Plain-Takeover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$260

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

747

Trades

2,367

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 11-06 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 169 days

Categories

Other

92% 29% +$94

Politics

4% 32% +$65

Crypto

3% 25% +$91

Sports

1% 12% -$5

Tech

1% 50% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
which cities face tornado risk on october 21 2026 chicago il	1	$615	621	0	+621	No	+$6	10-21 13:23
which cities face tornado risk on october 22 2026 chicago il	1	$530	535	0	+535	No	+$5	10-22 13:11
which cities face tornado risk on october 22 2026 dallas tx	1	$530	535	0	+535	No	+$5	10-22 13:14
which cities face tornado risk on october 21 2026 houston tx	1	$526	531	0	+531	No	+$5	10-21 13:29
which cities face tornado risk on october 21 2026 san antonio tx	1	$516	521	0	+521	No	+$5	10-21 13:33
which cities face tornado risk on october 21 2026 indianapolis in	1	$516	521	0	+521	No	+$5	10-21 13:39
which cities face tornado risk on october 20 2026 san antonio tx	1	$494	500	0	+500	No	+$6	10-20 12:27
which cities face tornado risk on october 20 2026 chicago il	1	$494	500	0	+500	No	+$6	10-20 12:27
which cities face tornado risk on october 20 2026 houston tx	1	$494	500	0	+500	No	+$6	10-20 12:27
which cities face tornado risk on october 20 2026 dallas tx	1	$494	500	0	+500	No	+$6	10-20 12:28
Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 7?	3	$397	220	200	+20	No	-$1	10-07 12:55
Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on October 10?	2	$394	200	200	+0	No	-$2	10-10 12:51
which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 des moines ia	1	$363	367	0	+367	No	+$4	10-23 14:11
which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 louisville ky	1	$351	355	0	+355	No	+$4	10-23 13:26
which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 indianapolis in	1	$351	355	0	+355	No	+$4	10-23 13:25
which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 columbus oh	1	$351	355	0	+355	No	+$4	10-23 13:43
which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 dallas tx	1	$332	335	0	+335	No	+$3	10-23 13:25
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	6	$329	1,660	1,660	+0	No	-$70	03-09 08:02
which cities face tornado risk on october 26 2026 des moines ia	1	$325	328	0	+328	No	+$3	10-26 13:23
which cities face tornado risk on october 24 2026 des moines ia	1	$324	327	0	+327	No	+$3	10-24 13:50
which cities face tornado risk on october 24 2026 san antonio tx	1	$324	327	0	+327	No	+$3	10-24 13:50
which cities face tornado risk on october 24 2026 dallas tx	1	$324	327	0	+327	No	+$3	10-24 13:18
which cities face tornado risk on october 25 2026 dallas tx	1	$321	324	0	+324	No	+$3	10-25 12:56
Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 26?	1	$320	323	0	+323	No	+$3	10-26 13:22
Will Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on October 26?	1	$320	323	0	+323	No	+$3	10-26 13:06
Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on October 26?	1	$320	323	0	+323	No	+$3	10-26 13:05
Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 26?	1	$320	323	0	+323	No	+$3	10-26 13:05
Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on October 26?	1	$315	318	0	+318	No	+$3	10-26 13:06
bitcoin up or down february 19 12am et	2	$314	210	210	+0	Up	+$104	02-19 07:22
Will Louisville, KY face tornado risk on October 24?	1	$314	317	0	+317	No	+$3	10-24 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 00:22:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x27ef7c…
11-05 16:57:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1a38e0…
11-05 12:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xe1e259…
11-05 12:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	No	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0xdc4099…
11-05 12:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xe9b7aa…
11-05 12:35:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xc3bc5c…
11-05 12:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xfd4578…
11-05 12:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x6fea86…
11-05 00:42:04	Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3f2a91…
11-04 22:35:43	Will Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on November 4?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa27cfe…
11-04 14:43:06	which cities face tornado risk on november 4 2026 nashville tn	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x2a21c8…
11-04 14:37:04	which cities face tornado risk on november 4 2026 birmingham al	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x31c1c6…
11-04 14:36:57	which cities face tornado risk on november 4 2026 birmingham al	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0x2b8a38…
11-04 14:33:52	which cities face tornado risk on november 4 2026 nashville tn	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x714a66…
11-04 14:33:45	which cities face tornado risk on november 4 2026 nashville tn	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xea8109…
11-03 17:20:01	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on November 3?	Yes	SELL	69	28¢	$19	0xd49fa4…
11-03 13:46:55	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	69	80¢	$55	0x9ad188…
11-02 14:22:09	which cities face tornado risk on november 2 2026 indianapolis in	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xb8c830…
11-02 14:22:03	which cities face tornado risk on november 2 2026 columbus oh	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x61b498…
11-02 14:21:55	which cities face tornado risk on november 2 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xb0f95c…
11-01 14:10:36	which cities face tornado risk on november 1 2026 des moines ia	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xc3df01…
11-01 14:10:28	which cities face tornado risk on november 1 2026 indianapolis in	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xff5808…
11-01 13:46:18	which cities face tornado risk on november 1 2026 columbus oh	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x809e70…
11-01 13:46:13	which cities face tornado risk on november 1 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xcf5c4b…
11-01 13:46:07	which cities face tornado risk on november 1 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x07bec7…
10-31 13:11:40	Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x157b4e…
10-30 14:38:48	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 30?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7d8d64…
10-30 14:13:37	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 30?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x36cd7b…
10-29 13:02:55	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xec458a…
10-28 13:22:49	which cities face tornado risk on october 28 2026 louisville ky	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x84a97d…
10-28 13:07:25	which cities face tornado risk on october 28 2026 indianapolis in	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x5ce56c…
10-28 13:07:16	which cities face tornado risk on october 28 2026 columbus oh	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xa4fbd1…
10-28 13:07:08	which cities face tornado risk on october 28 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x14b632…
10-27 14:12:17	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 on October 27?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x70a53c…
10-27 13:15:33	which cities face tornado risk on october 27 2026 columbus oh	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x033666…
10-27 12:59:29	which cities face tornado risk on october 27 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x755dba…
10-26 13:23:38	which cities face tornado risk on october 26 2026 louisville ky	No	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0x53b948…
10-26 13:23:02	which cities face tornado risk on october 26 2026 des moines ia	No	BUY	328	99¢	$325	0x04fc39…
10-26 13:22:11	Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 26?	No	BUY	323	99¢	$320	0x42bc88…
10-26 13:06:14	Will Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on October 26?	No	BUY	323	99¢	$320	0xaae27b…
10-26 13:06:08	Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on October 26?	No	BUY	318	99¢	$315	0xe4c7f5…
10-26 13:05:59	Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on October 26?	No	BUY	323	99¢	$320	0x62f214…
10-26 13:05:51	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 26?	No	BUY	323	99¢	$320	0xba0cee…
10-25 13:17:06	which cities face tornado risk on october 25 2026 des moines ia	No	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0x46e780…
10-25 13:16:59	Will Louisville, KY face tornado risk on October 25?	No	BUY	214	99¢	$212	0x7e3b81…
10-25 13:16:36	which cities face tornado risk on october 25 2026 san antonio tx	No	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0xbb8da4…
10-25 12:56:39	Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on October 25?	No	BUY	314	99¢	$311	0xebb91c…
10-25 12:56:30	which cities face tornado risk on october 25 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	324	99¢	$321	0xcb5a2b…
10-25 12:56:23	Will Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on October 25?	No	BUY	314	99¢	$311	0xa4beef…
10-25 12:56:14	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 25?	No	BUY	314	99¢	$311	0xae2227…
10-25 03:20:20	Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on October 24?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x118e1a…
10-24 13:50:35	which cities face tornado risk on october 24 2026 des moines ia	No	BUY	327	99¢	$324	0x512a5c…
10-24 13:50:27	which cities face tornado risk on october 24 2026 san antonio tx	No	BUY	327	99¢	$324	0x863e09…
10-24 13:18:29	Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on October 24?	No	BUY	317	99¢	$314	0xb5627d…
10-24 13:18:15	Will Louisville, KY face tornado risk on October 24?	No	BUY	317	99¢	$314	0xb6ee2f…
10-24 13:18:09	Will Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on October 24?	No	BUY	317	99¢	$314	0x523491…
10-24 13:18:03	which cities face tornado risk on october 24 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	327	99¢	$324	0x3f8f53…
10-24 13:03:50	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 24?	No	BUY	217	99¢	$215	0x3f9199…
10-23 14:11:50	which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 des moines ia	No	BUY	367	99¢	$363	0x997b25…
10-23 13:43:12	which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 columbus oh	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0x47ed5b…
10-23 13:26:00	which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 louisville ky	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0x72456a…
10-23 13:25:51	which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 indianapolis in	No	BUY	355	99¢	$351	0x5d1dee…
10-23 13:25:30	which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	335	99¢	$332	0xf894dd…
10-23 13:17:53	which cities face tornado risk on october 23 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	235	99¢	$233	0x840554…
10-22 13:40:56	Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on October 22?	No	BUY	265	99¢	$262	0x247a07…
10-22 13:37:24	which cities face tornado risk on october 22 2026 san antonio tx	No	BUY	235	99¢	$233	0xe5535d…
10-22 13:31:56	which cities face tornado risk on october 22 2026 indianapolis in	No	BUY	235	99¢	$233	0x6c4f89…
10-22 13:29:24	Will Louisville, KY face tornado risk on October 22?	No	BUY	265	99¢	$262	0x15cc8f…
10-22 13:14:30	which cities face tornado risk on october 22 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	535	99¢	$530	0x9b1ddf…
10-22 13:11:30	which cities face tornado risk on october 22 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	535	99¢	$530	0xfadceb…
10-21 13:39:27	which cities face tornado risk on october 21 2026 indianapolis in	No	BUY	521	99¢	$516	0x0f4e70…
10-21 13:33:06	which cities face tornado risk on october 21 2026 san antonio tx	No	BUY	521	99¢	$516	0xc06b08…
10-21 13:29:02	which cities face tornado risk on october 21 2026 houston tx	No	BUY	531	99¢	$526	0xdbd3d7…
10-21 13:23:38	which cities face tornado risk on october 21 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	621	99¢	$615	0x37bc77…
10-20 12:28:00	which cities face tornado risk on october 20 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x828d9f…
10-20 12:27:54	which cities face tornado risk on october 20 2026 san antonio tx	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x65a2eb…
10-20 12:27:44	which cities face tornado risk on october 20 2026 houston tx	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x77e19a…
10-20 12:27:38	which cities face tornado risk on october 20 2026 chicago il	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x816f84…
10-18 13:02:56	Will St. Louis, MO face tornado risk on October 18?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x0d809c…
10-18 13:02:26	Will Tampa, FL face tornado risk on October 18?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xb14e26…
10-18 13:01:45	Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on October 18?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xa5200f…
10-18 13:00:21	Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 18?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x02541a…
10-18 12:36:24	which cities face tornado risk on october 18 2026 san antonio tx	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcf1125…
10-18 12:36:24	which cities face tornado risk on october 18 2026 tampa fl	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb85ba2…
10-18 12:36:24	which cities face tornado risk on october 18 2026 omaha ne	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8202a9…
10-18 12:36:24	which cities face tornado risk on october 18 2026 wichita ks	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7c4b61…
10-18 12:36:24	which cities face tornado risk on october 18 2026 st louis mo	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x154554…
10-16 12:27:00	which cities face tornado risk on october 16 2026 houston tx	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xb09983…
10-15 12:30:55	Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x493ebe…
10-15 12:30:26	Will Arizona have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x56ef13…
10-15 12:26:23	which cities face tornado risk on october 15 2026 oklahoma city ok	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x66adf5…
10-14 01:02:15	which cities face tornado risk on october 13 2026 des moines ia	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x68d964…
10-13 20:20:39	which cities face tornado risk on october 13 2026 houston tx	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x09e81e…
10-11 12:54:24	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3790ab…
10-10 12:51:21	Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on October 10?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x661667…
10-10 12:41:36	Will "Space" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x788b55…
10-10 12:28:28	Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on October 10?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xce4dce…
10-10 02:30:15	Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe20744…
10-09 12:29:04	Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6d35e1…
10-08 12:54:42	Will Tampa, FL face tornado risk on October 8?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x663e88…