Severe-Modernist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

460

Trades

956

lifetime

Volume

$5.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 10-20 10:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 63% -$27

Other

12% 61% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 14:45 UTC	1	$86	87	0	+87	Down	+$2	06-04 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$83	86	0	+86	Down	+$2	06-04 14:42
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 14:15 UTC	1	$81	82	0	+82	Down	+$1	06-04 14:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:00 UTC	1	$72	81	0	+81	Down	+$9	06-04 11:12
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 07:00 UTC	1	$71	72	0	+72	Down	+$1	06-04 07:12
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 06:45 UTC	1	$70	71	0	+71	Down	+$1	06-04 06:56
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 05:45 UTC	1	$70	70	0	+70	Down	+$1	06-04 05:56
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 05:15 UTC	1	$66	67	0	+67	Down	+$1	06-04 05:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 04:45 UTC	1	$65	65	0	+65	Down	+$1	06-04 04:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 04:30 UTC	1	$63	65	0	+65	Down	+$1	06-04 04:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 02:00 UTC	1	$59	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	06-04 02:11
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 01:00 UTC	1	$59	59	0	+59	Down	+$1	06-04 01:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 16:00 UTC	1	$58	62	0	+62	Down	+$4	06-04 16:12
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 00:45 UTC	1	$58	59	0	+59	Down	+$1	06-04 00:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 15:30 UTC	1	$56	58	0	+58	Down	+$2	06-04 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	17	$56	53	53	+0	Up	$0	10-20 09:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 10:00 UTC	1	$49	49	0	+49	Down	+$0	06-04 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	18	$48	45	45	+0	Up	+$1	10-20 10:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 07:00 UTC	1	$46	62	0	+62	Down	-$46	06-07 07:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 05:45 UTC	1	$45	46	0	+46	Down	+$0	06-05 05:57
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 22:45 UTC	1	$45	48	0	+48	Down	+$3	06-03 22:56
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 22:15 UTC	1	$44	45	0	+45	Down	+$0	06-03 22:26
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$44	45	0	+45	Down	+$1	06-03 19:12
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:00 UTC	1	$44	44	0	+44	Down	+$0	06-04 19:11
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 22:00 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	06-03 22:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 04:30 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	06-05 04:42
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$43	43	0	+43	Down	+$1	06-03 18:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 11:00 UTC	2	$42	44	0	+44	Down	+$2	06-04 11:12
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$42	43	0	+43	Down	+$0	06-03 17:57
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 20:30 UTC	1	$42	42	0	+42	Down	+$0	06-03 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 10:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3e6a9f…
10-20 10:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf53314…
10-20 10:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xee32ba…
10-20 10:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9d694a…
10-20 10:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x39333b…
10-20 10:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x61ed85…
10-20 10:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9615e3…
10-20 10:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x601d54…
10-20 10:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc2dd86…
10-20 10:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9fc8f7…
10-20 10:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x820dc8…
10-20 10:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x938698…
10-20 10:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdedaff…
10-20 10:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x1184b1…
10-20 10:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5fbb27…
10-20 10:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x082aff…
10-20 10:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x61a6af…
10-20 10:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2ee3db…
10-20 10:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x716f7c…
10-20 10:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xaba4d7…
10-20 10:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x69e957…
10-20 10:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xca04c2…
10-20 10:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xce8a92…
10-20 10:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xafa5f8…
10-20 10:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8e1963…
10-20 09:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x470730…
10-20 09:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbe2a3e…
10-20 09:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x5e38ca…
10-20 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x1c6325…
10-20 09:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc0ab4d…
10-20 09:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbdfb9a…
10-20 09:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x39b811…
10-20 09:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xeb8d80…
10-20 09:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x0a4eb1…
10-20 09:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xd60227…
10-20 09:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x5f6978…
10-20 09:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x2c11aa…
10-20 09:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x91aac5…
10-20 09:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x20323f…
10-20 09:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xb70d86…
10-20 09:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x3c6f12…
10-20 09:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xe31cc8…
10-20 09:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xcc37ce…
10-20 09:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf37045…
10-20 09:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x518d7c…
10-20 09:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xfe1ede…
10-20 09:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x505ef9…
10-20 09:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xce3a7b…
10-20 09:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb7d19e…
10-20 09:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6aaba8…
10-20 09:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd2e4a4…
10-20 09:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x838930…
10-20 09:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x4af941…
10-20 09:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa8894e…
10-20 09:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe592b2…
10-20 09:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd681fa…
10-20 09:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x7f3790…
10-20 09:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb7f170…
10-20 09:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xf2f325…
10-20 09:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x47a9e1…
10-20 09:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x40cdce…
10-20 09:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x109aae…
10-20 09:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xa6d2e4…
10-20 09:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe39745…
10-20 09:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x19734f…
10-20 09:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa27bee…
10-19 11:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x77674e…
10-19 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0f3995…
10-19 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x563809…
10-19 10:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0xc00108…
10-19 10:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xdb323d…
10-19 10:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4e311e…
10-19 10:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe37c2a…
10-19 10:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc4096f…
10-19 10:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xcff8cf…
10-19 10:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6f71fb…
10-19 10:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1eebd9…
10-19 10:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xbe6fe2…
10-19 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe3b51e…
10-19 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x4cb1ef…
10-19 10:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x26a590…
10-19 10:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xf45352…
10-19 10:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3e533b…
10-19 10:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xc2ecc6…
10-19 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xc726cd…
10-19 10:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x391aa5…
10-19 10:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x299c86…
10-19 10:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe6a513…
10-19 10:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb00bbd…
09-29 17:29:57	ZCash Up or Down - September 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb95cad…
09-29 15:31:21	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x42d947…
09-29 15:31:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa568cf…
09-29 15:31:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x934308…
09-29 15:30:57	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xb63bcf…
09-29 15:28:45	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xfdc28f…
09-29 15:27:39	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x90dfd4…
09-29 15:16:21	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc9f6bd…
09-29 15:16:11	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x08c12d…
09-29 15:16:08	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xf4d985…
09-29 15:15:57	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x072842…