Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$125

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

171

Trades

1,480

lifetime

Volume

$2.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 03-07 03:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

52% 38% -$33

Other

30% 42% -$18

Crypto

15% 30% -$73

Tech

2% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	63	$131	171	171	+0	Yes	+$0	03-07 00:44
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 23 2026 27corbelow	11	$117	435	116	+319	No	-$2	02-23 17:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	68	$95	165	165	+0	Yes	-$16	03-01 01:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	43	$75	230	139	+91	Yes	+$82	02-28 04:48
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	29	$72	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 21:16
highest temperature in toronto on february 23 2026 1c	22	$71	189	189	+0	No	-$8	02-23 02:49
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	141	$69	47	46	+0	Yes	-$1	02-27 18:00
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	27	$67	419	419	+0	No	-$1	02-28 02:35
will iran strike cyprus in march	34	$66	71	71	+0	No	-$9	03-03 10:30
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 21 2026 33c	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	-$1	02-21 06:05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	22	$60	52	52	+0	Yes	-$3	03-01 20:21
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	19	$60	94	58	+36	Yes	-$1	02-27 23:47
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	16	$60	41	40	+0	No	+$1	03-07 03:54
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	31	$60	237	236	+0	Yes	-$4	03-03 15:31
will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	21	$54	29	29	+0	No	+$1	03-02 07:37
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	11	$48	53	33	+20	Yes	-$9	02-27 17:34
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	24	$47	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	03-03 23:10
highest temperature in london on february 17 2026 10c	10	$46	24	24	+0	No	$0	02-16 16:31
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	9	$42	31	31	+0	No	+$0	03-01 07:12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	29	$38	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 23:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 05:00 UTC	13	$36	58	58	+0	Down	+$15	03-01 05:12
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	8	$36	30	30	+0	No	+$1	03-07 03:54
highest temperature in atlanta on february 24 2026 56forhigher	10	$34	66	62	+5	No	+$0	02-24 07:00
will khamenei leave iran by december 31	11	$33	22	18	+4	No	+$1	02-28 19:49
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	16	$30	35	35	+0	No	+$2	03-05 22:42
highest temperature in ankara on february 23 2026 10corhigher	3	$28	382	11	+371	No	-$6	02-23 15:34
Will the US strike Iran next?	8	$27	15	15	+0	No	$0	03-01 14:35
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	26	$26	17	17	+0	No	$0	03-05 07:23
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	6	$25	89	8	+81	Yes	-$21	02-28 02:00
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	20	$24	27	26	+0	Yes	-$5	02-28 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-07 03:55:07	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xb59ade…
03-07 03:55:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0xaf1192…
03-07 03:54:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xa75a72…
03-07 03:54:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xb9c7de…
03-07 03:54:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x728936…
03-07 03:54:47	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x047a64…
03-07 03:54:41	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	12	79¢	$9	0xe3006e…
03-07 03:54:41	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x31f9f9…
03-07 03:54:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x42ef6a…
03-07 03:54:31	will the sp 500 index gain at least 2 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x4f9a8f…
03-07 03:54:27	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x911d39…
03-07 03:54:21	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xdedc4a…
03-07 03:54:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xb4d840…
03-07 03:54:17	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x962c99…
03-07 03:21:01	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x18a4e9…
03-07 03:20:55	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x6ef5e8…
03-07 03:08:01	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x2c3234…
03-07 03:05:19	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x299314…
03-07 03:01:53	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xb90fd7…
03-07 02:57:25	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x329dd0…
03-07 02:41:03	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x82ce06…
03-07 02:40:17	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x6c25b3…
03-07 02:31:19	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xe0a594…
03-07 01:59:55	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x18f88c…
03-07 00:44:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x5ca204…
03-07 00:07:23	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xaaa066…
03-06 23:28:35	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x44cabd…
03-06 23:18:29	us strikes iraq by march 7	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x09e22f…
03-06 23:03:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x94699d…
03-06 22:50:47	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x181d31…
03-06 19:05:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xf062fc…
03-06 16:33:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x950cf1…
03-06 16:31:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2432bf…
03-06 15:33:51	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb927c6…
03-06 15:33:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x667632…
03-06 15:12:31	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xad17f6…
03-06 13:22:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x863bcf…
03-06 04:46:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x57d250…
03-06 03:16:11	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x36b0d2…
03-06 00:43:07	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0xf28bbe…
03-05 23:27:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x0cecf9…
03-05 23:17:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x61a3e2…
03-05 23:17:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x01516d…
03-05 23:13:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x395748…
03-05 23:13:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x7ca0a3…
03-05 23:10:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x0ce4a6…
03-05 23:10:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xa292d0…
03-05 23:10:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x620f72…
03-05 23:09:57	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x375598…
03-05 23:08:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x38d1c4…
03-05 22:42:05	naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	No	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0x525205…
03-05 22:11:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xdbcf08…
03-05 21:19:53	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1f7d1c…
03-05 20:34:21	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xddbabe…
03-05 19:58:15	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xa9d42c…
03-05 16:56:47	will paradex launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x25976e…
03-05 16:43:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x82f6a8…
03-05 16:15:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$1	0xe87b60…
03-05 14:08:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x39d67b…
03-05 11:58:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfd285f…
03-05 11:48:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xdeffc5…
03-05 11:41:55	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3f5ba1…
03-05 10:14:19	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x6deeae…
03-05 08:08:47	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x741fac…
03-05 07:58:49	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x1f4639…
03-05 07:52:51	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xcd5d94…
03-05 07:50:51	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7ff150…
03-05 07:49:09	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x6c0fa6…
03-05 07:46:31	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 7	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0xe6b935…
03-05 07:46:19	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xfc0fe3…
03-05 07:43:57	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$0	0x886d15…
03-05 07:43:33	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0x1dd3ae…
03-05 07:43:23	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xea3994…
03-05 07:41:49	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xe98c59…
03-05 07:27:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5a71a6…
03-05 07:25:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xed9510…
03-05 07:24:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbd33fb…
03-05 07:23:39	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xdfd20b…
03-05 07:19:53	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xe2f0e7…
03-05 07:18:33	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x409cfc…
03-05 07:13:07	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x725b29…
03-05 07:12:31	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xee4ba1…
03-05 07:11:43	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x6b458e…
03-05 06:27:19	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2814dd…
03-05 06:25:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x494845…
03-05 06:20:39	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	0	70¢	$0	0xfa2a62…
03-05 06:19:17	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x8322a8…
03-05 06:19:15	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x780743…
03-05 06:17:47	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xed354b…
03-05 06:16:31	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x3559e4…
03-05 06:12:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xaab593…
03-05 06:11:55	will iran strike israel on march 5	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x75c90c…
03-05 06:11:55	will iran strike israel on march 5	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x05a20b…
03-05 06:02:05	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xfb2df6…
03-05 05:57:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcbdfca…
03-05 05:53:43	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x6fdc98…
03-05 05:53:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xea6dec…
03-05 05:53:03	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x1915d4…
03-05 05:51:43	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0x24cd49…
03-05 05:51:43	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x1a69f4…