Realized P&L
+$27.6K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
45.9%
Resolved
226
Trades
631
lifetime
Volume
$140.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$222
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 04-26 00:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 84 days
Categories
Politics
49%
46%
+$16,488
Other
37%
44%
+$10,088
Crypto
6%
23%
-$7,072
Tech
4%
38%
+$1,239
Sports
3%
54%
+$3,633
Pop-Culture
1%
100%
+$3,242
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-26).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 17 | $4.4K | 0 | 4,880 | -4,880 | No | -$507 | 01-07 19:46 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | 1 | $3.3K | 7,296 | 0 | +7,296 | No | +$4,013 | 04-12 12:53 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 1 | $3.3K | 6,500 | 0 | +6,500 | Yes | -$3,256 | 04-07 20:13 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | 1 | $2.8K | 6,608 | 0 | +6,608 | No | +$3,833 | 04-12 12:53 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | 2 | $2.5K | 4,548 | 0 | +4,548 | No | +$2,092 | 04-08 10:19 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 1 | $2.4K | 3,069 | 0 | +3,069 | No | +$672 | 02-01 05:29 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 1 | $2.4K | 3,115 | 0 | +3,115 | No | +$738 | 02-08 17:16 |
| another us strike on venezuela by march 31 | 1 | $2.4K | 5,912 | 0 | +5,912 | No | +$3,541 | 04-02 01:30 |
| Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 8 | $2.2K | 6,990 | 0 | +6,990 | Yes | -$2,237 | 04-13 15:51 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 2 | $1.9K | 3,086 | 0 | +3,086 | Yes | -$1,916 | 02-28 13:34 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 1 | $1.9K | 3,120 | 0 | +3,120 | No | +$1,211 | 03-20 17:37 |
| will israel strike gaza on march 5 2026 | 1 | $1.9K | 4,032 | 0 | +4,032 | No | +$2,133 | 03-09 01:18 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | 11 | $1.8K | 6,036 | 0 | +6,036 | Yes | -$1,811 | 04-24 14:14 |
| will baidu have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026 | 1 | $1.7K | 2,518 | 0 | +2,518 | No | +$783 | 01-31 03:09 |
| will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election | 6 | $1.7K | 5,413 | 5,413 | +0 | Yes | +$866 | 04-10 17:33 |
| will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66 | 2 | $1.7K | 4,039 | 0 | +4,039 | Yes | +$2,366 | 02-20 01:59 |
| internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026 | 2 | $1.6K | 3,152 | 0 | +3,152 | No | +$1,513 | 04-16 11:26 |
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 3 | $1.6K | 4,047 | 0 | +4,047 | Yes | -$1,639 | 04-13 16:10 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 1 | $1.6K | 3,210 | 0 | +3,210 | No | +$1,573 | 03-11 19:46 |
| will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28 | 3 | $1.6K | 3,635 | 0 | +3,635 | Yes | -$1,636 | 02-25 19:18 |
| iran strike on israel by february 28 | 14 | $1.6K | 4,204 | 0 | +4,204 | Yes | -$1,635 | 02-28 06:17 |
| susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31 | 1 | $1.6K | 3,956 | 0 | +3,956 | No | +$2,326 | 03-16 15:58 |
| greg bovino firedresigns by march 31 | 1 | $1.6K | 3,537 | 0 | +3,537 | Yes | -$1,627 | 03-16 16:53 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 2 | $1.6K | 3,126 | 0 | +3,126 | No | +$1,500 | 03-05 04:33 |
| will iran strike lebanon in march | 10 | $1.6K | 3,304 | 0 | +3,304 | Yes | -$1,622 | 03-22 21:54 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | 1 | $1.6K | 3,393 | 0 | +3,393 | Yes | +$1,771 | 01-10 11:31 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552 | 2 | $1.5K | 6,062 | 0 | +6,062 | No | +$4,532 | 03-27 11:17 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | 1 | $1.5K | 6,064 | 0 | +6,064 | Yes | -$1,516 | 04-07 22:36 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | 1 | $1.5K | 6,046 | 0 | +6,046 | No | -$1,512 | 04-09 21:10 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 10 | $1.5K | 6,044 | 0 | +6,044 | Yes | -$1,511 | 04-15 13:20 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||