Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$535

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

260

Trades

546

lifetime

Volume

$8.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-03 16:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 41% -$118

Other

4% 17% -$255

Politics

3% 33% -$150

Sports

1% 50% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes		-400	-$9	1¢	$-3	+$6	08-24 14:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 01:00 UTC	5	$381	208	207	+1	Up	+$22	02-10 01:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 01:15 UTC	5	$262	175	174	+1	Up	+$3	02-10 01:28
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:00 UTC	6	$199	183	77	+106	Up	+$52	02-10 17:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:45 UTC	5	$165	183	53	+131	Up	-$86	02-10 16:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 17:15 UTC	6	$152	663	662	+1	Up	+$36	02-10 17:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:30 UTC	2	$139	106	96	+10	Up	+$50	02-10 16:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 01:30 UTC	4	$134	146	20	+126	Down	+$17	02-10 01:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:00 UTC	7	$125	228	81	+148	Down	+$30	02-10 02:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 20:15 UTC	4	$123	240	59	+181	Down	+$134	02-10 20:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:15 UTC	6	$119	177	43	+134	Down	+$0	02-10 02:29
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	6	$118	407	0	+407	No	-$118	02-25 02:10
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 02:45 UTC	4	$112	129	0	+129	Up	+$17	02-10 02:57
will the dhs shutdown end between february 24 27 2026	2	$111	429	429	+0	No	-$69	02-19 14:46
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:30 UTC	5	$105	124	0	+124	Down	+$19	02-10 03:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:15 UTC	3	$101	102	76	+27	Down	+$19	02-10 18:22
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:15 UTC	1	$100	202	0	+202	Down	-$100	02-10 19:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 19:15 UTC	1	$100	208	0	+208	Up	+$108	02-10 19:17
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:45 UTC	1	$100	122	0	+122	Down	+$22	02-10 16:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 17:45 UTC	3	$100	143	0	+143	Down	+$43	02-11 17:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:45 UTC	1	$100	112	0	+112	Down	+$12	02-10 15:57
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:45 UTC	3	$100	144	0	+144	Down	+$44	02-10 18:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 16:15 UTC	1	$100	105	0	+105	Down	+$5	02-10 16:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 22:45 UTC	2	$95	63	63	+1	Down	+$16	02-09 22:53
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$87	2,293	0	+2,293	No	-$87	03-04 00:50
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 18:30 UTC	3	$85	129	0	+129	Down	-$85	02-10 18:42
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 03:00 UTC	4	$77	78	25	+53	Up	+$10	02-16 03:08
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-19 18:15 UTC	2	$75	63	63	+1	Up	+$36	02-19 18:24
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 03:30 UTC	2	$70	195	0	+195	Up	-$70	02-16 03:34
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 02:15 UTC	3	$69	100	0	+100	Up	+$31	02-12 02:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$68	250	344	-94	No	+$8	08-25 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 16:37:08	XRP Up or Down - October 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x47ee16…
10-03 16:25:50	XRP Up or Down - October 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd48ef9…
08-29 16:59:34	xrp up or down august 29 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x8594c8…
08-29 16:58:03	xrp up or down august 29 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xea270e…
08-29 16:55:10	xrp up or down august 29 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x5c9c85…
08-29 16:41:39	xrp up or down august 29 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf5b299…
08-26 15:20:57	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0ffe99…
08-26 14:31:18	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x588f92…
08-26 14:21:28	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb27570…
08-26 13:59:03	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xc445dc…
08-26 13:58:54	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-26 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1a9308…
08-25 23:44:18	xrp up or down august 25 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7859cb…
08-25 23:44:09	xrp up or down august 25 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xabb9d2…
08-25 22:17:07	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb3de20…
08-25 22:17:06	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5fd25e…
08-25 22:10:36	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3c10fd…
08-25 22:10:33	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xd087e3…
08-25 22:10:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9bdbc6…
08-25 22:10:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6f23e8…
08-25 22:10:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2d546b…
08-25 22:08:52	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4f43fd…
08-25 22:08:51	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe6bd5c…
08-25 22:08:51	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x9c659e…
08-25 22:08:49	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe2c8ad…
08-25 22:08:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xab35b3…
08-25 22:08:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x97e487…
08-25 22:08:46	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x23cc2d…
08-25 22:07:40	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8b6551…
08-25 22:07:36	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x715340…
08-25 22:07:34	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7fb54c…
08-25 22:07:34	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x40e75b…
08-25 22:07:34	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x129f47…
08-25 22:07:33	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdd1063…
08-25 22:07:33	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc1de1e…
08-25 22:07:31	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9dd5b8…
08-25 22:07:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x853263…
08-25 22:07:27	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8fdecc…
08-25 22:07:27	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x23e398…
08-25 22:07:21	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd2b9b4…
08-25 22:06:49	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	166	10¢	$16	0x88ba47…
08-25 22:04:30	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9fa421…
08-25 22:04:22	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5736ff…
08-25 22:04:03	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd851ab…
08-25 22:03:58	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x151803…
08-25 22:02:54	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xda3dde…
08-25 22:02:52	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xca218e…
08-25 22:02:52	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb2b801…
08-25 22:01:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfb20e3…
08-25 22:01:48	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0xbb1a0f…
08-25 22:01:24	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x01e241…
08-25 22:01:16	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xac4a3e…
08-25 22:01:16	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x978971…
08-25 22:01:16	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-25 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5b9bef…
08-25 21:58:30	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3b3679…
08-25 21:58:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	27	84¢	$23	0x07f4ad…
08-25 21:55:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xed9e12…
08-25 21:55:37	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbfad90…
08-25 21:51:42	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1fc533…
08-25 21:51:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x3ed2ea…
08-25 21:51:00	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	344	11¢	$38	0x704190…
08-25 19:36:27	xrp up or down august 25 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x04a97e…
08-25 19:29:48	xrp up or down august 25 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x94e94c…
08-25 19:29:42	xrp up or down august 25 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x850980…
08-25 00:31:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbf3cf9…
08-25 00:31:09	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3817e5…
08-25 00:29:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x40e6c4…
08-25 00:29:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfe0ee7…
08-25 00:29:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf9abf6…
08-24 14:45:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x25d9c3…
08-24 14:45:18	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc6cd6f…
08-24 14:29:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xdfe9cd…
08-24 14:29:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3443df…
08-24 14:28:31	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	79	15¢	$11	0x532d73…
08-24 14:28:00	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xa5cf9c…
08-24 14:27:18	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xf884ee…
08-24 14:17:03	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$9	0x2d9ccc…
03-05 00:34:11	internet access restored in iran by march 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xfb9e96…
03-05 00:34:11	internet access restored in iran by march 14 2026	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xb5a839…
03-05 00:21:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xec2820…
03-05 00:21:33	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9e513f…
03-05 00:21:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xd1b11d…
03-05 00:21:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x78d89b…
03-05 00:18:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x1bd647…
03-05 00:13:29	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe23233…
03-04 00:50:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x6799ce…
03-01 18:32:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xded81d…
02-26 21:38:38	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 21:35 UTC	Down	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0xaff863…
02-26 21:36:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xb00f6b…
02-26 21:34:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x825471…
02-26 21:02:52	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8e938a…
02-26 17:23:10	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc3fda2…
02-26 17:22:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf46315…
02-26 17:22:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5611b2…
02-26 17:22:42	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x432fc5…
02-26 16:27:10	will leavitt say historic during the next white house press briefing 425	Yes	BUY	60	73¢	$44	0xeb1850…
02-26 16:11:06	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3b06a2…
02-26 15:56:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x20959d…
02-26 15:46:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x0d0b94…
02-26 15:45:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xd26cfb…
02-26 15:45:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8c2d94…