Valuable-Beverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-08 10:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 70% +$68

Politics

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$212	120	120	+0	Up	+$12	05-07 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$210	112	112	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$203	104	104	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$200	281	0	+281	Down	+$81	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$200	228	0	+228	Down	$-200	05-06 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$150	199	0	+199	Up	+$49	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$120	121	0	+121	Up	+$1	05-07 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$110	121	0	+121	Up	+$11	05-06 01:17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	5	$108	191	133	+59	open	—	01-25 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$105	134	0	+134	Down	$-2	05-07 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$102	75	75	+0	open	—	04-30 23:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$100	104	0	+104	Up	+$4	05-08 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$100	118	0	+118	Down	+$18	05-05 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$100	104	0	+104	Up	+$4	05-08 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$100	104	0	+104	Down	+$4	05-05 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$95	82	82	+0	Up	$-5	05-08 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$90	109	36	+73	Up	+$23	05-04 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$80	137	0	+137	Down	+$57	05-05 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$80	85	0	+85	Up	+$5	05-07 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$80	95	0	+95	Up	$-80	05-08 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$69	39	39	+0	Up	+$9	05-08 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$62	33	33	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$60	94	0	+94	Up	+$34	05-07 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$53	94	94	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 07:44
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	3	$50	175	248	-73	open	—	02-12 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$50	122	0	+122	Up	+$53	05-07 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	05-01 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	04-30 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$37	38	38	+0	Down	$-3	05-07 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	05-02 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xf4c41b…
05-08 10:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x487a95…
05-08 08:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x606892…
05-08 08:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xacb7de…
05-08 07:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x6f9b8b…
05-08 07:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x53371b…
05-08 07:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	67	2¢	$1	0x705c61…
05-08 07:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x71ff68…
05-08 07:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0xf5c6d9…
05-08 07:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xf306fa…
05-08 07:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xaf6ecf…
05-08 07:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x27e30f…
05-08 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x35caf2…
05-08 07:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x893626…
05-08 03:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	62	53¢	$33	0x215918…
05-08 03:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0xfb9d73…
05-08 03:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x8c32c3…
05-08 03:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x806d42…
05-08 03:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x327ab6…
05-07 22:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x164764…
05-07 22:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	25	24¢	$6	0xacca2e…
05-07 22:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x1835f2…
05-07 22:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1531d9…
05-07 13:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	112	98¢	$110	0x1661a5…
05-07 13:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x9734f0…
05-07 13:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x38bc40…
05-07 12:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0xff70bc…
05-07 12:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x98ff76…
05-07 12:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0xbb9ddd…
05-07 12:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x878270…
05-07 11:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x86bccf…
05-07 11:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc54836…
05-07 11:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x37676e…
05-07 11:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf16031…
05-07 03:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0x73cd49…
05-07 02:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x409260…
05-06 03:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x1a8678…
05-06 03:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	8¢	$4	0x81563e…
05-06 03:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	281	71¢	$200	0x5a2a89…
05-06 03:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x590161…
05-06 03:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xa096e5…
05-06 01:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	121	91¢	$110	0xc1a9bb…
05-05 22:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x95c28b…
05-05 21:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	99	91¢	$90	0x221726…
05-05 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9dfee0…
05-05 21:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	137	59¢	$80	0x9a0e35…
05-04 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x33d9ea…
05-04 21:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0x6f4c97…
05-04 21:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x614e2a…
05-04 21:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x12557a…
05-03 10:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xca0335…
05-02 23:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xf74cd7…
05-02 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x428249…
05-02 23:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xee1b92…
05-02 23:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x34bde8…
05-02 23:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x80c480…
05-02 23:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1fd348…
05-02 07:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x963f11…
05-02 07:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x22f35a…
05-02 06:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x2252ad…
05-01 07:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	89¢	$20	0x3226e5…
05-01 07:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x30ee7a…
04-30 23:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x34ee9f…
04-30 23:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x3a9aa9…
04-30 23:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0xf470d0…
04-30 23:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x1a64a8…
04-30 11:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x396f44…
04-30 11:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd6319b…
04-30 11:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xa7bf21…
04-28 22:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x32ef8e…
04-28 22:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1abfc4…
04-28 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2fc669…
04-28 22:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xcee8c0…
04-28 22:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x58a04c…
04-28 22:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x39c68b…
04-08 21:13:49	btc updown 5m 1775682600	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xc53dd5…
04-08 21:13:07	btc updown 5m 1775682600	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf6f571…
04-08 21:11:13	btc updown 5m 1775682600	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x67e5fa…
04-08 21:11:05	btc updown 5m 1775682600	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1d1272…
04-07 21:05:07	btc updown 5m 1775595900	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4524e6…
02-28 08:27:27	btc updown 5m 1772267100	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xd11dfa…
02-28 08:26:15	btc updown 5m 1772267100	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x218c75…
02-28 07:40:43	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x06188f…
02-28 07:40:37	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x79317e…
02-17 22:49:15	btc updown 5m 1771368300	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x97d364…
02-17 22:44:13	btc updown 5m 1771368000	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x277ab8…
02-17 22:34:19	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x812e36…
02-17 22:33:39	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x7b0da7…
02-12 08:56:59	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	SELL	248	9¢	$22	0x871af7…
01-25 22:05:12	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	Yes	BUY	916	1¢	$10	0xeb295d…
01-25 22:04:04	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x78c30d…
01-25 22:02:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xd81073…
01-24 20:21:18	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x17677a…
01-21 17:35:38	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	24¢	$32	0x4bb1fc…
01-12 22:06:09	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x50f928…
01-12 06:33:38	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xbaf7d6…
01-12 03:10:50	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	Yes	BUY	129	6¢	$8	0x147258…
01-11 01:22:08	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb491f8…
01-11 01:21:16	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xfb3dd0…
01-10 19:05:00	bitcoin above 90k on january 11	Yes	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xdfa773…