Steep-Disruption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 05-30 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 100% +$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$480	505	0	+505	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	+$25	05-12 05:49
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	1	$466	480	0	+480	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	+$14	05-07 06:43
Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)	1	$428	460	0	+460	open	—	04-25 07:18
chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$349	360	0	+360	open	—	04-11 08:20
fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	2	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	03-29 09:03
bra2 fec cui 2026 03 31 spread away 2pt5	1	$177	180	0	+180	open	—	03-31 11:25
aus bri syd 2026 04 02 spread home 2pt5	1	$173	180	0	+180	open	—	04-02 08:51
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	4	$40	995	995	+0	open	—	05-14 07:05
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	2	$24	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-14 07:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$14	105	105	+0	open	—	05-30 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 08:41:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$7	0x480849…
05-30 08:36:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0x0d8d0a…
05-14 07:11:03	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	515	2¢	$12	0x6e37fd…
05-14 07:10:38	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	485	2¢	$12	0xc4e82d…
05-14 07:05:27	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	2¢	$10	0x665e88…
05-14 07:04:17	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	515	2¢	$10	0xe9a50a…
05-14 06:36:25	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	2¢	$10	0xe10fb4…
05-14 06:36:06	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	515	2¢	$10	0x3f2a23…
05-12 05:49:59	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	BUY	505	95¢	$480	0x76f0fb…
05-07 06:43:26	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	BUY	480	97¢	$466	0xb84401…
04-25 07:18:46	Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)	Brisbane Roar FC	BUY	460	93¢	$428	0xc2e277…
04-11 08:20:37	chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Qingdao Xihaian FC	BUY	360	97¢	$349	0x8a53bb…
04-02 08:51:07	aus bri syd 2026 04 02 spread home 2pt5	Sydney FC	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0xd3679e…
03-31 11:25:41	bra2 fec cui 2026 03 31 spread away 2pt5	Fortaleza EC	BUY	180	99¢	$177	0x048dc9…
03-29 09:03:28	fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	Armenia	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x9a4d61…
03-29 08:43:20	fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	Armenia	BUY	191	98¢	$187	0xfedfb1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Notable-Goal 0x8b47…5d3f	8	$3.18K	10	05-14 07:11
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	7	$5.00K	63	05-12 15:32
Thorny-Azimuth 0xba3b…4579	5	$2.68K	6	05-14 07:10
Periodic-Pub 0x8fdd…f2cb	5	$2.38K	6	05-14 05:13
(anonymous) 0xf4f1…5db7	5	$2.29K	7	05-14 07:11
Canine-Kettledrum 0x4996…3c6f	5	$1.77K	8	05-14 05:38
Meek-Revenge 0x8acd…4d84	5	$1.69K	7	05-14 05:36
Internal-Azimuth 0x22a3…c465	5	$1.31K	8	05-14 05:14