Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$339

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-23

last 10-30 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 73% -$26

Politics

5% — —

Other

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No		+14	$9	69¢	$10	+$1	10-26 21:22
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+12	$8	69¢	$8	+$0	10-30 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$38	21	21	+0	Up	+$4	10-24 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$32	33	8	+25	Down	-$13	10-24 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$31	17	17	+0	Up	+$3	10-24 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	5	$25	1,013	13	+1,000	Up	+$1	10-24 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$25	39	0	+39	Up	-$25	10-24 02:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	10-24 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$19	11	11	+0	Up	+$3	10-24 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$16	12	11	+0	Down	-$4	10-24 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	5	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	10-24 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	10-24 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	10-26 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	10-24 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-24 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	10-24 03:06
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	10-26 21:22
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	10-30 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	10-24 00:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	10-24 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	10-24 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	10-24 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	10-24 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-24 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	10-23 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	-$1	10-24 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	-$1	10-24 00:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:34:19	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x496d95…
10-26 21:22:48	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xa299b2…
10-26 21:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7657cd…
10-26 21:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xa9b401…
10-24 16:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1959d3…
10-24 16:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9a6d3c…
10-24 16:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x51a847…
10-24 16:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8a09c5…
10-24 16:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xae71aa…
10-24 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8f0054…
10-24 16:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x0dbc95…
10-24 16:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x588a10…
10-24 16:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x16f237…
10-24 16:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x64c666…
10-24 16:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x322e8d…
10-24 16:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x80d63d…
10-24 16:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x24ef34…
10-24 16:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x26bc92…
10-24 16:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb0753c…
10-24 16:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf22e45…
10-24 16:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x81e836…
10-24 16:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xd14aec…
10-24 16:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x17c06a…
10-24 16:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x43b061…
10-24 16:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x542367…
10-24 03:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa571e4…
10-24 03:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x5f3ee8…
10-24 03:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x89079c…
10-24 03:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xad1d6e…
10-24 03:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1c4463…
10-24 03:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0ae690…
10-24 03:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0xc55e38…
10-24 03:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe07975…
10-24 03:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcb6142…
10-24 03:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb80ca2…
10-24 03:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85e4fd…
10-24 03:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6bf265…
10-24 03:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x705aa9…
10-24 03:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x568498…
10-24 03:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6a03d6…
10-24 03:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe34955…
10-24 02:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe19df4…
10-24 02:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x6e29e2…
10-24 02:49:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0xa773ff…
10-24 02:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x2992ca…
10-24 02:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe5f757…
10-24 02:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x77fd71…
10-24 02:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xcd8adc…
10-24 02:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x18f0e4…
10-24 00:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x53ccdf…
10-24 00:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x2a93f6…
10-24 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd70364…
10-24 00:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeea8b9…
10-24 00:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xaddd29…
10-24 00:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x79416a…
10-24 00:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd17645…
10-24 00:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2a3227…
10-23 23:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0c8cb4…
10-23 23:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x74313a…
10-23 23:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfab3e0…