Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$498

Unrealized P&L

-$95

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

Trades

148

lifetime

Volume

$12.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-27

last 11-15 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 54% +$228

Politics

23% 56% +$176

Other

3% 100% +$94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?	Yes		+185	$100	3¢	$5	-$95	11-05 11:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	3	$511	460	460	+0	No	+$290	11-03 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$470	320	320	+0	Down	+$151	11-14 22:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$439	488	488	+0	open	—	11-02 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$425	283	283	+0	Down	+$134	11-14 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$386	262	262	+0	Down	+$6	11-14 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$379	213	213	+0	Up	+$44	11-15 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$373	222	222	+0	Up	+$71	11-15 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$328	262	262	+0	Up	+$107	11-15 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$321	401	401	+0	Up	+$221	11-14 22:18
Bondar vs. Quevedo: Match O/U 23.5	2	$309	203	203	+0	Under	+$94	10-29 12:13
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?	3	$300	801	367	+434	No	-$100	11-04 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$288	194	194	+0	Down	-$12	11-15 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$286	228	228	+0	Down	+$86	11-15 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$283	185	185	+0	Down	+$83	11-14 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$248	149	149	+0	Down	+$48	11-15 14:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$247	331	0	+331	Yes	+$84	11-03 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$245	200	200	+0	Up	+$45	11-15 12:34
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$238	154	154	+0	Yes	+$46	10-28 08:00
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$236	160	160	+0	Up	+$80	11-15 12:24
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$232	443	443	+0	open	—	10-29 09:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	3	$230	2,095	2,095	+0	Yes	-$70	10-30 05:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$228	532	532	+0	Yes	+$28	10-30 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$213	114	114	+0	Up	+$13	11-15 17:14
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?	2	$211	238	238	+0	open	—	11-15 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$208	263	263	+0	Down	+$8	11-15 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$206	275	275	+0	Up	+$41	11-15 16:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$206	822	822	+0	open	—	11-14 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$200	466	0	+466	Down	-$200	11-14 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$195	131	131	+0	Down	+$64	11-14 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$194	134	134	+0	Up	+$71	11-14 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 17:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	213	99¢	$211	0x463b91…
11-15 17:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	213	79¢	$168	0x1b67bb…
11-15 17:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x7a39c1…
11-15 17:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x5c6452…
11-15 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x4055d3…
11-15 17:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x09cd00…
11-15 17:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xda082b…
11-15 17:08:17	Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?	No	SELL	238	46¢	$111	0xf2fa2a…
11-15 17:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	130	85¢	$111	0x0f654e…
11-15 16:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	113	58¢	$65	0x226db1…
11-15 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	217	12¢	$26	0xa1c9f7…
11-15 16:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x286c56…
11-15 16:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x7c7bae…
11-15 16:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	71	44¢	$32	0x805c78…
11-15 16:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xdb7137…
11-15 16:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	123	87¢	$106	0xcc180b…
11-15 16:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	123	82¢	$100	0xb07559…
11-15 16:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	275	45¢	$124	0x49500d…
11-15 16:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	275	30¢	$83	0x05cc92…
11-15 16:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	263	41¢	$108	0x4ef30e…
11-15 16:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x63fd38…
11-15 16:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x335a26…
11-15 15:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	116	34¢	$40	0xc11f09…
11-15 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	160	34¢	$54	0x7ae3d9…
11-15 15:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0x8e4728…
11-15 15:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x5ada54…
11-15 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa50191…
11-15 15:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xa7bd15…
11-15 14:55:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	259	39¢	$100	0x32804a…
11-15 14:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x7859b2…
11-15 14:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x1a01cd…
11-15 14:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	149	99¢	$148	0xca8ae5…
11-15 14:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xb1d8a5…
11-15 14:31:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	152	49¢	$75	0x4affcc…
11-15 14:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x89653d…
11-15 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x726fcc…
11-15 14:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	126	24¢	$30	0x9d3163…
11-15 14:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x1d575d…
11-15 14:19:05	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x21eff9…
11-15 14:16:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x9f3fca…
11-15 14:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x044c1a…
11-15 14:10:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x804168…
11-15 14:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x877abb…
11-15 13:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0xfe6c5d…
11-15 13:56:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x6809c8…
11-15 13:50:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	164	30¢	$50	0x8cbabc…
11-15 13:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0xdc266b…
11-15 13:45:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	105	76¢	$80	0x31560b…
11-15 13:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xa05f56…
11-15 12:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x7bc1bd…
11-15 12:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x8a79c9…
11-15 12:41:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	130	62¢	$80	0x3d412d…
11-15 12:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0x3bf3f7…
11-15 12:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	79	41¢	$32	0x30d1f0…
11-15 12:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	79	51¢	$40	0x9b9692…
11-15 12:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xc8974b…
11-15 12:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x304bba…
11-15 12:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x05242a…
11-15 12:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	125	57¢	$71	0x1d7510…
11-15 12:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x79f8d4…
11-15 12:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0x9690f1…
11-15 12:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xb5ae01…
11-15 12:24:23	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x95bd5a…
11-15 12:20:35	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	160	49¢	$78	0x6d2ee0…
11-15 12:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	142	55¢	$78	0xa90883…
11-15 12:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	85	53¢	$45	0x1de89d…
11-15 12:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	129	35¢	$45	0x12004f…
11-15 12:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0xf394ce…
11-15 12:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	59	76¢	$45	0xd96cab…
11-15 11:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x2511bc…
11-15 09:10:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-15 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x2cefd6…
11-15 08:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0x35c962…
11-15 08:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	167	33¢	$55	0xd8d9cf…
11-15 08:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	95	55¢	$52	0xd7ae24…
11-15 08:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0x5e49a6…
11-15 08:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0xc68e39…
11-15 08:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	222	68¢	$151	0xe2bf0e…
11-15 08:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x0044e4…
11-15 08:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x6e5603…
11-15 08:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x9e416a…
11-15 08:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x2fd5ed…
11-15 08:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x0bda2e…
11-15 07:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xb2c33d…
11-15 07:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xd81caf…
11-15 07:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	228	82¢	$186	0xa13d0e…
11-15 07:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x630667…
11-15 07:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3e191b…
11-15 07:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x20fb8c…
11-15 07:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xb4a371…
11-15 07:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x32ffe3…
11-15 06:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	96	13¢	$12	0x095e39…
11-15 06:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x3dc2b2…
11-15 06:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x0ff5cc…
11-15 06:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0xe7af91…
11-15 06:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x59abec…
11-14 22:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	283	99¢	$280	0x370adc…
11-14 22:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	283	52¢	$146	0x507563…
11-14 22:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x7f254a…
11-14 22:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x2d7224…
11-14 22:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	320	97¢	$311	0xec4b56…