Used-Panic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

485

Trades

906

lifetime

Volume

$4.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-15 20:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 66% -$189

Other

24% 54% +$39

Politics

6% 42% -$28

Sports

1% 41% -$17

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	15	$300	176	174	+2	No	+$50	04-30 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$100	126	0	+126	Up	-$100	05-08 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-11 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-11 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-08 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-11 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-10 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-10 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-11 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-08 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-11 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-08 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-11 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-08 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	05-08 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-11 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-08 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-10 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-08 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	05-11 17:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$100	102	0	+102	Yes	+$2	04-30 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Down	+$3	05-08 18:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	10	$77	51	50	+1	No	+$22	04-30 16:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	7	$48	34	34	+0	No	+$4	05-29 15:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	8	$47	62	36	+26	No	-$7	05-08 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$45	29	29	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$40	69	0	+69	Down	-$40	05-13 10:54
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	7	$34	28	28	+0	Yes	+$6	04-27 05:35
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	2	$32	38	0	+38	Yes	+$6	06-16 16:39
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	8	$27	29	10	+19	No	-$13	05-07 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 20:58:13	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x4287f2…
07-12 01:15:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbc3a24…
07-05 21:44:53	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xc25f6e…
07-04 18:58:14	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2f7df1…
07-03 00:57:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xc27dbf…
07-02 19:59:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xff2a7d…
07-02 03:28:55	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0fdfb3…
07-02 03:28:46	will xauusd dip to 3800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc7630e…
07-02 03:28:35	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa98215…
07-02 03:28:29	will xauusd reach 4200 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x104097…
07-02 03:27:04	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x61a177…
07-02 03:26:49	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xdc01ec…
07-02 03:26:02	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0416d9…
07-02 03:25:52	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd6c56d…
07-02 03:25:47	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf68677…
07-02 03:25:38	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc5c720…
07-02 03:25:32	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbc8dd9…
07-02 03:25:26	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4b60bd…
07-02 03:25:22	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2f8f7d…
07-01 01:39:37	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xb584f6…
07-01 01:36:55	Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe2ad5c…
06-30 20:06:19	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x17ed4c…
06-30 20:04:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xedc973…
06-30 04:07:43	Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcfcdea…
06-30 04:07:28	Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6f7c56…
06-29 01:04:19	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x436555…
06-29 01:03:56	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2f6213…
06-29 01:03:34	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x220844…
06-29 01:03:26	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x65e0e3…
06-29 01:03:19	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x27e017…
06-28 04:06:49	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa44926…
06-28 04:06:11	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdcb467…
06-28 04:05:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc5f628…
06-28 04:05:38	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xb672ef…
06-27 22:26:58	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2acde3…
06-27 22:26:04	Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1e103c…
06-27 17:39:08	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xf8bbe5…
06-27 04:27:11	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x218f5d…
06-27 04:23:17	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb29608…
06-27 03:36:31	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2e9160…
06-27 03:36:22	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xda8a4d…
06-27 03:36:11	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x69b71d…
06-27 03:36:02	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1893ab…
06-27 03:35:52	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x89ed0e…
06-27 03:35:43	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8b03fd…
06-27 03:35:26	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd00f59…
06-27 03:13:35	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc9014c…
06-26 23:03:50	Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x35b48b…
06-26 23:00:20	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x4d55b7…
06-26 23:00:10	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	57	1¢	$1	0xd0268c…
06-25 20:14:28	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x338de2…
06-25 20:14:16	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x39187f…
06-25 20:11:32	Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfae54f…
06-25 06:11:52	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8af88f…
06-25 06:11:07	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb991e6…
06-25 02:24:52	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf63e75…
06-24 18:51:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xb2423b…
06-24 18:50:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xdd7358…
06-24 01:48:34	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x73f648…
06-23 16:47:34	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4dfa33…
06-23 16:43:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	17	37¢	$6	0x06b074…
06-23 16:43:07	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x28a773…
06-23 16:17:34	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xfa8fc5…
06-23 16:16:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x809821…
06-16 16:52:34	Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xd129f0…
06-16 16:51:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x95e16f…
06-16 16:39:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7861b8…
06-16 16:39:26	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x6a1f3c…
06-15 11:47:51	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x18fdbf…
06-15 11:47:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x3c0aeb…
06-15 11:45:28	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x30c036…
06-08 23:01:19	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x4f63bc…
06-08 23:00:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x4751bc…
06-08 14:45:21	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa1cbd6…
06-07 14:39:49	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xe1ba69…
06-07 14:18:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x5bafa3…
06-07 14:17:43	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa5b08f…
06-07 14:16:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4cf3aa…
06-07 13:40:00	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfe774f…
06-07 13:35:12	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xfbc5f7…
06-07 13:34:25	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x5e1fc8…
06-03 22:32:03	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x04c87e…
06-03 22:31:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x45a40d…
06-03 22:27:42	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xab3313…
06-02 11:33:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x76ec89…
06-02 11:28:27	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x972667…
06-02 11:26:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x0b8313…
06-01 12:31:12	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x08e6cf…
06-01 12:30:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xab3d4b…
06-01 12:29:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1df67e…
06-01 12:27:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x55b5f3…
05-30 18:16:05	Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0b021b…
05-30 17:17:37	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	16	59¢	$10	0x02b516…
05-30 12:40:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2e9072…
05-29 15:10:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x0a6f79…
05-29 15:09:38	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0xbc9733…
05-29 15:08:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0xf8ff61…
05-19 10:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xcf1a67…
05-19 10:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xbfca1b…
05-13 10:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xa768e3…