Realized P&L (90d)
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$93
Hit rate
29.6%
Resolved (90d)
10
Trades (90d)
28
5,067 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$510
$529.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$291
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-18 19:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Politics
79% 43% +$3,917
Other
15% 71% -$6,460
Crypto
6% 49% -$694
Sports
0% 90% +$59
Pop-Culture
0% 40% -$162
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -141 -$96 85¢ $-120 -$25 05-07 21:11
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No -136 -$117 79¢ $-107 +$10 05-07 12:32
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +308 $57 6¢ $19 -$38 08-13 10:29
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31 Yes +220 $107 8¢ $18 -$89 06-26 20:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +100 $17 15¢ $15 -$2 07-08 11:40
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? Yes -168 -$17 3¢ $-6 +$11 07-11 22:24
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -104 -$12 4¢ $-4 +$9 07-11 22:24
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -54 -$31 4¢ $-2 +$29 05-20 16:25
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -500 -$3 0¢ $-1 +$2 05-06 20:01