Minty-Rabbi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

805

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-06 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 42% +$6

Sports

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	Yes		-49	$-7	8¢	$-4	+$4	07-06 22:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776986400	2	$60	36	35	+1	open	—	04-23 23:25
btc updown 5m 1776976200	2	$50	37	35	+2	open	—	04-23 20:35
btc updown 5m 1776988200	2	$45	37	35	+2	open	—	04-23 23:56
btc updown 5m 1776982200	2	$44	36	34	+2	open	—	04-23 22:15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$36	40	40	+0	open	—	04-13 17:24
btc updown 5m 1776967800	2	$33	30	28	+2	open	—	04-23 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	05-15 01:24
btc updown 15m 1776960900	2	$28	19	18	+1	open	—	04-23 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$27	24	24	+0	open	—	05-18 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$22	18	17	+1	open	—	04-27 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 00:44
will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-20 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 21:55
btc updown 5m 1776937800	5	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 09:52
btc updown 5m 1780536000	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 01:24
btc updown 5m 1776986100	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	04-23 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-18 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	6	$19	60	60	+0	open	—	05-03 02:09
btc updown 5m 1776977100	2	$18	14	14	+1	open	—	04-23 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$18	31	20	+11	Down	+$5	05-14 01:09
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 8pm et	7	$17	22	19	+3	open	—	04-16 01:00
btc updown 5m 1776966900	3	$17	19	10	+9	open	—	04-23 17:56
btc updown 5m 1776985800	1	$15	56	0	+56	open	—	04-23 23:10
btc updown 5m 1776984300	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$15	120	20	+100	open	—	05-03 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 11:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 22:33:19	New COVID variant of concern before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x8a301e…
06-04 01:30:31	btc updown 5m 1780536600	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf03578…
06-04 01:28:54	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x2f9c81…
06-04 01:26:00	btc updown 5m 1780536300	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xddd903…
06-04 01:24:39	btc updown 5m 1780536000	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x81b78e…
06-04 01:23:09	btc updown 5m 1780536000	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x24fb25…
06-04 01:18:39	btc updown 5m 1780535700	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0x0c2d9d…
06-04 01:18:10	btc updown 5m 1780535700	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x5975ae…
06-04 01:17:36	btc updown 5m 1780535700	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9fa237…
05-24 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5b9c43…
05-24 01:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xc740db…
05-24 01:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2366a9…
05-22 17:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x7f937a…
05-22 17:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf25934…
05-22 16:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe7be91…
05-22 14:26:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x85070e…
05-22 14:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x7ff9e8…
05-22 14:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe1302b…
05-22 13:47:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xb660ed…
05-22 13:43:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9b03d6…
05-22 13:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x856d9f…
05-22 13:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x15e55d…
05-22 13:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9b2da4…
05-18 22:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x118dd8…
05-18 22:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	80¢	$11	0x76c163…
05-18 21:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xd922da…
05-18 21:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe8f658…
05-18 21:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdb410a…
05-18 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x952e5f…
05-18 21:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$3	0x4d3725…
05-18 21:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xe7840e…
05-18 21:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x5cc36d…
05-18 21:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x22d7b6…
05-18 21:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xee5599…
05-18 21:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xa732e7…
05-18 21:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb9c705…
05-18 01:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1e9886…
05-18 01:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd74c4e…
05-18 01:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x6ee2b7…
05-18 01:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0ec849…
05-18 01:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x2515a2…
05-18 01:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3d8ccf…
05-18 01:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x33cd5c…
05-18 01:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc20034…
05-17 00:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1eb870…
05-17 00:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xef8308…
05-17 00:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xe8857f…
05-17 00:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x8522a6…
05-15 01:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x138dc0…
05-15 01:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3abe8d…
05-15 01:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x1d499d…
05-15 01:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x04237a…
05-15 01:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x90aab2…
05-15 01:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xec6000…
05-15 01:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x086733…
05-15 01:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe241f8…
05-15 01:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x78044d…
05-15 00:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x7c4f6c…
05-15 00:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x836a2e…
05-14 01:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x83728e…
05-14 01:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0x3878c1…
05-14 01:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	77¢	$5	0xf4f83e…
05-14 01:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3a389a…
05-14 01:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x103576…
05-14 01:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x1a7347…
05-14 01:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xb5084e…
05-14 01:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5a3514…
05-14 01:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xbb72e6…
05-11 17:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x47b886…
05-11 17:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2c8bf0…
05-11 17:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc535d5…
05-11 01:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x673b65…
05-11 01:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4ffe12…
05-11 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xf4db9d…
05-11 00:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x97c7c8…
05-11 00:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x24e512…
05-11 00:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa954d2…
05-11 00:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x89d7cb…
05-11 00:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcaffbc…
05-11 00:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xecd624…
05-10 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xc1ab87…
05-10 01:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4d1cfe…
05-10 01:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x798164…
05-08 22:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7f39bc…
05-08 22:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbb78b7…
05-08 16:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x45db35…
05-08 16:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc264f8…
05-08 15:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa5f5c4…
05-08 15:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x78fc4a…
05-08 15:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb68a04…
05-08 11:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x194064…
05-08 11:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x276895…
05-08 11:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xc7e671…
05-08 10:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2745e8…
05-08 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5821b8…
05-08 10:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1696db…
05-08 10:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x713830…
05-08 10:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x3ed257…
05-08 01:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8b46d8…
05-08 01:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xf2580b…