Strict-Put — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.5%

Resolved

376

Trades

704

lifetime

Volume

$7.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 08-18 22:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

56% 75% -$108

Crypto

42% 71% -$75

Politics

2% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 17?	3	$233	124	124	+0	No	+$13	08-17 04:55
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 17?	3	$216	138	138	+0	No	+$4	08-16 21:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$213	114	113	+1	Yes	+$13	04-17 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 16?	5	$211	110	110	+0	No	+$3	08-16 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	2	$207	105	105	+0	No	+$1	08-16 07:00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	2	$206	104	104	+0	No	+$2	08-15 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 15?	3	$182	103	103	+0	No	+$22	08-15 07:31
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 15?	2	$158	81	81	+0	No	+$4	08-14 19:58
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 17?	2	$140	125	125	+0	Yes	-$100	08-17 09:36
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$136	72	72	+0	No	+$0	04-18 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 14?	2	$135	75	75	+0	No	+$15	08-14 08:35
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$133	177	177	+0	Yes	-$9	04-18 16:02
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?	4	$118	63	63	+0	No	+$7	08-14 06:40
will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	5	$118	81	81	+0	Yes	-$5	04-18 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 08:20 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	04-19 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 10:35 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Down	+$2	04-19 10:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 12:10 UTC	1	$100	104	0	+104	Up	-$100	04-19 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 01:00 UTC	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	04-19 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 10:40 UTC	1	$100	105	0	+105	Up	+$5	04-19 10:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 10:25 UTC	1	$90	93	0	+93	Up	+$3	04-19 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 10:15 UTC	1	$90	96	0	+96	Down	+$6	04-19 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 10:20 UTC	1	$90	92	0	+92	Up	+$2	04-19 10:24
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 14?	2	$88	80	80	+0	No	+$8	08-13 19:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?	7	$85	45	45	+0	No	+$1	07-22 17:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 09:15 UTC	4	$65	72	10	+62	Down	-$3	04-19 09:19
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-23 16:00 UTC	7	$60	225	215	+10	Down	+$4	04-23 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:10 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	04-19 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 09:45 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	04-19 09:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:05 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	04-19 19:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-19 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 22:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52f3b7…
08-18 22:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa94114…
08-18 21:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9a03c2…
08-18 21:51:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x93f959…
08-18 21:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x278d86…
08-18 21:46:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x36f079…
08-18 21:46:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xf5daac…
08-18 21:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x27c38e…
08-17 09:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$21	0x2fd2c1…
08-17 09:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 17?	No	SELL	125	16¢	$20	0xdacefa…
08-17 07:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x861650…
08-17 04:55:52	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 17?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x1aa301…
08-17 04:55:51	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 17?	No	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x8a71cf…
08-16 22:23:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 17?	No	BUY	124	89¢	$110	0x9db599…
08-16 21:54:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 17?	No	SELL	138	80¢	$110	0xb9d82d…
08-16 19:55:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x350103…
08-16 08:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 16?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x8f85ee…
08-16 08:49:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 17?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xc2ef98…
08-16 08:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 16?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x61996b…
08-16 08:27:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 16?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x33c694…
08-16 08:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 16?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x89b8f3…
08-16 07:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$104	0xe7f799…
08-16 07:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x6c5368…
08-15 15:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x31b70b…
08-15 14:36:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xc989f3…
08-15 09:30:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0xf40d44…
08-15 07:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 15?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xf7f7e2…
08-15 07:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 15?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xee3005…
08-14 20:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	103	78¢	$80	0x31813e…
08-14 19:58:49	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 15?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x80e184…
08-14 09:05:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 15?	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0x3f26db…
08-14 08:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 14?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x1ed5db…
08-14 06:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x286aac…
08-14 06:40:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x09cc94…
08-14 04:24:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5cc48f…
08-13 22:52:16	Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?	No	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0xc0b43c…
08-13 19:43:06	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 14?	No	SELL	80	60¢	$48	0x04eefd…
08-13 11:48:30	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 14?	No	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x5e1d4d…
08-12 22:27:58	Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x014c44…
08-12 22:25:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xcb53ba…
08-12 20:23:30	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x108f23…
08-12 20:22:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	SELL	13	63¢	$8	0x4f99be…
08-12 15:15:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x5335ae…
08-12 14:56:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x629146…
08-12 09:09:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 12?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x315325…
08-12 08:59:45	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9db3aa…
08-12 03:45:34	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 12?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x245936…
08-12 03:36:18	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x734712…
08-11 19:54:52	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 12?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe0eca2…
08-11 19:48:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xfe4b35…
08-11 15:12:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 12?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xc8bc05…
08-11 14:57:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 11?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe34bf9…
08-11 08:43:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 11?	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xce480d…
08-11 08:14:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9298c0…
08-11 07:33:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x97f4e5…
08-11 07:19:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 11?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd8d12d…
08-11 03:02:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x545507…
08-10 03:43:46	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x305ead…
08-10 03:41:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 10?	No	SELL	23	36¢	$8	0x88d9ce…
08-08 05:42:51	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 10?	No	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x70a661…
08-08 04:54:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8f74fb…
08-07 22:22:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xf6d72f…
08-07 22:20:45	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 7?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x697b12…
08-07 20:07:25	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x85dfe5…
08-07 20:00:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 7?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xbed2e1…
08-06 19:55:03	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 7?	No	BUY	17	83¢	$14	0x43dbcf…
08-06 19:39:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xeec9f4…
08-06 19:25:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x36a32b…
08-06 19:25:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xeed9bd…
08-06 14:49:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 7?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xb568af…
08-06 14:24:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xce5c4d…
08-06 13:41:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xe2ceec…
07-28 20:42:38	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 28?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x93ff24…
07-28 20:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 28?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x2f984b…
07-28 18:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 28?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xc036a2…
07-28 14:07:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbb3334…
07-28 13:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x09bba1…
07-28 13:25:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xbc8e07…
07-28 13:11:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc86ecd…
07-28 13:10:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8f329e…
07-28 13:01:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x86aab2…
07-28 13:00:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xe7fa8c…
07-28 12:47:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa98e89…
07-28 12:45:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa2aa78…
07-28 12:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x09e6a8…
07-28 12:35:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xdcbc4f…
07-28 12:24:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x52a018…
07-28 12:14:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x65b1dc…
07-28 12:06:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x748ad8…
07-28 12:05:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x0583ba…
07-28 11:53:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3f65dc…
07-28 11:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x985f21…
07-28 11:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x478f7f…
07-28 11:21:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x109171…
07-28 11:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc94f9b…
07-28 11:11:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xcafe28…
07-28 11:03:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1652ae…
07-28 11:02:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xe8eb56…
07-28 10:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc02166…
07-28 10:56:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 10:55 UTC	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x8cadc2…