Intent-Aftermath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$599

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-08 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$46	49	31	+18	Down	+$6	05-05 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$42	217	32	+185	open	—	05-04 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$33	61	8	+53	open	—	05-04 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$33	538	17	+520	Up	$-17	05-05 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$33	34	24	+10	open	—	05-04 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$32	658	11	+647	Up	$-14	05-08 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	5	$30	41	23	+17	open	—	05-04 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$26	53	21	+32	Down	+$2	05-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$25	54	0	+54	Up	$-2	05-05 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$25	107	0	+107	Up	$-19	05-08 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$20	22	14	+7	open	—	05-04 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$15	256	6	+250	open	—	05-04 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$15	54	0	+54	open	—	05-04 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$14	31	0	+31	open	—	05-04 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$14	22	0	+22	open	—	05-04 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$11	321	0	+321	Down	$-11	05-05 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$10	5,167	0	+5,167	Down	$-10	05-05 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	583	0	+583	open	—	05-04 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$10	39	0	+39	Down	+$12	05-05 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	05-03 14:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$9	38	0	+38	open	—	05-03 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$7	21	0	+21	open	—	05-03 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$6	43	0	+43	Up	$-6	05-08 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 17:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xa5ec36…
05-08 16:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xeea355…
05-08 16:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x86e232…
05-08 16:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x00dd1a…
05-08 16:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x6600ba…
05-08 16:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x9a5bd3…
05-08 16:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	11	87¢	$9	0xda08dc…
05-08 16:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xa7176c…
05-08 16:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x64923d…
05-08 16:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd282ad…
05-05 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xa964a7…
05-05 21:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xa34fd1…
05-05 21:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9cd3b3…
05-05 21:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3c77f2…
05-05 21:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x905611…
05-05 21:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x6bc961…
05-05 21:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x60def4…
05-05 21:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x880b62…
05-05 21:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x7849e0…
05-05 21:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc31d5e…
05-05 21:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xc592fe…
05-05 21:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	31	82¢	$26	0x3eace9…
05-05 21:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x81dfa4…
05-05 21:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xc8c35e…
05-05 21:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8f96af…
05-05 21:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	65¢	$14	0xd15541…
05-05 21:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x05628a…
05-05 21:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xfe522a…
05-05 21:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7c1e28…
05-05 21:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf5a6ae…
05-05 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa54787…
05-05 21:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x348c17…
05-05 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x39e2e0…
05-05 21:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x871fd2…
05-05 10:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xaaa149…
05-05 10:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf00225…
05-04 15:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x37704f…
05-04 14:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1a6231…
05-04 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x06593e…
05-04 14:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfe3bed…
05-04 14:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdedefb…
05-04 14:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf2c61c…
05-04 14:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x04d864…
05-04 13:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xda8a88…
05-04 13:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x824d31…
05-04 13:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x217ba3…
05-04 13:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x64bd1a…
05-04 13:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xb238c5…
05-04 13:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x9471f8…
05-04 13:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x4f8bea…
05-04 13:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x811666…
05-04 13:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5be7aa…
05-04 13:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	146	3¢	$5	0xe74d9e…
05-04 13:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x307c81…
05-04 13:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4d65b6…
05-04 13:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1ab166…
05-04 13:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x434d19…
05-04 13:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xbedf98…
05-04 13:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x8d01e3…
05-04 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe8f93a…
05-04 13:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x9e44ac…
05-04 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0xdd2e27…
05-04 13:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x850b54…
05-04 13:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x870673…
05-04 13:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe26fa3…
05-04 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	68¢	$9	0xb4ca46…
05-04 13:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf598f0…
05-04 13:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0xe59a9c…
05-04 13:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x395434…
05-04 13:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xab74e9…
05-04 13:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x4f3d57…
05-04 13:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x103221…
05-03 16:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x7ea5a1…
05-03 16:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x516ff3…
05-03 16:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a8ddc…
05-03 16:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xad80e6…
05-03 14:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x3d4e32…
05-03 14:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x799d30…
05-03 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xcb3841…
05-03 14:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5158fd…
05-03 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xae0629…
05-03 14:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x683cf5…
05-03 14:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x9560b4…
05-03 14:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd81b76…
05-03 14:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x2eab27…
05-03 13:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xbdf58c…
05-03 13:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x389705…