Bumpy-Monitoring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$63

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

551

Trades

3,934

lifetime

Volume

$8.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-16 22:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 50% $-63

Other

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 595 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 9am et	29	$141	150	86	+65	open	—	04-21 14:12
btc updown 15m 1776777300	12	$80	58	58	+0	open	—	04-21 13:29
btc updown 15m 1776776400	17	$55	94	0	+94	open	—	04-21 13:14
btc updown 5m 1776775800	6	$46	26	26	+0	open	—	04-21 12:54
btc updown 5m 1776786600	15	$42	35	35	+0	open	—	04-21 15:53
btc updown 5m 1776781800	9	$34	54	15	+39	open	—	04-21 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	12	$28	30	20	+10	open	—	04-28 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	13	$27	55	0	+55	Up	$-2	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	9	$26	30	10	+20	open	—	04-28 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	11	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$0	05-06 10:23
btc updown 5m 1776776700	8	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	04-21 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	11	$24	50	0	+50	Up	+$1	05-06 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	11	$24	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	05-06 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	13	$24	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	05-06 10:08
btc updown 5m 1776781200	6	$23	46	5	+41	open	—	04-21 14:22
btc updown 5m 1776909300	7	$23	25	10	+15	open	—	04-23 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	11	$22	45	0	+45	Down	$-2	05-05 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	12	$22	45	0	+45	Down	$-2	05-06 07:02
btc updown 5m 1776782400	5	$22	33	7	+26	open	—	04-21 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	11	$22	45	0	+45	Up	+$3	05-06 08:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	9	$21	45	0	+45	Down	+$4	05-06 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	10	$21	45	0	+45	Up	$-1	05-06 07:37
btc updown 5m 1776792900	8	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	9	$21	40	0	+40	Down	$-1	05-06 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	8	$20	40	0	+40	Up	$-0	05-06 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776795900	8	$20	30	7	+23	open	—	04-21 18:30
wta kostovi charaev 2026 03 26	6	$20	34	34	+0	open	—	03-27 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	8	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	05-06 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	9	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	05-06 15:43
btc updown 5m 1776899100	7	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	04-22 23:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 22:08:31	sol updown 15m 1781647200	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe661d5…
06-16 20:01:20	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 goals marcel sabitzer gte1	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x643b8c…
06-16 20:01:11	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 goals carney chukwuemeka gte1	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc0a624…
06-16 19:43:32	msft close above 390 on june 16 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4f4448…
06-16 19:19:14	xrp updown 15m 1781637300	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2a8709…
06-16 19:17:50	tsla up or down on june 16 2026	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xda741c…
06-16 17:19:11	msft close above 390 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x84ba20…
06-16 16:19:08	ethereum up or down june 16 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe5e4a8…
06-16 13:44:04	tsla up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x46edc6…
06-16 12:01:19	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4ca8b0…
06-16 10:07:15	btc updown 4h 1781596800	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe8f32e…
06-16 09:49:22	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf97174…
06-16 09:49:16	sol updown 4h 1781596800	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbf0f8c…
06-02 19:30:47	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x1bee5e…
06-02 19:30:34	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xd46f79…
06-02 19:30:20	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x060fbd…
06-02 19:30:17	Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Las Vegas Aces	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xdb6544…
06-02 18:43:39	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x88e94f…
06-02 18:00:44	Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks	Las Vegas Aces	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6d4128…
06-02 17:34:49	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x1e6917…
06-02 16:31:49	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xfcdfd9…
06-02 16:16:40	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0429fc…
06-02 16:10:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xd4ebef…
06-02 15:42:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9853dc…
06-02 15:02:44	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5e3cd6…
06-02 14:53:26	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on June 2?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa1b1b2…
06-02 14:44:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xcf7428…
06-02 14:24:42	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xece2f3…
06-02 14:21:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x8c1cd2…
06-02 14:12:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4b1d6d…
06-02 14:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x7bb3df…
06-02 13:24:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xb514df…
06-02 13:23:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on June 2?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x127d34…
06-02 12:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf45f5d…
06-02 12:53:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x3b1be6…
06-02 12:22:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x26cfd4…
06-02 12:13:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x7a650e…
06-02 12:00:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x61234b…
06-02 11:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe6588a…
06-02 11:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xa29156…
06-02 11:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x7afcbe…
06-02 11:12:05	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x1f981b…
06-02 10:26:58	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x2b4336…
06-02 09:59:38	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x04829f…
06-02 09:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xca2476…
06-02 09:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xbd7e3e…
06-02 09:37:37	Solana Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcd2296…
06-02 09:18:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd17a0b…
06-02 08:54:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x4129c4…
06-02 08:53:55	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xde0e3c…
06-02 08:49:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd38619…
06-02 08:43:53	XRP Up or Down on June 2?	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x54047b…
06-02 08:35:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x21671d…
06-02 08:27:58	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x6a9f2d…
06-02 08:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x2b3e4a…
06-02 08:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd6d865…
06-02 08:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$2	0xf35613…
06-02 08:00:54	Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x032e6d…
06-02 05:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xf2c7b5…
06-02 05:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5d6b2e…
06-02 05:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x40e053…
06-02 04:37:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xf886b4…
06-02 04:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x764497…
06-02 01:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xec2d87…
06-02 01:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x84ea33…
06-02 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xca744e…
06-02 00:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf524da…
06-01 22:02:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xb8f8b4…
06-01 21:39:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd951ff…
06-01 21:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x4ecf7d…
06-01 21:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd3ffb0…
06-01 20:16:28	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x885d47…
06-01 19:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3d8682…
06-01 18:21:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x23c322…
06-01 18:13:18	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa2f7c9…
06-01 18:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x02141d…
06-01 18:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x069b95…
06-01 17:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xe81ba5…
06-01 17:13:27	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe6afef…
06-01 17:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbc4459…
06-01 17:01:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x6d8e34…
06-01 16:56:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1fa2fc…
06-01 16:55:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe910d2…
06-01 16:35:21	Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings	Dallas Wings	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4aeb64…
06-01 16:25:56	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xf11089…
06-01 16:01:31	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5a1776…
06-01 15:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2d5e05…
06-01 15:13:13	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x379577…
06-01 14:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xa5e05e…
06-01 14:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x71ce77…
06-01 13:24:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x1a15c1…
06-01 13:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8e216f…
06-01 13:12:00	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x05ca81…
06-01 13:11:50	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x10146b…
06-01 12:27:17	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x118f74…
06-01 12:17:19	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x13c5ba…
06-01 12:15:18	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x857be2…
06-01 12:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x206876…
06-01 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9527e4…
06-01 12:01:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5d137b…