Steep-Disruption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$287

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-18 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$40

Politics

39% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	2	$1.1K	585	585	+0	open	—	06-13 08:34
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	2	$982	520	520	+0	open	—	06-12 08:27
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	2	$899	478	478	+0	open	—	07-18 03:26
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	2	$893	475	475	+0	open	—	07-18 01:53
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	2	$856	465	465	+0	open	—	07-11 02:14
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	3	$855	445	445	+0	open	—	07-11 05:37
fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 second half team total home 1pt5	1	$495	550	0	+550	open	—	06-13 08:48
cs2 str4 msc 2026 06 12 game1 round handicap str4 3pt5	1	$493	530	0	+530	open	—	06-12 08:30
Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	1	$480	505	0	+505	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	+$25	05-12 05:49
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	1	$466	480	0	+480	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	+$14	05-07 06:43
Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)	1	$428	460	0	+460	open	—	04-25 07:18
chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$349	360	0	+360	open	—	04-11 08:20
fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	2	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	03-29 09:03
bra2 fec cui 2026 03 31 spread away 2pt5	1	$177	180	0	+180	open	—	03-31 11:25
aus bri syd 2026 04 02 spread home 2pt5	1	$173	180	0	+180	open	—	04-02 08:51
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	4	$40	995	995	+0	open	—	05-14 07:05
Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	2	$24	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-14 07:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$14	105	105	+0	open	—	05-30 08:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 03:26:21	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	478	94¢	$449	0x848ede…
07-18 02:56:33	Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	478	94¢	$449	0x2f434f…
07-18 01:53:03	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	SELL	475	94¢	$446	0x944d4a…
07-18 01:13:51	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	No	BUY	475	94¢	$446	0x8d2c02…
07-11 05:37:31	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	440	96¢	$423	0xfed897…
07-11 05:37:29	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x80f14c…
07-11 04:42:10	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	445	96¢	$428	0x2dc9a9…
07-11 02:14:46	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	SELL	465	92¢	$428	0x5b0033…
07-11 01:33:19	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	465	92¢	$428	0x976c32…
06-13 08:48:01	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 second half team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	550	90¢	$495	0x089cc4…
06-13 08:34:18	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	SELL	585	93¢	$544	0xdda587…
06-13 06:13:42	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	No	BUY	585	94¢	$550	0xfbd90c…
06-12 08:30:30	cs2 str4 msc 2026 06 12 game1 round handicap str4 3pt5	MASONIC	BUY	530	93¢	$493	0x2a9b52…
06-12 08:27:07	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	SELL	520	95¢	$494	0x017259…
06-12 06:37:13	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	BUY	520	94¢	$488	0xd75d08…
05-30 08:41:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$7	0x480849…
05-30 08:36:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	7¢	$7	0x0d8d0a…
05-14 07:11:03	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	515	2¢	$12	0x6e37fd…
05-14 07:10:38	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-2.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	485	2¢	$12	0xc4e82d…
05-14 07:05:27	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	480	2¢	$10	0x665e88…
05-14 07:04:17	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	515	2¢	$10	0xe9a50a…
05-14 06:36:25	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	2¢	$10	0xe10fb4…
05-14 06:36:06	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	515	2¢	$10	0x3f2a23…
05-12 05:49:59	Spread: El Gouna SC (-2.5)	Kahrabaa Ismailia FC	BUY	505	95¢	$480	0x76f0fb…
05-07 06:43:26	Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)	Ghazl El Mahalla SC	BUY	480	97¢	$466	0xb84401…
04-25 07:18:46	Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)	Brisbane Roar FC	BUY	460	93¢	$428	0xc2e277…
04-11 08:20:37	chi qin tie 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Qingdao Xihaian FC	BUY	360	97¢	$349	0x8a53bb…
04-02 08:51:07	aus bri syd 2026 04 02 spread home 2pt5	Sydney FC	BUY	180	96¢	$173	0xd3679e…
03-31 11:25:41	bra2 fec cui 2026 03 31 spread away 2pt5	Fortaleza EC	BUY	180	99¢	$177	0x048dc9…
03-29 09:03:28	fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	Armenia	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0x9a4d61…
03-29 08:43:20	fif arm bel1 2026 03 29 spread away 2pt5	Armenia	BUY	191	98¢	$187	0xfedfb1…