Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$143

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$507

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$140

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 06-06 17:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

50% 100% +$143

Other

41% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes		+357	$100	26¢	$95	$-5	06-06 17:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+100	$51	46¢	$46	$-6	06-06 17:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	1	$100	357	0	+357	open	—	06-06 17:54
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	3	$84	78	78	+0	open	—	02-25 22:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$65	207	0	+207	Yes	+$142	04-12 20:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	1	$51	100	0	+100	open	—	06-06 17:54
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	3	$51	31	31	+0	open	—	02-25 22:30
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$25	17	17	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
will gold gc settle at 5225 5350 in february	2	$15	37	0	+37	open	—	02-27 13:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$11	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	03-10 14:23
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	1	$10	105	0	+105	open	—	02-23 00:01
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-12 21:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-02 08:01
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$8	32	32	+0	open	—	03-08 22:08
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	3	$6	39	39	+0	open	—	03-10 15:58
btc updown 5m 1772406600	2	$6	5	4	+0	open	—	03-01 23:12
btc updown 5m 1773159000	2	$6	18	0	+18	open	—	03-10 16:14
will gold gc settle at 5350 5475 in february	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	02-23 00:09
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	03-12 21:34
btc updown 5m 1772403600	3	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	03-01 22:24
btc updown 5m 1772402100	2	$3	12	0	+12	open	—	03-01 21:59
btc updown 5m 1772401500	2	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	03-01 21:49
btc updown 5m 1772403000	2	$2	105	0	+105	open	—	03-01 22:13
btc updown 5m 1775161200	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-02 20:18
btc updown 5m 1772405100	2	$2	46	0	+46	open	—	03-01 22:48
btc updown 5m 1772405700	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-01 22:55
btc updown 5m 1772401800	2	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	03-01 21:54
btc updown 5m 1772401200	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	03-01 21:42
btc updown 5m 1772406000	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-01 23:03
will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	03-07 13:53
will crude oil cl settle at 85 90 in march	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	03-07 13:53
btc updown 5m 1772403900	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-01 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 17:54:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x2a1d7a…
06-06 17:54:16	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0x1984fc…
04-12 20:06:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x91d195…
04-02 20:18:59	btc updown 5m 1775161200	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2fd4fd…
04-02 20:02:59	btc updown 5m 1775160300	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82b39c…
04-02 19:49:05	btc updown 5m 1775159400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa8629c…
04-02 19:30:01	btc updown 5m 1775158200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6ca8f6…
04-02 19:25:29	btc updown 5m 1775157900	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6f5a8a…
04-02 18:52:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x698802…
04-02 08:01:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdff82d…
03-23 13:54:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xaec131…
03-12 21:34:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa076ce…
03-12 21:34:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc97908…
03-10 16:30:23	btc updown 5m 1773160200	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x83af02…
03-10 16:27:55	btc updown 5m 1773159900	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdf2e03…
03-10 16:23:31	btc updown 5m 1773159600	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd59e31…
03-10 16:14:51	btc updown 5m 1773159000	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0f5bbb…
03-10 16:13:25	btc updown 5m 1773159000	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb626f1…
03-10 15:58:49	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xf5c98b…
03-10 15:51:17	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xec4fe0…
03-10 15:47:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xa126d8…
03-10 14:23:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	18¢	$6	0x2ea9b5…
03-08 22:08:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x734bca…
03-07 17:21:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x333f9b…
03-07 13:54:49	will crude oil cl settle at 75 80 in march 416	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x67ea5f…
03-07 13:53:53	will crude oil cl settle at 80 85 in march	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8c5a38…
03-07 13:53:41	will crude oil cl settle at 85 90 in march	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd3eda8…
03-07 13:51:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xc48668…
03-07 13:48:49	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3f17c1…
03-07 13:47:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x3ae47c…
03-01 23:22:47	btc updown 5m 1772407200	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe4d0cc…
03-01 23:20:03	btc updown 5m 1772406900	Down	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xb03707…
03-01 23:12:35	btc updown 5m 1772406600	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x343ab6…
03-01 23:10:13	btc updown 5m 1772406600	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd5e964…
03-01 23:03:53	btc updown 5m 1772406000	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x08c974…
03-01 22:55:53	btc updown 5m 1772405700	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x44be4a…
03-01 22:48:13	btc updown 5m 1772405100	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4b4bc4…
03-01 22:47:41	btc updown 5m 1772405100	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7e20c6…
03-01 22:32:57	btc updown 5m 1772404200	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdde8d1…
03-01 22:29:17	btc updown 5m 1772403900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5bdccd…
03-01 22:24:39	btc updown 5m 1772403600	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9a6d74…
03-01 22:23:01	btc updown 5m 1772403600	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x9d77e8…
03-01 22:22:15	btc updown 5m 1772403600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd424a5…
03-01 22:13:51	btc updown 5m 1772403000	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe0f2f3…
03-01 22:11:45	btc updown 5m 1772403000	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x20afc8…
03-01 22:08:43	btc updown 5m 1772402700	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0d0505…
03-01 21:59:55	btc updown 5m 1772402100	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0e284a…
03-01 21:58:41	btc updown 5m 1772402100	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x208710…
03-01 21:54:27	btc updown 5m 1772401800	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3f088f…
03-01 21:53:47	btc updown 5m 1772401800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x60a023…
03-01 21:49:31	btc updown 5m 1772401500	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8f7ff7…
03-01 21:47:55	btc updown 5m 1772401500	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbaa877…
03-01 21:42:21	btc updown 5m 1772401200	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1b2d72…
03-01 21:40:47	btc updown 5m 1772401200	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfb52e8…
02-28 13:44:47	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x97682d…
02-27 13:46:03	will gold gc settle at 5225 5350 in february	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x142396…
02-26 21:08:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x68a1b8…
02-26 21:02:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	37¢	$35	0x08f8db…
02-25 22:30:46	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	Yes	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xf93868…
02-25 22:30:44	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	Yes	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0x4353f6…
02-23 20:51:44	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf30417…
02-23 20:36:20	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x46ee55…
02-23 20:27:08	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdc99da…
02-23 00:25:48	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xb4b367…
02-23 00:09:34	will gold gc settle at 5225 5350 in february	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6f0e61…
02-23 00:09:20	will gold gc settle at 5350 5475 in february	Yes	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x7a969f…
02-23 00:01:58	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0xceaa07…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	25	$78.4K	5,252	04-02 20:23
(anonymous) 0xb6e9…3008	24	$9.83K	595	04-02 20:23
(anonymous) 0x7a1f…1033	24	$9.20K	666	04-02 20:23
Cavernous-Emanate 0x0cf7…f03a	24	$8.81K	1,864	04-02 20:24
Understated-Material 0xbb36…1bf7	24	$8.61K	1,796	04-02 20:22
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	24	$8.42K	1,818	04-02 20:23
(anonymous) 0x5b87…b6bd	24	$7.20K	1,742	04-02 20:24
(anonymous) 0x2a88…438a	24	$7.06K	537	04-02 20:24