Incredible-Center — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$14.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Crypto

37% 50% +$5

Politics

13% — —

Sports

4% 100% +$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		+30	$13	45¢	$14	+$1	06-01 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	9	$3.0K	2,565	872	+1,693	open	—	03-23 12:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$1.6K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	03-05 14:22
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	3	$516	373	373	+0	open	—	05-01 07:35
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$472	573	259	+314	open	—	03-23 12:25
will russia capture all of prymorske by march 31 2026 597	4	$447	291	291	+0	open	—	03-09 10:55
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$414	490	490	+0	open	—	03-11 14:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$300	1,364	0	+1,364	open	—	01-26 10:26
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	1	$300	432	0	+432	open	—	01-06 14:04
will russia capture rodynske by february 28	3	$300	452	0	+452	open	—	01-28 10:27
will russia capture all of prymorske by february 28 2026	2	$230	358	0	+358	open	—	01-20 10:11
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	1	$222	326	0	+326	open	—	01-01 14:13
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	2	$217	118	118	+0	open	—	04-23 09:11
btc updown 15m 1777017600	1	$200	347	0	+347	open	—	04-24 08:01
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	2	$155	490	0	+490	open	—	01-07 12:50
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	2	$150	556	0	+556	open	—	01-15 18:44
btc updown 15m 1776692700	3	$141	169	0	+169	open	—	04-20 13:59
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	1	$137	211	0	+211	open	—	03-11 14:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$125	152	0	+152	open	—	04-13 13:06
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$123	145	0	+145	open	—	04-08 13:26
sea pis com 2026 01 06 com	1	$120	214	0	+214	open	—	01-06 14:03
btc updown 5m 1776690600	2	$110	144	0	+144	open	—	04-20 13:13
btc updown 15m 1777016700	2	$110	170	0	+170	open	—	04-24 07:55
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 6am et	2	$109	60	59	+1	open	—	03-31 11:59
will russia capture rodynske by january 31	1	$100	172	0	+172	open	—	01-01 14:12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	04-01 06:58
USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	04-01 06:57
btc updown 15m 1774973700	1	$100	137	0	+137	open	—	03-31 16:18
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$100	154	0	+154	open	—	06-01 07:29
will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$100	144	0	+144	open	—	04-17 10:14
will russia capture lyman by february 28 2026	1	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	01-26 10:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:44:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	61	46¢	$28	0x3cc5ce…
06-08 07:40:30	btc updown 15m 1780903800	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x33a189…
06-08 07:38:54	btc updown 15m 1780903800	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xec0ea9…
06-05 08:24:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xeff53a…
06-03 10:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x1f98d6…
06-01 09:52:51	Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xc13812…
06-01 07:29:18	Knicks vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x4e66ac…
05-29 09:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf73802…
05-19 16:46:30	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xfb2824…
05-19 09:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x411a08…
05-11 08:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6b0e76…
05-05 07:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x988a23…
05-05 07:23:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xb5faa2…
05-05 07:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x192e50…
05-05 07:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x17444e…
05-04 13:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0xbea5cb…
05-04 13:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5d995b…
05-04 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x6d4fa2…
05-04 13:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x9caac5…
05-04 09:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x6506e6…
05-02 14:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd1d367…
05-01 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xcb8477…
05-01 07:35:58	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	279	96¢	$270	0x064a30…
04-30 14:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1f11a9…
04-30 10:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x7ba403…
04-30 09:55:52	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	93	60¢	$56	0x06e91e…
04-27 11:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	132	62¢	$82	0x88cedb…
04-25 09:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x21a1ca…
04-25 09:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa22c8a…
04-24 08:45:20	btc updown 5m 1777020300	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x83976b…
04-24 08:20:42	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xc2e5da…
04-24 08:01:26	btc updown 15m 1777017600	Down	BUY	347	58¢	$200	0x114982…
04-24 07:55:40	btc updown 15m 1777016700	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x5d6c2f…
04-24 07:50:48	btc updown 5m 1777017000	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x687836…
04-24 07:45:26	btc updown 15m 1777016700	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x59d192…
04-24 07:39:30	btc updown 5m 1777016100	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x1e0906…
04-24 07:39:04	btc updown 5m 1777016100	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x40f4fd…
04-24 07:36:50	btc updown 5m 1777016100	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xf7d275…
04-23 12:59:08	btc updown 15m 1776948300	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd419be…
04-23 12:41:02	sol updown 15m 1776947400	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xdcd6a9…
04-23 10:06:04	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0x782bc5…
04-23 09:35:38	solana up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x470a55…
04-23 09:31:58	sol updown 15m 1776936600	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc3d6f0…
04-23 09:31:34	bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0x21a8d4…
04-23 09:11:48	Nothing Ever Happens: April	Nothing	SELL	38	93¢	$35	0xecf4ef…
04-23 09:11:26	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$117	0xa39acf…
04-23 08:59:18	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8,333	1¢	$50	0x4c7f11…
04-23 08:48:56	sol updown 15m 1776933900	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x963b95…
04-23 08:35:52	btc updown 15m 1776933000	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xb536ec…
04-23 08:11:48	btc updown 5m 1776931800	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5fc413…
04-23 08:07:04	btc updown 15m 1776931200	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2dc21f…
04-22 20:07:40	btc updown 15m 1776888000	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9b1cfd…
04-22 19:54:28	btc updown 5m 1776887400	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x211317…
04-21 14:42:48	btc updown 5m 1776782400	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x16ec69…
04-21 14:40:22	btc updown 5m 1776782400	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xbe3084…
04-21 14:37:58	btc updown 15m 1776781800	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x208832…
04-21 14:34:50	btc updown 15m 1776781800	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xd8feec…
04-21 14:31:24	btc updown 5m 1776781800	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x58ac4d…
04-21 14:14:04	btc updown 5m 1776780600	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x095d6b…
04-21 14:09:42	btc updown 5m 1776780300	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x154e8f…
04-21 13:52:06	btc updown 5m 1776779400	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5559e1…
04-21 13:51:52	btc updown 5m 1776779400	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe39bed…
04-21 13:25:28	btc updown 5m 1776777900	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xb8bf7d…
04-21 13:24:18	btc updown 15m 1776777300	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7757af…
04-21 13:18:10	btc updown 15m 1776777300	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9397d0…
04-21 13:18:04	btc updown 15m 1776777300	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xffd8e0…
04-21 13:01:34	btc updown 15m 1776776400	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcdfda7…
04-21 08:58:24	btc updown 5m 1776761700	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x50a5ae…
04-21 08:01:50	btc updown 5m 1776758400	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xb505c3…
04-21 08:01:30	btc updown 15m 1776758400	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x18fd18…
04-21 07:23:30	btc updown 5m 1776756000	Up	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xc30344…
04-21 07:23:14	ethereum up or down april 21 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x8b5978…
04-20 14:35:38	btc updown 5m 1776695700	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x10a06c…
04-20 13:59:10	btc updown 15m 1776692700	Up	BUY	135	82¢	$111	0x324d40…
04-20 13:53:36	eth updown 15m 1776692700	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa563e8…
04-20 13:52:10	btc updown 15m 1776692700	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xede2f8…
04-20 13:51:06	btc updown 15m 1776692700	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa5a39b…
04-20 13:37:20	btc updown 15m 1776691800	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x08ad7e…
04-20 13:37:08	btc updown 15m 1776691800	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x02ab68…
04-20 13:13:48	btc updown 5m 1776690600	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x1d40fc…
04-20 13:12:28	btc updown 5m 1776690600	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8fefe2…
04-20 11:51:30	btc updown 5m 1776685800	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x43683e…
04-20 11:02:50	btc updown 5m 1776682800	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x36c8ac…
04-20 09:50:50	btc updown 5m 1776678600	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x614cf1…
04-20 09:15:46	btc updown 5m 1776676500	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x5b07e5…
04-20 09:15:26	btc updown 5m 1776676500	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x039538…
04-20 08:56:34	btc updown 5m 1776675300	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xae18e0…
04-20 08:19:04	btc updown 15m 1776672900	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa2e911…
04-20 08:18:54	btc updown 15m 1776672900	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6860ec…
04-20 07:47:44	btc updown 15m 1776671100	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9068af…
04-18 17:51:40	btc updown 5m 1776534600	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x97ef9d…
04-18 17:50:16	btc updown 5m 1776534600	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x892558…
04-18 17:49:24	btc updown 5m 1776534300	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x90332c…
04-18 17:47:50	btc updown 5m 1776534300	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x935230…
04-18 17:40:16	btc updown 5m 1776534000	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3b5167…
04-18 17:38:42	btc updown 5m 1776533700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x332347…
04-18 17:38:18	bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x0d3862…
04-18 17:37:20	btc updown 5m 1776533700	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc5fb06…
04-18 11:32:24	btc updown 5m 1776511800	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x88aba1…
04-18 11:32:18	btc updown 5m 1776511800	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x77e994…