:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3651dd…
10-10 20:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa01799…
10-10 20:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04889f…
10-10 18:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1b3fd1…
10-10 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x095e77…
10-10 17:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf755ef…
10-10 17:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2a086…
10-04 19:33:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb6bcf1…
10-04 19:32:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaeba51…
10-04 19:24:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2bbcea…
10-04 19:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9a179f…
09-04 13:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1ea643…
08-31 15:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x6e6d69…
08-31 13:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0e8a7d…
08-31 12:51:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x084d01…
08-31 12:19:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbd0ec4…
08-31 12:17:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xfc6da8…
08-31 12:16:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfa250b…
08-30 17:42:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 30?	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x1646ac…
08-30 12:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 30?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x73cfd0…
08-30 11:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on August 30?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe18414…
08-26 15:52:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 26?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xdd515b…
08-25 16:38:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 25?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x24a226…
08-25 16:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 25?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf7bd61…
08-25 05:50:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x05dd5b…
08-25 05:41:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x18d4fd…
08-24 17:03:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 24?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb1ffa2…
08-18 06:20:57	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on August 19?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xced293…
08-17 18:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 17?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x48936a…
08-17 16:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6a93dd…
08-17 15:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7cb7af…
08-11 18:09:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x21cf81…
08-11 09:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6d3206…
08-11 07:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xb2ee78…
08-11 05:40:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8dc851…
08-10 17:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 10?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x7585fc…
08-10 17:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8c30d0…
08-10 14:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xae3d48…
08-09 18:46:06	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xde4d1e…
08-09 16:49:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x7f63d0…
08-09 15:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x7dcb82…
08-09 15:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb90c27…
08-09 13:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0xcbc0b4…
08-08 17:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5fc831…
08-08 15:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x7332ea…
08-08 15:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc97551…
08-08 13:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc952ba…
08-08 13:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 8?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x988d8d…
08-08 08:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb6d71f…