Orderly-Reliability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$399

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

1,315

Trades

2,917

lifetime

Volume

$9.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 09-06 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 62% -$362

Other

1% 42% -$34

Tech

1% 40% -$3

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:15 UTC	2	$165	132	127	+5	Down	+$40	04-17 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:05 UTC	3	$149	148	125	+24	Up	+$9	04-17 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:20 UTC	3	$107	199	123	+76	Down	-$53	04-17 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:20 UTC	2	$76	57	56	+1	Up	+$37	03-08 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 10:20 UTC	2	$57	49	48	+1	Up	+$18	03-08 10:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:35 UTC	3	$54	46	39	+7	Down	+$11	03-08 09:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 14:40 UTC	12	$53	0	100	-100	Down	+$3	06-15 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 08:10 UTC	5	$50	183	57	+126	Down	+$0	03-08 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:30 UTC	3	$49	68	25	+43	Down	-$31	03-08 18:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:25 UTC	2	$48	39	39	+1	Down	+$8	03-08 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:50 UTC	5	$47	57	52	+5	Down	+$7	04-17 19:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:25 UTC	1	$44	87	0	+87	Down	-$44	04-17 20:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:55 UTC	2	$41	80	79	+1	Down	+$2	03-08 09:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 10:25 UTC	2	$40	74	73	+1	Down	+$0	03-08 10:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:25 UTC	3	$37	32	21	+11	Up	+$9	03-08 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:25 UTC	3	$37	97	68	+29	Up	-$13	03-08 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 19:45 UTC	7	$34	46	45	+0	Up	+$3	04-17 19:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:45 UTC	3	$34	51	44	+7	Up	-$8	03-08 11:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:50 UTC	4	$34	0	60	-60	Up	+$4	06-18 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 20:00 UTC	3	$33	52	38	+15	Up	+$13	04-17 20:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 11:35 UTC	2	$33	63	62	+1	Down	-$7	03-08 11:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:40 UTC	5	$32	0	60	-60	Down	+$2	06-18 16:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:15 UTC	9	$32	0	60	-60	Down	+$2	06-18 16:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:10 UTC	7	$32	0	60	-60	Up	+$2	06-18 16:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:20 UTC	4	$32	0	60	-60	Up	+$2	06-18 16:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:45 UTC	14	$32	0	60	-60	Down	+$2	06-18 16:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:30 UTC	10	$32	0	60	-60	Up	+$2	06-18 16:32
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$32	0	60	-60	Up	+$2	06-18 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:50 UTC	1	$30	59	0	+59	Down	-$30	03-08 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 09:40 UTC	1	$30	56	0	+56	Down	+$26	03-08 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 21:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4db138…
09-06 20:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb0f116…
09-06 20:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x512bfb…
09-06 19:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1152f7…
09-06 19:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8ad1d0…
09-06 19:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x26bd63…
09-06 19:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xef45b7…
09-06 18:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xfa4216…
09-06 18:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x564a0a…
09-06 18:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x811d9d…
09-06 18:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9a2e2e…
09-06 18:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x78408c…
09-06 18:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x53ac3e…
09-06 18:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe7a2b4…
09-06 18:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4175b3…
09-06 18:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x0efa34…
09-06 18:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8dd9bc…
09-06 18:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd72316…
09-06 17:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc26a01…
09-06 17:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x21c232…
09-06 16:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x8fa554…
09-06 16:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe131d5…
08-22 10:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xee0929…
08-22 10:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xefc263…
08-22 09:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x20bc73…
08-22 09:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xcc597f…
08-22 09:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x7fe1bd…
08-22 09:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x97c78b…
08-22 09:20:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x681545…
08-22 09:02:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x419fd1…
08-22 09:01:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xcc89d3…
08-22 08:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x535ec1…
08-22 08:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x055d49…
08-22 08:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x256c61…
08-22 08:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa61e4c…
08-22 08:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x24be22…
08-22 08:16:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbba8c3…
08-22 07:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x90a118…
08-22 07:50:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa121f0…
08-22 07:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x907ef5…
08-22 07:47:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xda2a3b…
08-22 07:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x43db67…
08-22 07:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc07d04…
08-22 07:30:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xf4dab0…
08-22 07:30:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe0a610…
08-22 07:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xf2039c…
08-22 07:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xeb354e…
08-22 07:06:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xca13fa…
08-22 07:06:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb626e5…
08-22 06:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x4cc6d0…
08-22 06:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5d6b78…
08-22 06:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x927327…
08-22 06:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3385ef…
08-22 06:26:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xb32928…
08-22 06:26:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5b84df…
08-22 06:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb9fad2…
08-22 06:26:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe1bbad…
08-22 06:12:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xe88c53…
08-22 06:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x92b3b9…
08-21 17:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x69912e…
08-21 17:53:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xabc34d…
08-21 17:32:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xbec75d…
08-21 17:32:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xfe367f…
08-21 17:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xb5c8dd…
08-21 17:16:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa19419…
08-21 17:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x4afb84…
08-21 17:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc123e7…
08-21 16:59:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x0fe12b…
08-21 16:59:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1a59ad…
08-21 16:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xfad369…
08-21 16:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x39eb96…
07-19 19:09:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xee1d34…
07-05 08:14:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe8220c…
07-05 08:11:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xcc052b…
07-05 08:09:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xc8a5fe…
07-05 08:09:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8bfed4…
07-05 08:08:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xa7f7c0…
07-05 08:05:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x249c82…
07-05 08:01:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x7c9087…
07-05 07:58:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xdf181e…
07-05 07:58:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdc348b…
07-05 07:58:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe07765…
07-05 07:52:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3967ee…
07-05 07:51:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x64ac6a…
07-05 07:48:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xee4d40…
07-05 07:48:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe9eb3c…
07-05 07:43:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$4	0x49da67…
07-05 07:43:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x28b9fa…
07-05 07:43:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x86afcd…
07-05 07:37:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa84e62…
07-05 07:37:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:35 UTC	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x9ffb44…
07-05 07:37:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9c584e…
07-05 07:32:17	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x3740e3…
07-05 07:32:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe69d2b…
07-05 07:27:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf6735e…
07-05 07:26:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xbe3750…
07-05 07:22:38	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x9cf419…
07-05 07:21:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xdfaace…
07-05 07:19:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x6f703e…
07-05 07:19:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x07f14f…