Hearty-Synergy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.77K

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

Trades

639

lifetime

Volume

$93.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

$21.1K

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-03 00:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Politics

99% 42% +$17,107

Other

1% 100% +$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+26,700	$11,453	54¢	$14.4K	+$2,991	06-08 07:49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+4,200	$3,372	82¢	$3.4K	+$70	09-05 21:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$1,800	70¢	$2.1K	+$315	10-03 00:24
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	+3,000	$1,130	21¢	$630	-$500	10-01 19:45
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+4,100	$574	12¢	$471	-$102	09-29 07:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	25	$32.6K	34,504	0	+34,504	Yes	+$1,934	02-28 20:14
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	187	$13.8K	28,174	0	+28,174	Yes	+$14,405	02-26 06:35
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	72	$11.5K	26,700	0	+26,700	open	—	06-08 07:49
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	37	$10.3K	5,800	5,800	+0	No	+$1,022	06-08 03:01
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	26	$7.4K	6,319	3,846	+2,473	Yes	+$943	05-21 04:26
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$47	02-28 07:17
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	9	$3.8K	0	3,847	-3,847	No	-$77	06-15 09:26
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$3.4K	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	09-05 21:50
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	1	$1.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-03 00:24
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	8	$1.1K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	10-01 19:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$877	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$123	05-08 01:00
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	225	$841	20,000	18,426	+1,574	No	-$336	03-08 18:06
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	3	$684	12,080	12,080	+0	No	-$316	03-08 17:49
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	8	$574	4,100	0	+4,100	open	—	09-29 07:11
israel and saudi arabia normalize relations by march 31	1	$496	0	506	-506	No	-$10	02-24 00:46
will raja krishnamoorthi be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	6	$437	900	900	+0	No	-$370	03-18 01:02
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	16	$76	2,000	6	+1,994	No	-$76	09-08 23:54
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	8	$60	1,600	16	+1,584	Yes	-$60	09-08 23:54
will the state of the union be 80 minutes or longer	1	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	02-24 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 00:24:45	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	60¢	$1,800	0xcd5ac9…
10-01 19:45:24	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	37¢	$10	0x7c74bd…
10-01 19:07:05	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	38¢	$81	0xdf929d…
10-01 03:05:08	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	38¢	$32	0x73311a…
10-01 03:04:35	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,460	38¢	$555	0x4b6d1b…
10-01 03:04:35	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	38¢	$32	0x290355…
09-29 07:11:21	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	171	14¢	$24	0x3581fe…
09-29 00:22:11	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	507	14¢	$71	0x49a394…
09-29 00:16:15	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x46e66d…
09-29 00:16:00	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1fddce…
09-29 00:08:05	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa4d4f3…
09-28 22:11:26	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	205	14¢	$29	0xa6e400…
09-28 20:38:59	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	38¢	$61	0x49979b…
09-28 20:24:27	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x858bbd…
09-28 20:03:54	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,987	14¢	$418	0x7ee825…
09-28 18:43:24	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x795d35…
09-28 17:11:39	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	968	37¢	$358	0xf60aa0…
09-08 23:54:49	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x49216b…
09-08 23:54:48	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xa2eb26…
09-05 21:50:57	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3,610	80¢	$2,899	0x90bdd0…
09-05 15:45:04	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	114	4¢	$4	0x1e505e…
09-05 15:45:03	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf67639…
09-05 15:45:01	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x672d51…
09-05 14:56:45	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xa77bd3…
09-05 14:56:45	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x697c40…
09-05 14:08:33	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x62bc7a…
09-05 12:32:48	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x9ac803…
09-05 12:18:37	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x2874a8…
09-05 11:30:42	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x1cecca…
09-05 11:29:24	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x2665c5…
09-05 10:27:48	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	192	4¢	$7	0xa3e83e…
09-05 09:45:51	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xed7024…
09-05 09:04:46	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	328	4¢	$13	0x69c493…
09-05 09:04:45	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x4d9417…
09-05 09:04:45	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	BUY	218	4¢	$9	0x181782…
09-05 09:04:43	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xe83b3b…
09-05 09:04:43	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x69b705…
09-05 08:58:04	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x611ce0…
09-05 08:19:22	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	574	80¢	$461	0x0c96d4…
09-05 08:17:25	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	601	4¢	$23	0x0a3e79…
09-05 08:17:22	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x27b249…
09-05 08:17:21	Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	Yes	BUY	667	4¢	$24	0xf9a8d9…
09-05 08:17:03	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	BUY	602	4¢	$23	0xee029a…
09-05 08:17:00	Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	No	BUY	754	4¢	$27	0xeda998…
06-15 09:26:48	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	190	98¢	$186	0x02d1a8…
06-15 05:09:46	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	377	98¢	$369	0x5d3bbf…
06-14 20:40:10	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0xbea450…
06-14 00:52:36	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0x0c5be5…
06-14 00:28:13	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x69654f…
06-12 16:28:10	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	377	98¢	$369	0x150972…
06-12 11:22:21	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xad9e0f…
06-08 08:37:45	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5166db…
06-08 07:49:19	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	700	44¢	$308	0xdbeeec…
06-08 07:34:28	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	3,800	44¢	$1,672	0x5b0886…
06-08 06:05:30	Kurds declare independence from Iran?	No	SELL	1,729	98¢	$1,694	0xa70841…
06-08 03:22:34	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5,086	45¢	$2,309	0xf3cac9…
06-08 03:22:27	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x40ef6c…
06-08 03:19:52	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4,723	46¢	$2,168	0x78b42f…
06-08 03:11:37	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x36a783…
06-08 03:11:19	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0xf0c4ac…
06-08 03:10:48	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x351110…
06-08 03:10:21	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x65d004…
06-08 03:09:49	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x117741…
06-08 03:08:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0xe6d92e…
06-08 03:08:04	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0x62106b…
06-08 03:07:45	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	51	46¢	$23	0xe24f32…
06-08 03:02:34	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	493	46¢	$226	0xa553a7…
06-08 03:01:18	Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	2,900	100¢	$2,885	0xf3d9da…
06-08 00:57:31	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x54ad7a…
06-08 00:57:31	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	968	44¢	$429	0x34b310…
06-08 00:57:31	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x33b822…
06-08 00:57:31	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x2f2d5f…
06-08 00:56:48	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	129	44¢	$57	0x1a3b73…
06-08 00:56:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	174	44¢	$77	0xd6251a…
06-08 00:56:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xceecbc…
06-08 00:56:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	80	44¢	$35	0xca0e43…
06-08 00:56:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	585	44¢	$259	0x201e35…
06-08 00:56:46	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	447	44¢	$198	0x091294…
06-08 00:55:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0xf9ab38…
06-08 00:55:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	736	44¢	$326	0xca2830…
06-08 00:55:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x811841…
06-08 00:55:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x635f1c…
06-08 00:55:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x34ad0d…
06-08 00:55:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	503	44¢	$223	0x2c8a6d…
06-08 00:55:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$51	0x223469…
06-08 00:54:48	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x089019…
06-08 00:54:07	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb5a2f2…
06-08 00:51:06	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xecf411…
06-08 00:51:06	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	259	44¢	$115	0xa5c4b4…
06-08 00:51:06	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	195	44¢	$87	0x699c95…
06-08 00:51:06	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	156	44¢	$69	0x24967b…
06-08 00:19:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xb285b5…
06-08 00:19:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x5f30b6…
06-08 00:12:48	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x70a9e2…
06-08 00:09:28	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0xac0dbc…
06-08 00:09:22	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xd317d1…
06-08 00:09:04	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xd681f8…
06-08 00:06:58	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	158	44¢	$70	0x709890…
06-07 23:57:54	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x1bd00c…
06-07 23:57:52	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0xfdd900…