Severe-Pinworm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,810

lifetime

Volume

$144.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 10-21 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

95% 42% -$10,186

Politics

5% 45% -$1,062

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+100	$27	8¢	$8	-$18	09-14 14:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	185	$33.3K	37,994	30,442	+7,553	No	-$6,823	05-27 14:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	99	$13.0K	22,694	22,257	+437	Yes	+$2,550	04-29 09:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	62	$10.0K	8,035	5,328	+2,706	Yes	+$800	05-18 12:35
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	55	$9.2K	25,300	0	+25,300	No	-$9,246	06-12 12:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	90	$8.2K	17,944	4,453	+13,491	No	-$4,755	06-07 21:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	147	$4.9K	8,300	8,300	+0	No	-$1,447	05-11 04:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	41	$4.8K	14,210	0	+14,210	Yes	+$9,407	04-24 15:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	26	$4.0K	6,360	800	+5,560	No	+$2,674	05-27 12:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	31	$3.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$48	06-03 11:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	69	$3.4K	11,230	9,026	+2,204	Yes	+$1,767	04-28 00:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	38	$3.2K	4,300	4,300	+0	No	-$832	05-21 10:41
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	40	$3.1K	11,200	0	+11,200	No	-$3,134	06-09 16:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$279	06-01 04:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	17	$2.4K	1,800	1,714	+86	Yes	+$55	04-22 08:34
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	17	$2.4K	3,141	1,841	+1,300	Yes	+$1,040	07-21 10:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	26	$1.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	-$395	06-03 11:09
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	43	$1.9K	2,863	2,863	+0	No	-$512	07-28 00:24
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	18	$1.8K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$355	08-05 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	22	$1.7K	21,804	0	+21,804	Yes	-$1,742	05-06 09:04
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	14	$1.7K	3,600	3,600	+0	Yes	-$448	08-07 02:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	28	$1.6K	3,400	3,400	+0	Yes	-$189	05-22 13:29
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	33	$1.5K	2,484	800	+1,684	Yes	+$655	07-22 22:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	24	$1.4K	3,357	2,279	+1,078	Yes	-$814	05-25 06:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	20	$1.2K	2,300	2,788	-488	No	+$21	06-03 11:09
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	20	$1.1K	1,194	1,194	+0	Yes	+$148	07-29 07:38
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	109	$1.1K	5,768	5,768	+0	No	-$939	09-17 12:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	18	$1.1K	11,000	11,000	+0	No	+$52	06-17 18:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$779	1,900	1,900	+0	Yes	-$19	09-14 09:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	27	$712	778	778	+0	No	-$119	09-18 07:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$705	790	790	+0	No	-$10	09-04 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 01:29:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xa39e26…
10-21 01:24:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x7d2211…
10-16 14:38:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x94a51b…
10-14 12:54:29	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xb787c5…
10-14 12:37:33	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x160177…
10-14 12:36:39	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8dac23…
10-14 12:30:11	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x519d18…
10-14 11:58:50	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x58ca2a…
10-14 11:58:45	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7773cc…
10-14 09:48:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3a67da…
10-14 02:14:59	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x0bc68d…
10-14 01:59:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0xf535a4…
10-13 15:57:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x16fce9…
10-13 13:53:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x068f6a…
10-13 13:26:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xa3d456…
10-13 06:34:04	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026 from october 12	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xaa3e87…
10-13 03:46:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xec8b2c…
10-13 03:26:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	120	65¢	$78	0x18692d…
10-13 03:26:02	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xf5c32a…
10-13 03:25:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x62d6ef…
10-13 03:24:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	120	69¢	$83	0x4d1844…
10-13 01:58:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xb40318…
10-13 01:58:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x7be613…
10-13 01:57:53	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x2e3e50…
10-13 01:53:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xfa3bcd…
10-13 01:53:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x3642df…
10-13 01:52:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x93bc89…
10-12 14:08:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xa68d0e…
10-12 13:20:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x4d8b11…
10-09 06:57:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x6a67ab…
10-07 13:48:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xb1b3f8…
10-07 12:27:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xe29971…
10-07 12:20:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb83417…
10-07 12:20:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0xb68f9d…
10-07 11:09:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x84054f…
10-07 11:09:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2b61bf…
10-07 07:35:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x943cb8…
10-07 01:54:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	55¢	$44	0x3bf644…
10-06 22:40:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbf11fb…
10-06 22:02:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xb6eec9…
10-06 22:01:09	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x2e98a3…
10-06 02:35:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0xeda882…
10-06 02:35:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x02a5e8…
10-06 02:35:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xd667bc…
10-05 20:59:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x97e452…
10-05 16:20:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x4d8512…
10-05 03:06:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	39	17¢	$7	0x2da4d6…
10-04 22:00:10	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x6cc893…
10-04 19:20:16	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x80362e…
10-04 18:24:46	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0d258b…
10-04 06:00:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xdfc659…
10-04 05:42:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x0375ef…
10-04 03:12:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xf0be97…
10-04 02:15:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	68	72¢	$49	0xef34a2…
10-03 16:25:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x964026…
10-03 16:25:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xab024a…
10-03 07:03:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	86	70¢	$60	0x96a31c…
10-03 06:33:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x218508…
10-02 15:07:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	21¢	$17	0x3311e5…
10-02 14:53:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9cf972…
10-02 01:15:17	will wti reach 95 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	120	87¢	$104	0xb1ad4c…
10-02 01:10:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0xe2abdf…
10-02 01:10:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0x4f0e9e…
10-02 01:09:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0xdc03d5…
10-02 00:57:08	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	80	91¢	$73	0x3ad055…
10-02 00:51:39	will xauusd reach 4300 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xf61657…
10-02 00:46:15	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x882138…
10-02 00:35:11	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x2192a0…
10-02 00:32:12	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x73eaaf…
10-02 00:32:11	will xauusd reach 4200 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x046cd6…
10-02 00:00:14	will wti reach 95 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x644f71…
10-01 23:58:47	will wti reach 95 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x067418…
09-29 15:23:27	will xauusd reach 4200 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xad2a92…
09-29 12:34:23	Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xffd057…
09-29 12:30:39	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0x4a9126…
09-29 11:52:27	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	71	33¢	$23	0x4ac685…
09-29 11:52:26	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0x53e7e2…
09-29 10:53:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xfc1abe…
09-29 09:55:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x6c6112…
09-29 07:00:59	will xauusd reach 4200 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xe2dd8b…
09-29 02:06:26	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa167b2…
09-29 02:00:06	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x753521…
09-29 01:59:35	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x4276d3…
09-28 16:32:32	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xebe17d…
09-28 10:54:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x28e230…
09-28 06:05:47	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	No	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xbd9924…
09-28 01:41:03	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x14ad49…
09-28 00:59:09	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	28	55¢	$16	0xd9cd25…
09-28 00:52:33	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	SELL	200	65¢	$130	0x264ec4…
09-28 00:47:24	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	SELL	72	55¢	$39	0x71aa78…
09-27 14:30:35	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x0c3538…
09-27 14:08:41	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x33934a…
09-27 13:13:27	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	88	63¢	$55	0x11ed7d…
09-27 13:13:26	will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0x9299d1…
09-26 10:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x65d5ae…
09-26 09:42:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xacc388…
09-26 09:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x1833f0…
09-26 08:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 26?	No	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0x4a3b42…
09-26 08:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 26?	No	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xfd7971…
09-26 07:25:56	Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe6d663…