Realized P&L
+$99.7K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.35K
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
49
Trades
1,650
lifetime
Volume
$3.73M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.26K
Open exposure
$3.78K
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-14 14:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
48%
50%
+$26,389
Politics
45%
75%
+$38,204
Crypto
7%
37%
+$36,315
Tech
0%
0%
-$1,196
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -6,995 | -$1,997 | 54¢ | $-3777 | -$1,780 | 07-13 14:25 | |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | +0 | $4,566 | 4¢ | $0 | -$4,566 | 07-14 00:12 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 114 | $957.6K | 964,869 | 0 | +964,869 | Yes | +$7,233 | 01-28 16:14 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 29 | $625.5K | 491,951 | 174,075 | +317,876 | Yes | +$21,739 | 04-06 17:33 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 217 | $458.5K | 235,273 | 235,273 | +0 | No | +$9,568 | 03-30 12:43 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 57 | $429.3K | 218,498 | 218,498 | +0 | No | +$3,424 | 04-01 02:51 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 23 | $358.2K | 183,526 | 183,526 | +0 | Yes | +$8,513 | 04-10 14:25 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 27 | $163.2K | 163,993 | 0 | +163,993 | Yes | +$820 | 03-16 16:45 |
| nothing ever happens microstrategy | 71 | $161.4K | 168,173 | 5,000 | +163,173 | No | +$7,204 | 03-16 12:00 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 228 | $116.3K | 60,068 | 60,068 | +0 | No | +$2,991 | 01-30 13:24 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | 128 | $64.5K | 77,084 | 0 | +77,084 | Yes | +$12,583 | 05-21 18:07 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241 | 1 | $59.9K | 60,839 | 0 | +60,839 | No | +$913 | 01-26 20:36 |
| will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6 | 44 | $56.9K | 58,150 | 0 | +58,150 | Yes | +$1,279 | 04-06 02:40 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 166 | $42.1K | 91,601 | 91,601 | +0 | No | +$15,548 | 05-11 12:56 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 14 | $40.9K | 26,851 | 26,851 | +0 | No | -$7,050 | 01-14 22:21 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | 77 | $30.6K | 29,832 | 29,832 | +0 | open | — | 07-14 00:12 |
| microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20 | 23 | $25.9K | 26,504 | 0 | +26,504 | Yes | +$629 | 04-15 13:05 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332 | 1 | $24.7K | 25,000 | 0 | +25,000 | No | +$325 | 01-27 17:30 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 78 | $16.1K | 23,845 | 23,845 | +0 | open | — | 07-13 14:25 |
| will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026 | 5 | $15.2K | 25,000 | 25,000 | +0 | No | -$7,336 | 06-08 15:02 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 59 | $15.0K | 35,603 | 0 | +35,603 | Yes | +$20,588 | 05-12 01:50 |
| will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31 | 14 | $10.6K | 5,709 | 5,709 | +0 | No | +$344 | 01-06 22:31 |
| will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724 | 3 | $9.5K | 10,000 | 0 | +10,000 | No | +$450 | 01-23 19:56 |
| EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 3 | $8.9K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | Yes | +$500 | 03-31 12:54 |
| will company b be accused of insider trading | 11 | $7.6K | 10,000 | 10,000 | +0 | No | +$1,800 | 02-25 16:41 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | 4 | $6.9K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | -$50 | 01-19 14:18 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 31 | $5.2K | 18,761 | 18,761 | +0 | Yes | -$2,562 | 03-24 20:02 |
| will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8 | 6 | $4.9K | 20,000 | 20,000 | +0 | Yes | -$800 | 06-07 11:36 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $2.5K | 10,229 | 0 | +10,229 | Yes | +$7,698 | 05-08 19:22 |
| will axiom be accused of insider trading | 23 | $2.2K | 11,409 | 11,409 | +0 | Yes | +$475 | 02-25 15:38 |
| Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 1 | $2.0K | 0 | 6,995 | -6,995 | open | — | 07-13 14:25 |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 22 | $1.7K | 46,260 | 34,614 | +11,646 | No | -$704 | 03-24 19:22 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||