Aggravating-Medication-Octopus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$772

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

8,377

Trades

28,202

lifetime

Volume

$4.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-26 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 89% +$516

Other

1% 98% -$1,288

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 2601 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:35 UTC	12	$7.9K	8,000	+8,000	Down	+$80	06-30 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 15:35 UTC	15	$5.3K	5,404	+5,404	Up	+$54	06-27 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 18:00 UTC	5	$4.9K	4,925	+4,925	Up	+$68	06-10 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 08:20 UTC	4	$4.7K	4,800	+4,800	Up	+$53	06-17 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 08:05 UTC	3	$4.5K	4,500	+4,500	Down	+$45	06-29 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$4.5K	4,500	+4,500	Up	+$46	07-10 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 08:15 UTC	3	$4.1K	4,096	+4,096	Up	+$45	06-29 08:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:45 UTC	6	$4.0K	4,040	+4,040	Down	+$48	06-10 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 15:40 UTC	5	$4.0K	4,000	+4,000	Down	+$40	07-21 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:00 UTC	13	$4.0K	4,000	+4,000	Down	+$41	07-16 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:00 UTC	13	$3.8K	3,864	+3,864	Up	-$3,813	06-24 07:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 10:00 UTC	3	$3.6K	3,600	+3,600	Down	+$36	06-17 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 10:15 UTC	9	$3.6K	3,600	+3,600	Down	+$36	06-10 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 16:05 UTC	3	$3.6K	3,600	+3,600	Down	+$37	06-16 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	3	$3.6K	3,600	+3,600	Down	+$43	06-09 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:00 UTC	5	$3.6K	3,600	+3,600	Down	+$43	06-09 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:10 UTC	3	$3.5K	3,585	+3,585	Down	+$36	06-10 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:25 UTC	3	$3.5K	3,600	+3,600	Down	+$54	06-16 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$3.5K	3,600	+3,600	Down	+$56	06-16 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 08:00 UTC	3	$3.5K	3,600	+3,600	Down	+$74	06-10 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:30 UTC	14	$3.5K	3,528	+3,528	Up	+$35	06-18 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 08:00 UTC	17	$3.4K	3,418	+3,418	Down	+$34	06-27 08:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-10 11:30 UTC	8	$3.2K	3,288	+3,288	Up	+$51	06-10 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:20 UTC	26	$3.1K	3,093	+3,093	Down	+$31	07-16 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:10 UTC	10	$3.0K	3,060	+3,060	Down	+$31	07-20 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 19:40 UTC	5	$3.0K	3,000	+3,000	Up	+$30	07-09 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 16:40 UTC	12	$3.0K	3,000	+3,000	Up	+$30	07-10 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 19:30 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,000	+3,000	Up	+$30	06-22 19:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:40 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,000	+3,000	Up	+$30	06-24 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:35 UTC	2	$3.0K	3,000	+3,000	Up	+$30	06-18 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x57ef62…
10-26 18:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2170ce…
10-26 18:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x8e773d…
10-26 17:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x02bf5d…
10-26 17:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xf03434…
10-26 17:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf0e989…
10-26 17:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbb26c3…
10-26 16:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x685602…
10-26 14:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xfd09c6…
10-26 13:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6b4697…
10-26 13:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x1145f2…
10-26 12:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x560918…
10-26 12:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbb8269…
10-26 11:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xaf08d4…
10-26 11:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x080c09…
10-26 11:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb79e6c…
10-26 11:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x96de94…
10-26 10:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd65c1f…
10-26 10:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6b4765…
10-26 10:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0x23da42…
10-26 10:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x6f5c37…
10-26 09:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1ea170…
10-26 09:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbbc9dd…
10-26 09:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf9c81c…
10-26 08:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xcde7da…
10-25 19:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf6d860…
10-25 16:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd7fb54…
10-25 16:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7114bc…
10-25 16:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x928f75…
10-25 16:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xbf49aa…
10-25 15:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x74dfc3…
10-25 15:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0xe28751…
10-25 15:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5a3a01…
10-25 14:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x357df6…
10-25 14:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0c4201…
10-25 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc7e8c0…
10-25 13:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x65ad07…
10-25 13:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x571b79…
10-25 13:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaa1fa5…
10-25 12:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfa321c…
10-25 12:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x285aec…
10-25 11:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x38d47e…
10-25 11:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x1ad3ef…
10-25 10:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xf5d4b0…
10-25 10:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x98da21…
10-25 09:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3ad9f5…
10-25 09:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x099cf8…
10-25 08:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x51f188…
10-25 08:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	103	95¢	$98	0x963303…
10-25 08:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x54e6c9…
10-24 19:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x70c543…
10-24 19:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdc73ac…
10-24 16:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc8435e…
10-24 15:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb0673d…
10-24 15:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x726841…
10-24 15:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd90569…
10-24 14:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xba6d03…
10-24 14:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3fc4a2…
10-24 13:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xea54b6…
10-24 13:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xab36b6…
10-24 12:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1c4829…
10-24 12:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9017e6…
10-24 11:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf286d6…
10-24 10:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa7f720…
10-24 10:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe455f1…
10-24 09:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfaedf8…
10-24 09:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xedfa38…
10-24 08:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x29da4d…
10-24 08:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x443aca…
10-23 19:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1e4635…
10-23 18:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x908bf4…
10-23 18:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x106115…
10-23 18:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xedf3c7…
10-23 17:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xbb3a09…
10-23 17:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xd19880…
10-23 17:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7986ba…
10-23 17:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x510681…
10-23 17:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdba650…
10-23 16:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x961c4f…
10-23 16:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xff3066…
10-23 16:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x083e3e…
10-23 15:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xeb91e8…
10-23 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4cc384…
10-23 14:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7de675…
10-23 14:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x388d9f…
10-23 13:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x4c2f3c…
10-23 13:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xa53742…
10-23 13:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x12ade8…
10-23 13:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0468b8…
10-23 13:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x01ae18…
10-23 13:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6d23a5…
10-23 12:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xdddee9…
10-23 11:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x07cc4c…
10-23 11:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7c9997…
10-23 11:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa00021…
10-23 11:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5cc6c4…
10-23 10:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x989c53…
10-23 10:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5797b3…
10-23 10:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd7e97c…
10-23 10:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4483f2…