Turbulent-Parole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

2,566

Trades

22,060

lifetime

Volume

$278.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-18 23:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 23% -$11,748

Other

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:35 UTC	72	$3.4K	2,651	2,436	+215	Up	+$393	03-23 07:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:45 UTC	120	$3.4K	3,754	1,447	+2,307	Down	-$484	03-23 06:50
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 12am et	17	$3.0K	2,780	2,744	+37	Up	+$964	03-22 05:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:25 UTC	142	$2.6K	3,565	1,769	+1,796	Up	+$40	03-23 07:29
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 11pm et	14	$2.2K	2,039	2,010	+30	Down	+$545	03-23 03:18
will bitcoin dip to 69k on march 24	16	$1.9K	61,455	1,555	+59,900	Yes	-$407	03-24 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:05 UTC	53	$1.9K	2,915	797	+2,118	Up	-$716	03-23 07:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 08:00 UTC	79	$1.8K	2,295	1,948	+347	Down	+$350	03-17 08:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 16:30 UTC	30	$1.7K	2,497	1,367	+1,130	Up	-$44	03-16 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:15 UTC	23	$1.7K	1,463	1,174	+289	Up	+$305	03-23 06:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:55 UTC	21	$1.7K	2,383	817	+1,566	Up	-$212	03-23 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 16:30 UTC	15	$1.7K	2,099	1,660	+440	Up	-$473	03-16 16:38
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11am et	9	$1.6K	3,048	703	+2,345	Up	-$195	03-24 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:00 UTC	102	$1.6K	1,874	1,200	+674	Down	+$234	03-23 07:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 13:30 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,283	1,268	+15	Down	+$782	03-24 13:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 04:15 UTC	70	$1.5K	1,684	1,662	+21	Down	+$295	03-22 04:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 02:10 UTC	5	$1.5K	970	866	+104	Up	+$159	03-22 02:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:00 UTC	29	$1.3K	1,809	1,579	+230	Down	+$266	03-23 14:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:45 UTC	43	$1.3K	1,106	1,110	-4	Down	+$929	03-23 06:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 01:15 UTC	2	$1.2K	1,099	1,085	+14	Up	+$512	03-22 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 14:20 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,416	487	+929	Down	-$265	03-23 14:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 13:40 UTC	20	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$334	03-16 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:35 UTC	62	$1.2K	1,356	476	+879	Up	-$228	03-23 05:40
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 05:30 UTC	26	$1.2K	758	758	+0	Down	+$321	03-23 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC	4	$1.1K	839	834	+5	Up	-$74	03-15 15:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 06:10 UTC	18	$1.1K	765	754	+12	Down	+$322	03-22 06:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-22 00:00 UTC	4	$1.1K	1,013	619	+395	Down	+$133	03-22 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 07:40 UTC	53	$1.1K	1,392	824	+568	Up	+$160	03-23 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:55 UTC	5	$1.0K	1,730	500	+1,230	Down	-$46	03-23 11:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 08:20 UTC	3	$957	1,315	1,198	+117	Down	+$1	03-17 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 23:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x7ef14b…
10-18 23:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd52d32…
10-18 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0xfe06a8…
10-18 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xd187aa…
10-18 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x98e041…
10-18 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x9469b1…
10-18 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x7a4a27…
10-18 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x661f7e…
10-18 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x52b5bd…
10-18 23:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0x3d44fb…
10-18 23:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xe5e6b5…
10-18 23:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0x5b5f02…
10-18 23:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x58928d…
10-18 23:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x051eff…
10-18 03:08:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2a1b0a…
10-15 01:16:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x5e3442…
10-15 01:16:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x83d34f…
10-15 01:16:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb1b893…
10-15 01:16:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x750849…
10-15 01:16:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9a3213…
10-15 01:16:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x0f437e…
10-15 01:16:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xa7eab8…
05-14 14:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd299d4…
05-14 14:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x014bf1…
05-14 14:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9ff491…
05-14 14:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8dd6e4…
05-14 14:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x37b98a…
05-14 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x233dcf…
05-14 14:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6fd11d…
05-14 14:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0xcd8516…
05-14 14:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0xa9d370…
05-14 14:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xefec57…
05-14 14:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	274	37¢	$100	0xa85938…
05-14 14:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xe6543c…
05-14 14:48:30	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	264	90¢	$236	0x78a421…
05-14 14:47:18	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x4a2efd…
05-14 14:46:59	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	153	65¢	$100	0xa36a18…
05-14 14:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x9160ab…
05-14 14:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	239	42¢	$100	0x900e09…
05-14 14:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	356	99¢	$353	0x339cc5…
05-14 14:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x40021b…
05-14 14:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	134	9¢	$12	0x951522…
05-14 14:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd38431…
05-14 14:42:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xcee996…
05-14 14:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x484796…
05-14 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xcb6bca…
05-14 14:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0c9a9e…
05-14 14:40:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	204	66¢	$135	0x5642b9…
05-14 14:39:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	316	73¢	$231	0x415646…
05-14 14:39:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xe61236…
05-14 14:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x3f42c9…
05-14 14:32:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	115	64¢	$74	0x7739f8…
05-14 14:31:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	205	64¢	$131	0xf615e6…
05-14 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x1a0dec…
05-14 14:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x083c88…
05-14 00:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xa34eb6…
05-14 00:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xd10c06…
05-14 00:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x2be51e…
05-14 00:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x0d4107…
05-06 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x71541c…
05-03 06:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x8bd8f2…
05-03 06:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x5d1231…
05-03 06:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xc9d890…
05-03 06:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x248740…
05-03 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xeb9de2…
05-03 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x94ad2f…
05-03 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	348	5¢	$17	0x157265…
05-03 06:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x02d637…
04-21 01:37:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x52715a…
03-31 17:58:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	228	44¢	$100	0x91eea8…
03-31 17:33:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	67	79¢	$53	0xda0e31…
03-31 17:32:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x5be5aa…
03-31 17:27:35	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	84	37¢	$31	0x2e449a…
03-31 17:27:17	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	37	84¢	$31	0xfa98f3…
03-31 17:26:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x6f9788…
03-31 17:17:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	103	8¢	$8	0x6b69e6…
03-27 01:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe2b6e3…
03-27 01:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xbe04c8…
03-27 01:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9127c9…
03-27 01:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x6adb2a…
03-27 01:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x469d56…
03-27 01:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x2e7520…
03-27 01:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x0af5ff…
03-27 01:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9d55f3…
03-27 01:24:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x55a10e…
03-27 01:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x9a58ce…
03-27 01:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x83cec4…
03-27 01:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	44	1¢	$0	0x23ed32…
03-27 01:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x390428…
03-26 01:19:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3b2ecf…
03-25 19:13:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	135	12¢	$16	0x1c3d10…
03-25 19:13:09	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0x4f4a98…
03-25 19:11:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xa51bd5…
03-25 19:11:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x2b4730…
03-25 19:10:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x586098…
03-25 19:10:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xc96655…
03-25 19:10:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2797e3…
03-25 19:09:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x1da356…
03-25 19:08:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0x98a907…
03-25 19:06:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	40	78¢	$31	0x33e4d8…