Milky-Forum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.60K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,400

lifetime

Volume

$3.66M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.61K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-14 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

46% 100% +$7,698

Crypto

6% 0% $-100

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	114	$957.6K	964,869	0	+964,869	open	—	01-28 16:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	29	$625.5K	491,951	174,075	+317,876	open	—	04-06 17:33
netanyahu out by march 31 854	217	$458.5K	235,273	235,273	+0	open	—	03-30 12:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	57	$429.3K	218,498	218,498	+0	open	—	04-01 02:51
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	23	$358.2K	183,526	183,526	+0	open	—	04-10 14:25
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	27	$163.2K	163,993	0	+163,993	open	—	03-16 16:45
nothing ever happens microstrategy	71	$161.4K	168,173	5,000	+163,173	open	—	03-16 12:00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	228	$116.3K	60,068	60,068	+0	open	—	01-30 13:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	125	$64.5K	77,045	0	+77,045	open	—	05-21 18:07
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	1	$59.9K	60,839	0	+60,839	open	—	01-26 20:36
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	44	$56.9K	58,150	0	+58,150	open	—	04-06 02:40
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	14	$40.9K	26,851	26,851	+0	open	—	01-14 22:21
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	23	$25.9K	26,504	0	+26,504	open	—	04-15 13:05
will the us next strike iran on january 27 2026 et 332	1	$24.7K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	01-27 17:30
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	5	$15.2K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	06-08 15:02
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	59	$15.0K	35,603	0	+35,603	open	—	05-12 01:50
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	74	$13.0K	0	29,832	-29,832	open	—	07-14 00:12
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	14	$10.6K	5,709	5,709	+0	open	—	01-06 22:31
will the us next strike iran on january 23 2026 et 724	3	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-23 19:56
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$8.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	03-31 12:54
will company b be accused of insider trading	11	$7.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-25 16:41
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$6.9K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	01-19 14:18
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	31	$5.2K	18,761	18,761	+0	open	—	03-24 20:02
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	6	$4.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	06-07 11:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.5K	10,229	0	+10,229	Yes	+$7,698	05-08 19:22
will axiom be accused of insider trading	23	$2.2K	11,409	11,409	+0	open	—	02-25 15:38
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$2.0K	0	6,995	-6,995	open	—	07-13 14:25
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	22	$1.7K	46,260	34,614	+11,646	open	—	03-24 19:22
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	11	$1.6K	25,000	10,000	+15,000	open	—	04-27 05:49
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	10,667	10,667	+0	open	—	06-09 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 14:48:59	Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	8¢	$6	0xa94f90…
07-14 14:29:55	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	39	14¢	$5	0x01af53…
07-14 13:47:23	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	14¢	$6	0x7d7fcc…
07-14 13:47:14	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	65	14¢	$9	0xd1d8df…
07-14 13:46:58	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xd5e537…
07-14 13:46:40	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xe2fc90…
07-14 13:46:22	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	99	14¢	$14	0x0f2e06…
07-14 13:45:53	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x494fe2…
07-14 13:45:49	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	14¢	$10	0xdcb866…
07-14 13:45:49	APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	14¢	$14	0x7307e4…
07-14 13:45:28	Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,127	8¢	$93	0x2126a3…
07-14 00:12:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	40¢	$140	0xf38d43…
07-13 21:02:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	40¢	$100	0xd5abea…
07-13 20:47:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xf9b681…
07-13 20:31:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x06ad29…
07-13 20:23:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x2a60d6…
07-13 20:00:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x359cb6…
07-13 20:00:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xa71361…
07-13 19:28:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0xf6e45e…
07-13 19:17:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	40¢	$45	0xba578d…
07-13 18:49:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0xa9fbb6…
07-13 17:35:49	Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x8ba51c…
07-13 17:11:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	40¢	$1,600	0xd531b4…
07-13 17:05:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	40¢	$800	0x42f4a2…
07-13 17:05:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x77b8a9…
07-13 17:04:38	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	40¢	$800	0x6efb06…
07-13 17:02:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	40¢	$1,600	0x1b7a0d…
07-13 17:02:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	40¢	$800	0xa7922c…
07-13 17:01:35	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	40¢	$800	0x421a9b…
07-13 17:01:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	40¢	$800	0xbc052f…
07-13 16:43:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,178	40¢	$471	0xc409ff…
07-13 14:30:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	40¢	$44	0xd474bf…
07-13 14:29:50	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	40¢	$60	0x08f3d9…
07-13 14:29:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	40¢	$17	0x4d99c6…
07-13 14:25:31	Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6,995	29¢	$1,997	0xd4954b…
07-13 14:15:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,591	41¢	$1,484	0xbe1e61…
06-09 16:25:36	Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa1bedc…
06-09 16:24:48	Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	58¢	$18	0xa41a9b…
06-09 15:29:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5,000	2¢	$123	0xa2745b…
06-09 15:29:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,667	1¢	$154	0xdf64dd…
06-09 14:40:09	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,667	9¢	$973	0x1af2d4…
06-09 13:51:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,212	10¢	$221	0x96df6b…
06-09 13:50:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	387	10¢	$39	0x49e75a…
06-09 13:49:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	930	10¢	$93	0x8a15c4…
06-09 11:15:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	173	10¢	$17	0x807f6f…
06-09 10:48:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	603	10¢	$60	0x6319b2…
06-09 10:48:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	695	10¢	$70	0x84218c…
06-08 15:02:34	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	25,000	16¢	$3,939	0xb8d773…
06-07 11:36:46	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	20,000	10¢	$2,061	0x329769…
06-07 10:02:25	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	7,162	14¢	$1,003	0x9efc15…
06-07 10:00:31	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	1,593	14¢	$223	0x4c02e7…
06-07 10:00:22	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	1,244	14¢	$174	0x9b57b6…
06-07 09:46:00	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	3,091	15¢	$464	0x9269ad…
06-07 09:45:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	6,909	14¢	$998	0x14527e…
06-06 11:24:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5,003	45¢	$2,256	0x24e8d4…
06-06 11:21:31	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xa4cdab…
06-06 11:20:03	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xb41f85…
06-06 11:20:03	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	19,979	45¢	$9,010	0x798819…
06-05 23:10:36	Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,036	50¢	$518	0xcfc964…
06-05 18:18:18	Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x56fca6…
06-05 18:18:16	Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	48¢	$82	0x122a46…
06-05 17:48:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	58¢	$19	0xa425b9…
06-05 12:16:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x8e8c98…
06-05 12:06:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$8	0xd6da8b…
06-05 11:07:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x987a6f…
06-05 11:01:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x0377b2…
06-05 11:00:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x61bf70…
06-05 10:41:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x05b400…
06-05 10:36:49	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x8f9ac5…
06-05 10:09:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x8ce5ab…
06-05 10:05:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x2028b4…
06-05 09:28:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x98205c…
06-05 09:21:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x692efd…
06-05 08:31:42	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0x020415…
06-05 08:22:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	58¢	$11	0x66c827…
06-05 08:15:22	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0xa3562c…
06-05 08:13:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xc3f3de…
06-05 08:05:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x622877…
06-05 08:02:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xec042c…
06-05 08:01:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xcfe614…
06-05 07:55:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0x07168a…
06-05 07:48:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xc71a87…
06-05 07:42:13	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x6f6539…
06-05 07:34:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0xbe948b…
06-05 06:50:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5fda15…
06-05 04:32:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xe864ef…
06-05 04:25:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x3efb6d…
06-05 04:20:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x78d97a…
06-05 03:58:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x4f6335…
06-05 03:57:30	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x809e25…
06-05 03:35:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0xd21175…
06-05 03:25:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	58¢	$7	0x548936…
06-05 03:17:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xb87d4c…
06-05 03:06:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	58¢	$8	0x80c59a…
06-05 02:48:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xd93db8…
06-05 02:41:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x56af77…
06-05 02:41:24	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xed6601…
06-05 02:37:51	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0x5f28eb…
06-05 02:32:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x7c1cca…
06-05 02:24:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xb4ce81…