Dangerous-Inbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

704

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-13 14:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 41% +$16

Tech

12% — —

Politics

6% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 218 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	153	$2.0K	1,347	1,367	-20	open	—	06-09 16:54
btc updown 5m 1781192100	2	$1.6K	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	06-11 15:37
btc updown 5m 1781196300	2	$1.6K	963	963	+0	open	—	06-11 16:49
btc updown 5m 1781195400	2	$1.5K	1,355	1,000	+355	open	—	06-11 16:32
btc updown 5m 1781116800	2	$1.3K	1,137	1,137	+0	open	—	06-10 18:43
btc updown 5m 1781116500	2	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	06-10 18:39
btc updown 5m 1781196600	1	$700	958	0	+958	open	—	06-11 16:52
btc updown 5m 1781196000	1	$700	833	0	+833	open	—	06-11 16:42
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	25	$632	1,869	1,869	+0	open	—	06-09 18:11
btc updown 5m 1781116200	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	06-10 18:34
btc updown 5m 1781193600	2	$427	368	368	+0	open	—	06-11 16:03
btc updown 5m 1781106300	4	$328	210	210	+0	open	—	06-10 15:49
will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	11	$321	250	250	+0	open	—	06-09 18:24
btc updown 5m 1781193000	2	$320	216	216	+0	open	—	06-11 15:53
will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	18	$290	170	170	+0	open	—	06-09 09:27
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	12	$257	991	991	+0	open	—	06-09 16:43
btc updown 5m 1781117100	1	$241	406	0	+406	open	—	06-10 18:46
btc updown 5m 1781194800	2	$239	569	569	+0	open	—	06-11 16:23
btc updown 5m 1781106000	2	$235	137	137	+0	open	—	06-10 15:44
btc updown 5m 1781112600	2	$232	161	161	+0	open	—	06-10 17:32
btc updown 5m 1781112300	2	$216	118	118	+0	open	—	06-10 17:29
btc updown 5m 1781105700	2	$216	123	123	+0	open	—	06-10 15:39
btc updown 5m 1781115600	1	$200	333	0	+333	open	—	06-10 18:22
btc updown 5m 1781115300	1	$200	236	0	+236	open	—	06-10 18:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$158	400	400	+0	open	—	06-09 16:42
btc updown 5m 1781115000	1	$150	267	0	+267	open	—	06-10 18:12
btc updown 5m 1781194500	1	$145	290	0	+290	open	—	06-11 16:14
btc updown 5m 1781194200	1	$145	296	0	+296	open	—	06-11 16:11
btc updown 5m 1781192700	1	$145	279	0	+279	open	—	06-11 15:45
btc updown 5m 1781193900	1	$145	158	0	+158	open	—	06-11 16:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 14:10:12	btc updown 5m 1781359800	Up	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x45b534…
06-13 13:59:21	btc updown 5m 1781358900	Up	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0x591984…
06-11 20:55:28	btc updown 5m 1781211300	Up	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0x43caa7…
06-11 20:45:03	btc updown 5m 1781210700	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x77cd63…
06-11 16:52:57	btc updown 5m 1781196600	Down	BUY	958	73¢	$700	0xa2c66f…
06-11 16:49:54	btc updown 5m 1781196300	Down	SELL	963	95¢	$919	0xc985d7…
06-11 16:46:27	btc updown 5m 1781196300	Down	BUY	963	73¢	$700	0xab83e6…
06-11 16:42:24	btc updown 5m 1781196000	Down	BUY	833	84¢	$700	0x98b6be…
06-11 16:32:10	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	SELL	1,000	85¢	$846	0xb99d7b…
06-11 16:29:55	btc updown 5m 1781195400	Down	BUY	1,355	50¢	$674	0x244118…
06-11 16:25:15	btc updown 5m 1781195100	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x13bcdb…
06-11 16:23:01	btc updown 5m 1781194800	Up	SELL	569	2¢	$11	0xeaa264…
06-11 16:21:51	btc updown 5m 1781194800	Up	BUY	569	40¢	$227	0xe2cdb2…
06-11 16:14:55	btc updown 5m 1781194500	Up	BUY	290	50¢	$145	0xa1676b…
06-11 16:11:28	btc updown 5m 1781194200	Down	BUY	296	49¢	$145	0x9ff3fe…
06-11 16:06:48	btc updown 5m 1781193900	Up	BUY	158	92¢	$145	0x3aab85…
06-11 16:03:55	btc updown 5m 1781193600	Down	SELL	368	77¢	$282	0x95bdf9…
06-11 16:02:12	btc updown 5m 1781193600	Down	BUY	368	39¢	$145	0x4f266b…
06-11 15:53:36	btc updown 5m 1781193000	Down	SELL	216	81¢	$175	0x43438f…
06-11 15:52:52	btc updown 5m 1781193000	Down	BUY	216	67¢	$145	0x0f15ee…
06-11 15:45:00	btc updown 5m 1781192700	Down	BUY	279	52¢	$145	0x61b319…
06-11 15:37:18	btc updown 5m 1781192100	Up	SELL	1,016	93¢	$949	0x637e7b…
06-11 15:35:48	btc updown 5m 1781192100	Up	BUY	1,016	67¢	$684	0xa924c1…
06-10 18:46:10	btc updown 5m 1781117100	Down	BUY	406	59¢	$241	0xc349ec…
06-10 18:43:15	btc updown 5m 1781116800	Down	SELL	1,137	67¢	$764	0x944ea2…
06-10 18:40:51	btc updown 5m 1781116800	Down	BUY	1,137	44¢	$500	0xe29e30…
06-10 18:39:46	btc updown 5m 1781116500	Down	SELL	522	99¢	$517	0x8bb13f…
06-10 18:37:45	btc updown 5m 1781116500	Down	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0xf8f24f…
06-10 18:34:09	btc updown 5m 1781116200	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x0c4bc5…
06-10 18:25:42	btc updown 5m 1781115900	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xb39388…
06-10 18:22:01	btc updown 5m 1781115600	Down	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x39ea1f…
06-10 18:17:58	btc updown 5m 1781115300	Down	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x6ae66e…
06-10 18:12:31	btc updown 5m 1781115000	Up	BUY	267	56¢	$150	0xa356c6…
06-10 18:06:16	btc updown 5m 1781114700	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xa82486…
06-10 17:32:10	btc updown 5m 1781112600	Down	SELL	161	82¢	$132	0xd20f41…
06-10 17:30:42	btc updown 5m 1781112600	Down	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xd1f1c2…
06-10 17:29:19	btc updown 5m 1781112300	Down	SELL	118	99¢	$116	0x5c2c7a…
06-10 17:27:25	btc updown 5m 1781112300	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x9ed159…
06-10 15:49:13	btc updown 5m 1781106300	Down	SELL	125	99¢	$124	0xa01317…
06-10 15:48:15	btc updown 5m 1781106300	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xa95da0…
06-10 15:47:46	btc updown 5m 1781106300	Up	SELL	85	40¢	$34	0xd436ff…
06-10 15:46:34	btc updown 5m 1781106300	Up	BUY	85	82¢	$70	0x8d8aa0…
06-10 15:44:30	btc updown 5m 1781106000	Up	SELL	137	99¢	$135	0x622497…
06-10 15:42:18	btc updown 5m 1781106000	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x739514…
06-10 15:39:21	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Down	SELL	123	94¢	$116	0x229150…
06-10 15:38:34	btc updown 5m 1781105700	Down	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xcb095a…
06-10 15:30:31	btc updown 5m 1781105400	Up	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0xb563ab…
06-10 15:25:15	btc updown 5m 1781105100	Up	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x098395…
06-10 13:03:30	btc updown 5m 1781096400	Down	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x880431…
06-10 12:59:03	btc updown 5m 1781096100	Down	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0xfd978e…
06-10 11:45:46	btc updown 5m 1781091900	Down	BUY	127	55¢	$70	0x3024fa…
06-09 18:36:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	108	18¢	$19	0xb71131…
06-09 18:24:37	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xfe15cb…
06-09 18:24:21	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xc77020…
06-09 18:11:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xe86c81…
06-09 18:04:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xa477c1…
06-09 17:59:43	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xd315fd…
06-09 17:51:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x351e19…
06-09 17:51:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$31	0x1d8e44…
06-09 17:50:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x70343e…
06-09 17:50:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x213f91…
06-09 17:47:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x173bc3…
06-09 17:26:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x14402b…
06-09 17:25:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x4862e3…
06-09 17:24:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x4d927e…
06-09 17:24:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	51	23¢	$12	0x93e775…
06-09 17:23:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xed3839…
06-09 17:23:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0x7460e9…
06-09 17:21:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0xd590cc…
06-09 17:16:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0xd9e34d…
06-09 17:06:04	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	355	13¢	$46	0xa9d8d6…
06-09 17:04:48	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x8fc71c…
06-09 16:57:04	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	53	66¢	$35	0x56cb09…
06-09 16:56:40	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x55a86c…
06-09 16:54:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xbfc144…
06-09 16:53:16	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xb76a7f…
06-09 16:52:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xcfc361…
06-09 16:48:04	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xcbdd0e…
06-09 16:47:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x0c9afe…
06-09 16:46:37	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0xc26f04…
06-09 16:46:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	76	19¢	$14	0x35350b…
06-09 16:44:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xb9aa38…
06-09 16:43:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x4571b5…
06-09 16:42:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x4dcbef…
06-09 16:40:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xa137fb…
06-09 16:39:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x82eb61…
06-09 16:34:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xf36be5…
06-09 16:28:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x3150d7…
06-09 16:23:48	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xa20f8f…
06-09 16:21:49	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x2e383d…
06-09 16:17:00	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x727767…
06-09 16:14:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x38ae35…
06-09 16:12:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x1f992d…
06-09 16:10:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xf9e49f…
06-09 16:10:13	will xauusd dip to 4200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb94b25…
06-09 16:08:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8ca389…
06-09 16:08:09	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x8433e3…
06-09 16:06:03	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xfd6e4e…
06-09 16:01:39	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x71afad…
06-09 15:58:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x834a6d…