Oily-Dwell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

Trades

456

lifetime

Volume

$5.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-12 15:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 71% $-34

Politics

37% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	16	$2.2K	2,720	2,720	+0	open	—	03-23 12:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	14	$166	100	200	-100	Down	+$72	05-11 04:08
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 28	4	$115	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 11:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	10	$96	200	11	+189	Down	$-3	05-11 08:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-06 10:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-12 14:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	4	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-11 03:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	5	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-08 10:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	13	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-06 10:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	4	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-09 06:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	11	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-07 03:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	7	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-11 06:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	5	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-07 03:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	9	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-09 14:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	11	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-06 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	11	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-11 06:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	6	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-10 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	11	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-11 04:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	13	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-11 11:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	14	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-11 05:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	17	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-09 13:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	16	$94	200	0	+200	Up	+$6	05-11 03:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	29	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-09 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	19	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-11 04:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	32	$94	200	0	+200	Down	+$6	05-11 08:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	15	$93	200	0	+200	Up	+$7	05-12 14:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	11	$91	200	0	+200	Up	+$9	05-12 15:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$90	200	0	+200	Down	+$10	05-12 13:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	9	$84	180	0	+180	Up	$-5	05-11 05:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	14	$81	173	0	+173	Down	$-8	05-12 13:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	57	43¢	$25	0xe74a6f…
05-12 15:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xb068f5…
05-12 15:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x4dc98d…
05-12 15:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xfa1479…
05-12 15:15:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x55c098…
05-12 15:00:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0xf7cdd7…
05-12 15:00:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xe4abf9…
05-12 15:00:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xb2630e…
05-12 15:00:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x396711…
05-12 15:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xf93dfa…
05-12 15:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe436ac…
05-12 15:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7938b9…
05-12 15:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0xa41104…
05-12 15:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf64408…
05-12 15:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc5a8ff…
05-12 14:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xde914b…
05-12 14:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	93	45¢	$42	0x704f96…
05-12 14:30:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x2b1266…
05-12 14:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2ea72e…
05-12 14:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x61667f…
05-12 14:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x28e229…
05-12 14:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b6dc2…
05-12 14:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x6d01e2…
05-12 14:30:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1ecdab…
05-12 14:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x138a44…
05-12 14:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7e111f…
05-12 14:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x74a493…
05-12 14:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xde6a9b…
05-12 14:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0x0bfe47…
05-12 14:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb27d67…
05-12 14:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8ae5b2…
05-12 14:15:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcbf428…
05-12 14:15:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x920249…
05-12 14:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xac74fd…
05-12 14:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x838ce5…
05-12 14:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x6e7583…
05-12 14:08:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd4f087…
05-12 13:46:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x68ad35…
05-12 13:45:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xcb1288…
05-12 13:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa8bfc9…
05-12 13:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x97c5ce…
05-12 13:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x6f506d…
05-12 13:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x361c21…
05-12 13:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x6e6ca7…
05-12 13:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbf2a85…
05-12 13:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xf81a73…
05-12 13:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0x591b2a…
05-12 13:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x346913…
05-12 13:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x1b02bd…
05-12 13:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9568f0…
05-12 13:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xabf484…
05-12 13:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x7ac289…
05-12 13:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x457151…
05-11 11:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x3bd130…
05-11 11:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1d3b51…
05-11 11:30:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x851b6b…
05-11 11:30:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7a081c…
05-11 11:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb5144c…
05-11 11:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x852b7c…
05-11 11:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x673518…
05-11 11:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xfc6f14…
05-11 11:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xf80c64…
05-11 11:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd7ea6d…
05-11 11:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x96bb99…
05-11 11:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4069e2…
05-11 11:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x3d1ad3…
05-11 11:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3bc161…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xf86ec6…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xf559e1…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe73427…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xaebcbb…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x8b2fb3…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x622e8e…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x44b75f…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2500b2…
05-11 11:16:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x132d38…
05-11 11:16:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4358dc…
05-11 11:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0xf8d17c…
05-11 11:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x894cfc…
05-11 11:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	95	47¢	$45	0xb4f3d2…
05-11 11:12:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x14cb33…
05-11 11:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0xad9b9c…
05-11 11:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x34ca5e…
05-11 11:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xd2a4ff…
05-11 11:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5051ac…
05-11 11:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x2c82e9…
05-11 11:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb71e04…
05-11 11:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2c532c…
05-11 11:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xa5fc8a…
05-11 10:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5bb7ce…
05-11 10:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0xde2aed…
05-11 10:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x5850c8…
05-11 09:00:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	47¢	$24	0x56974c…
05-11 09:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x22821d…
05-11 09:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x18fcc7…
05-11 08:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x4ec485…
05-11 08:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x06d95a…
05-11 08:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe66121…
05-11 08:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd93e56…
05-11 08:46:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xd473f3…