Dangerous-Inbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

653

lifetime

Volume

$5.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-09 18:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Tech

41% — —

Crypto

33% 41% +$16

Politics

20% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	153	$2.0K	1,347	1,367	-20	open	—	06-09 16:54
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	25	$632	1,869	1,869	+0	open	—	06-09 18:11
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	11	$321	250	250	+0	open	—	06-09 18:24
will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	18	$290	170	170	+0	open	—	06-09 09:27
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	12	$257	991	991	+0	open	—	06-09 16:43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$158	400	400	+0	open	—	06-09 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$97	103	0	+103	open	—	05-19 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$70	171	0	+171	open	—	05-19 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	05-19 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$60	91	0	+91	open	—	06-03 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$60	68	0	+68	open	—	06-03 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$58	115	0	+115	open	—	05-19 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$47	128	0	+128	open	—	05-17 14:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$40	83	0	+83	open	—	05-19 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$40	55	0	+55	open	—	05-19 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$40	53	0	+53	open	—	05-19 14:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$39	108	108	-0	open	—	06-09 18:36
cs2 mnte bb3 2026 06 08	3	$35	250	250	+0	open	—	06-08 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$31	66	5	+61	open	—	05-17 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	06-03 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$27	69	0	+69	open	—	05-17 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	05-22 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	05-19 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	05-22 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$13	26	0	+26	open	—	05-19 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	05-22 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$12	38	0	+38	open	—	05-19 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-19 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	05-19 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$11	10	5	+5	open	—	05-14 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:36:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	108	18¢	$19	0xb71131…
06-09 18:24:37	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xfe15cb…
06-09 18:24:21	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xc77020…
06-09 18:11:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xe86c81…
06-09 18:04:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xa477c1…
06-09 17:59:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xd315fd…
06-09 17:51:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x351e19…
06-09 17:51:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$31	0x1d8e44…
06-09 17:50:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x70343e…
06-09 17:50:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x213f91…
06-09 17:47:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x173bc3…
06-09 17:26:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x14402b…
06-09 17:25:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x4862e3…
06-09 17:24:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x4d927e…
06-09 17:24:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	51	23¢	$12	0x93e775…
06-09 17:23:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xed3839…
06-09 17:23:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x7460e9…
06-09 17:21:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xd590cc…
06-09 17:16:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xd9e34d…
06-09 17:06:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	355	13¢	$46	0xa9d8d6…
06-09 17:04:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x8fc71c…
06-09 16:57:04	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	53	66¢	$35	0x56cb09…
06-09 16:56:40	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x55a86c…
06-09 16:54:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xbfc144…
06-09 16:53:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xb76a7f…
06-09 16:52:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xcfc361…
06-09 16:48:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xcbdd0e…
06-09 16:47:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x0c9afe…
06-09 16:46:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xc26f04…
06-09 16:46:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	76	19¢	$14	0x35350b…
06-09 16:44:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xb9aa38…
06-09 16:43:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x4571b5…
06-09 16:42:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x4dcbef…
06-09 16:40:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xa137fb…
06-09 16:39:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x82eb61…
06-09 16:34:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xf36be5…
06-09 16:28:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x3150d7…
06-09 16:23:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xa20f8f…
06-09 16:21:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x2e383d…
06-09 16:17:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x727767…
06-09 16:14:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x38ae35…
06-09 16:12:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x1f992d…
06-09 16:10:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xf9e49f…
06-09 16:10:13	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb94b25…
06-09 16:08:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8ca389…
06-09 16:08:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x8433e3…
06-09 16:06:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfd6e4e…
06-09 16:01:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x71afad…
06-09 15:58:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x834a6d…
06-09 15:57:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x139770…
06-09 15:51:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x29f2c8…
06-09 15:50:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x34b6cc…
06-09 15:49:45	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x964254…
06-09 15:48:37	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xe0514f…
06-09 15:47:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x8e06d5…
06-09 15:46:58	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x31ee56…
06-09 15:43:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x61cb88…
06-09 15:36:43	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	42	59¢	$25	0x970d22…
06-09 15:36:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x272a2f…
06-09 15:32:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xa1b675…
06-09 15:32:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x39c1a3…
06-09 15:31:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x4551df…
06-09 15:30:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd34c53…
06-09 15:29:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xd401ff…
06-09 15:29:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xda831a…
06-09 15:28:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0xc5a71f…
06-09 15:28:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x9b9608…
06-09 15:28:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xf1ec5b…
06-09 15:28:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2ba9a1…
06-09 15:28:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xb8f697…
06-09 15:28:25	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x9922eb…
06-09 15:28:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x8e411a…
06-09 15:27:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x56e7ff…
06-09 15:27:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x2fe9da…
06-09 15:24:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x91b5a3…
06-09 15:14:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x6562f6…
06-09 15:13:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x786d5a…
06-09 15:13:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x58b74c…
06-09 15:13:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x959976…
06-09 15:12:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x989e3f…
06-09 15:12:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x8aac8c…
06-09 15:09:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x418d5b…
06-09 15:08:57	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xaf4e2f…
06-09 15:08:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xe7c69a…
06-09 15:08:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	191	15¢	$29	0xe136a0…
06-09 15:07:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd3aff3…
06-09 15:07:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xc43d4c…
06-09 15:05:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0xd330b2…
06-09 15:05:54	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x703e8d…
06-09 15:04:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xda52c9…
06-09 14:59:52	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x2d1424…
06-09 14:53:51	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xaae0b2…
06-09 14:53:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x0f1047…
06-09 14:52:46	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xc0fd63…
06-09 14:52:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xb73a48…
06-09 14:51:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x597c24…
06-09 14:48:31	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x1a7537…
06-09 14:45:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xe94208…
06-09 14:44:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb4e4cf…
06-09 14:43:13	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xf1fd49…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	398	$394.9K	16,994	06-08 22:16
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	395	$105.9K	18,190	06-03 15:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	395	$102.5K	29,732	06-03 15:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	395	$88.8K	26,103	06-03 15:54
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	395	$87.0K	14,342	06-03 15:54
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	393	$99.2K	15,466	06-03 15:54
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	393	$86.5K	22,561	06-03 15:54
Silly-Briefly 0x3f2f…8150	393	$14.9K	2,494	06-03 15:50