Vicious-Unemployment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$438

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

3,944

Trades

5,766

lifetime

Volume

$40.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-29 11:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 247 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 76% -$173

Other

29% 46% -$386

Tech

7% 73% +$156

Sports

1% 65% +$20

Politics

0% 50% -$51

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes		+10	$4	4¢	$0	-$4	10-29 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	10	$1.2K	685	685	+0	Yes	+$49	07-30 03:46
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	7	$944	496	496	+0	No	+$44	08-12 22:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	7	$747	601	200	+401	Yes	+$49	06-22 16:35
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	4	$462	305	305	+0	No	+$42	08-23 23:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	4	$434	256	256	+0	Yes	+$34	08-18 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	4	$433	233	233	+0	No	+$33	08-19 10:57
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	5	$417	219	219	+0	No	+$17	06-28 04:13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	4	$315	521	399	+122	No	-$5	08-16 03:41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	3	$260	150	150	+0	Yes	+$10	08-09 01:54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	5	$236	499	462	+36	No	-$4	09-21 14:09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	8	$235	409	353	+56	No	+$21	10-07 16:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	4	$232	174	174	+0	No	+$28	09-01 01:35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	2	$232	132	132	+0	No	+$32	08-18 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	4	$231	526	526	+0	Yes	+$31	09-13 17:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$229	130	130	+0	Yes	+$29	05-28 08:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	2	$229	130	130	+0	No	+$29	09-03 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	5	$225	290	290	+0	Yes	+$105	09-08 11:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	3	$215	409	409	+0	No	-$5	08-16 01:08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$212	588	588	+0	No	+$12	09-11 09:32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	9	$210	1,350	0	+1,350	No	-$210	09-20 09:27
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	2	$210	110	110	+0	No	+$10	08-10 06:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	3	$208	599	526	+73	No	-$12	08-28 11:23
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$208	110	110	+0	No	+$8	08-19 00:31
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$206	108	108	+0	Yes	+$6	05-30 03:16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	4	$201	129	129	+0	No	+$21	10-24 12:31
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	3	$200	246	0	+246	Yes	+$46	02-03 01:11
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$199	103	103	+0	Yes	-$1	05-30 03:17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$191	154	154	+0	Yes	+$91	08-21 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	9	$172	189	114	+75	Yes	-$2	08-11 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 23:45 UTC	9	$156	165	0	+165	Down	+$9	03-12 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb9a142…
10-29 11:21:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x49c4b9…
10-29 11:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x02deba…
10-29 11:05:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x3b3f72…
10-29 10:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xdc5d68…
10-26 16:48:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x8045b4…
10-25 08:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x08ca94…
10-25 07:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x3b006e…
10-24 12:31:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	86¢	$111	0x553361…
10-24 07:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	4¢	$2	0xf908e9…
10-24 02:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x650b05…
10-24 02:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xd0e1e5…
10-24 02:00:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0d4926…
10-23 13:37:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	4¢	$3	0xe7983f…
10-23 13:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2cea2f…
10-22 14:22:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xaedade…
10-22 13:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xff1278…
10-22 12:58:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0adbda…
10-22 12:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x6072d1…
10-22 12:42:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x20cab2…
10-22 12:42:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x018b1e…
10-21 15:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0x89c47d…
10-21 14:01:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x364ae4…
10-21 13:44:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbd127c…
10-21 12:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x4a3571…
10-21 12:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0xa55af9…
10-21 11:05:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x88eb40…
10-21 08:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	80¢	$71	0x2e2e50…
10-20 15:16:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0xac92e2…
10-20 15:13:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x1ce122…
10-20 13:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x10d7f9…
10-20 13:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd62067…
10-20 13:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xcf3867…
10-20 13:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x880c04…
10-20 13:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x2d0212…
10-20 13:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x919158…
10-20 12:06:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x7aeec2…
10-20 12:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x617610…
10-20 12:04:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdbc949…
10-20 11:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x520f7e…
10-20 11:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x94d79a…
10-20 11:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe972a3…
10-20 11:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x7215ba…
10-20 11:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x11c909…
10-20 11:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x26400b…
10-20 11:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0dedef…
10-20 11:01:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0xf6b28e…
10-20 10:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5eec4d…
10-19 13:06:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x9dd9b0…
10-19 13:06:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x51c912…
10-19 13:06:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc59e08…
10-19 12:49:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x26a8a1…
10-19 12:49:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa86ee7…
10-19 12:47:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x534ffb…
10-19 12:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdc3810…
10-19 12:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x060aa1…
10-19 12:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x532af5…
10-19 12:24:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	35¢	$11	0xad0f58…
10-18 14:53:57	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$3	0xd4997c…
10-18 13:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf838f6…
10-18 13:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x979580…
10-18 12:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x8f1617…
10-18 12:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x460ef3…
10-18 12:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x2bd8cd…
10-18 12:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x71fec1…
10-18 10:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x626fb7…
10-18 10:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xa8b89f…
10-18 08:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb8cee7…
10-18 08:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8e495a…
10-18 03:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa2cbb8…
10-18 03:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x588c56…
10-17 18:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3553d5…
10-17 16:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	422	1¢	$4	0x3ece4d…
10-17 08:15:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x68d0b8…
10-17 08:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdbacd5…
10-17 08:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf22990…
10-17 08:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6a9d40…
10-17 08:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x92b6fa…
10-17 05:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa2c67e…
10-17 04:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6c445d…
10-17 02:14:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb163a5…
10-17 02:14:15	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x25ec0d…
10-17 02:02:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x6afeb0…
10-17 02:00:53	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb3b149…
10-16 17:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0x1ece08…
10-16 17:03:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x7d7561…
10-16 16:40:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xc827b3…
10-16 16:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xb99d5c…
10-16 13:52:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc72771…
10-16 13:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2b4cc4…
10-16 12:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x010762…
10-16 12:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1589f2…
10-15 13:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on October 15?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x7819e9…
10-15 13:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3ae9ab…
10-15 12:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xa99b6a…
10-15 09:33:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x08e8bb…
10-15 09:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7601a4…
10-15 09:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3f0d12…
10-15 09:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2ca5cf…
10-15 09:08:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0x833379…