Lopsided-Formicarium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$536

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

209

Trades

699

lifetime

Volume

$5.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-12 08:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Politics

60% 26% -$371

Crypto

20% 40% +$1

Other

19% 11% -$151

Sports

0% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	14	$504	1,077	1,077	+0	Yes	+$6	03-30 12:06
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	12	$381	1,771	1,676	+95	No	-$6	05-31 07:53
iran leadership change by march 31	17	$340	1,587	1,388	+199	No	-$85	03-28 11:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$185	312	312	+0	Yes	-$20	04-03 12:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	11	$180	1,244	839	+405	No	-$15	03-31 13:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	38	$180	8,959	2,550	+6,409	Yes	-$69	05-31 07:31
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	17	$149	1,319	1,083	+237	Yes	-$12	03-22 22:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	8	$142	867	867	+0	No	-$21	04-12 07:56
Iran leadership change by May 31?	8	$114	1,199	1,199	+0	No	+$2	05-29 19:27
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$101	316	316	+0	No	-$29	04-02 07:42
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	9	$98	94	94	+0	No	+$6	06-08 06:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$97	156	156	+0	No	-$3	03-16 14:09
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$93	1,061	61	+1,000	Yes	-$3	03-24 12:29
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	6	$92	243	243	+0	No	+$8	03-27 19:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	16	$86	541	541	+0	No	+$6	05-25 21:55
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$85	937	289	+648	No	-$13	04-01 14:59
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	2	$85	209	209	+0	No	-$5	03-20 06:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$80	186	186	+0	No	+$10	03-23 11:10
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	7	$78	1,867	1,867	+0	No	-$4	03-28 08:47
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	10	$72	64	64	+0	No	-$8	03-27 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 18:20 UTC	4	$68	47	47	+1	Down	+$3	03-18 18:24
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	3	$68	179	179	+0	No	-$12	05-28 14:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$60	253	253	+0	Yes	-$50	04-02 07:41
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$60	188	188	+0	No	+$2	03-19 16:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$56	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	03-25 11:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$56	532	532	+0	No	-$29	05-22 11:07
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	2	$56	200	200	+0	No	-$4	03-24 12:15
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	3	$55	198	182	+17	No	+$13	05-29 19:43
will qatar strike iran by march 31	3	$54	307	307	+0	No	+$4	03-18 17:28
Netanyahu out by June 30?	4	$53	1,290	1,290	+0	No	-$11	06-11 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 08:27:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfa610b…
06-11 17:53:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	58	20¢	$12	0xc66a7f…
06-11 17:52:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x60bb4a…
06-11 17:52:00	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	667	2¢	$10	0x147428…
06-10 07:32:04	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	667	2¢	$12	0xfcbcb6…
06-08 07:08:01	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0x9ba494…
06-08 06:44:04	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x87281f…
06-08 06:43:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	70	19¢	$13	0x4d8ce8…
06-08 06:16:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0xc1fdac…
06-08 06:16:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	91	17¢	$15	0xd0a920…
06-08 06:16:06	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x49e3b6…
06-08 06:08:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	20¢	$18	0x88b3ad…
06-08 06:07:45	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0x4b25bc…
06-08 04:04:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	SELL	93	5¢	$5	0x949ee2…
06-08 03:09:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x98c380…
06-08 03:07:42	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	59	8¢	$5	0xf76074…
06-07 21:45:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xa480f5…
06-07 21:45:09	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x3838ca…
06-07 19:35:28	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0x25126a…
06-07 19:17:57	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x02c2a9…
06-07 19:17:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xbc72f2…
06-07 19:17:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x193a65…
06-07 19:17:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0x4abc63…
06-07 19:13:15	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x9c3c32…
06-07 19:11:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	38	52¢	$20	0x079a91…
06-07 19:08:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc9ec79…
06-07 19:08:27	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfb36d3…
06-07 19:07:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	408	4¢	$16	0x424113…
06-04 05:04:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	8¢	$10	0x92275a…
06-02 19:00:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x983491…
06-02 18:57:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x7ee5f1…
06-02 18:56:57	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	122	8¢	$10	0x070f86…
06-02 07:33:45	Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	9¢	$11	0x64752e…
06-02 05:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdef2ed…
06-02 05:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x39a258…
06-02 05:32:35	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	624	2¢	$11	0xa65979…
05-31 15:49:06	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	624	3¢	$20	0xa70e47…
05-31 14:50:06	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x163786…
05-31 07:53:47	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x4dc57c…
05-31 07:53:17	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x6fb633…
05-31 07:31:12	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x584a99…
05-31 06:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xed622a…
05-31 06:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1dbe77…
05-31 06:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcd139c…
05-30 18:00:22	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4d1d89…
05-30 17:45:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x5dd4e7…
05-30 17:45:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0xb147f3…
05-30 16:54:57	Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x65b2b3…
05-30 16:21:58	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0xdcf583…
05-30 16:08:36	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x801e92…
05-30 15:54:22	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x11a141…
05-30 15:50:29	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9a008a…
05-30 15:49:58	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x608d0d…
05-30 15:48:51	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x73c122…
05-29 20:05:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xb433b4…
05-29 20:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xfb3d76…
05-29 20:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbc9f22…
05-29 20:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x007a8e…
05-29 20:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x883cef…
05-29 19:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xa00f96…
05-29 19:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x059692…
05-29 19:46:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x18cebe…
05-29 19:43:43	Will Donald Trump dance on May 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	2¢	$3	0xa9f196…
05-29 19:43:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x78df42…
05-29 19:27:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	265	2¢	$5	0x7ce3d6…
05-29 18:41:41	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	265	1¢	$3	0x50e561…
05-29 17:33:57	Will Donald Trump dance on May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$3	0x9c8c74…
05-29 07:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x46a8c4…
05-29 07:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe14f89…
05-29 07:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x08ae27…
05-29 07:37:04	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xc38f43…
05-29 05:16:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x211544…
05-28 16:48:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	SELL	182	19¢	$34	0x3d245a…
05-28 16:06:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xba2613…
05-28 14:28:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	61	33¢	$20	0xce8236…
05-28 14:24:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	61	39¢	$24	0x75901e…
05-28 14:23:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	12¢	$23	0x46a16e…
05-28 14:20:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xd41a86…
05-28 14:19:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xaa76c1…
05-28 14:18:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x7318b8…
05-28 14:18:16	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	15¢	$28	0x647fbb…
05-28 11:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd1addb…
05-28 11:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x83f779…
05-28 11:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x5f04fb…
05-28 11:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xb0eb3d…
05-28 11:10:29	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	Yes	SELL	312	1¢	$4	0xf44d30…
05-28 10:59:36	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0xb342c9…
05-28 10:58:21	Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xfb1fd7…
05-28 10:25:01	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x89a456…
05-28 10:20:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x00f8ae…
05-28 07:32:59	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x77e739…
05-28 07:29:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x96080f…
05-28 07:29:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xe453d4…
05-28 07:25:56	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x669f38…
05-28 05:27:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x628351…
05-27 16:26:10	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x2b8853…
05-27 16:22:52	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	940	0¢	$1	0xf528ba…
05-27 13:57:39	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0f3c92…
05-27 13:57:20	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x983336…
05-27 13:42:52	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	SELL	127	1¢	$1	0x74b3cc…