Realized P&L
+$15.3K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
65
Trades
847
lifetime
Volume
$42.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-26
last 04-30 17:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Other
40%
34%
+$8,153
Politics
31%
27%
+$4,038
Crypto
29%
14%
+$3,170
Sports
0%
0%
-$57
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-30).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bitcoin up or down on february 6 | 46 | $5.8K | 14,415 | 10,214 | +4,201 | Up | +$3,230 | 02-06 16:37 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 17 | $3.8K | 3,604 | 3,604 | +0 | Yes | +$2,061 | 02-28 17:14 |
| spx up or down on march 19 2026 | 115 | $3.3K | 10,159 | 5,900 | +4,259 | Down | +$2,175 | 03-19 19:57 |
| ethereum up or down on february 6 | 46 | $3.3K | 8,448 | 6,400 | +2,048 | Up | +$1,774 | 02-06 16:37 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 16 | $3.2K | 4,726 | 4,726 | +0 | Yes | -$154 | 03-14 22:42 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | 10 | $3.0K | 2,545 | 2,545 | +0 | Yes | +$1,321 | 02-28 17:15 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st | 46 | $1.8K | 3,000 | 3,000 | +0 | No | -$131 | 03-14 19:08 |
| spx opens up or down on march 10 2026 | 16 | $1.6K | 20,827 | 14,770 | +6,057 | Up | +$2,385 | 03-10 19:25 |
| spx opens up or down on march 23 2026 | 22 | $1.5K | 2,034 | 1,662 | +372 | Up | +$1,482 | 03-23 11:12 |
| gc settle 4725 4850 jan 2026 | 19 | $1.5K | 3,975 | 3,975 | +0 | Yes | +$1,338 | 01-30 18:21 |
| cl up or down on march 9 2026 | 50 | $1.2K | 66,516 | 41,034 | +25,482 | Up | +$777 | 03-09 21:03 |
| si above 90 jan 2026 | 8 | $1.0K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | No | +$730 | 01-30 18:02 |
| spx up or down on march 9 2026 | 9 | $906 | 891 | 891 | +0 | Up | +$621 | 03-09 19:27 |
| gc settle 4600 4725 jan 2026 | 21 | $867 | 9,851 | 5,042 | +4,809 | No | +$754 | 01-30 18:29 |
| will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026 | 21 | $829 | 1,391 | 1,400 | -9 | Yes | +$604 | 01-31 14:43 |
| spx up or down on march 10 2026 | 67 | $718 | 1,184 | 931 | +253 | Down | +$589 | 03-10 19:32 |
| spx opens up or down on march 2 2026 | 12 | $712 | 3,587 | 0 | +3,587 | Down | -$712 | 03-02 08:54 |
| si above 95 jan 2026 | 13 | $638 | 729 | 723 | +6 | No | +$344 | 01-30 17:42 |
| bitcoin above 62k on march 3 | 4 | $629 | 4,299 | 0 | +4,299 | Yes | -$629 | 03-01 19:51 |
| spx up or down on april 1 2026 | 39 | $515 | 8,598 | 2,454 | +6,144 | Up | -$81 | 04-01 18:24 |
| nflx above 90 on february 6 2026 | 9 | $427 | 5,330 | 0 | +5,330 | No | -$427 | 02-02 15:08 |
| us strikes iran by february 25 2026 | 2 | $381 | 11,805 | 2,951 | +8,854 | No | -$233 | 02-24 18:13 |
| spx up or down on march 30 2026 | 22 | $380 | 4,030 | 0 | +4,030 | Down | -$380 | 03-30 19:04 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 1 | $333 | 1,386 | 0 | +1,386 | Yes | -$333 | 02-28 16:36 |
| spy up or down on april 17 2026 | 32 | $302 | 3,626 | 0 | +3,626 | Up | -$302 | 04-17 15:11 |
| will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026 | 2 | $270 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$1,730 | 02-24 18:08 |
| bitcoin above 64k on march 3 | 3 | $265 | 500 | 0 | +500 | Yes | -$265 | 02-28 11:59 |
| ethereum up or down on february 5 | 4 | $239 | 1,900 | 0 | +1,900 | Down | -$239 | 02-05 13:46 |
| us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31 | 2 | $237 | 1,150 | 0 | +1,150 | No | -$237 | 03-20 10:32 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30? | 45 | $222 | 1,800 | 0 | +1,800 | Up | -$222 | 04-30 17:12 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||