Frivolous-Guitarist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

700

Trades

728

lifetime

Volume

$7.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-30 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

81% 97% -$4

Sports

14% 99% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:31
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 09:14
pll arc whp 2026 05 30	2	$20	10	10	+0	Maryland Whipsnakes	+$0	06-08 04:48
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:27
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:38
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:37
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$10	10	0	+10	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	10-07 06:30
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
atp trungel hanfman 2026 07 22 set 2 winner Trungelliti vs Hanfmann	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hanfmann	+$0	07-22 12:52
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$10	10	0	+10	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$10	10	0	+10	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Bengals vs. Dolphins	1	$10	10	0	+10	Bengals	+$0	10-11 20:16
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	07-06 04:26
Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Philadelphia Phillies	+$0	05-26 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:44:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58e688…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e207a…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb4ce2…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe90357…
10-24 13:22:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f5301…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3aa7f3…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6be672…
10-22 20:24:05	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf746e4…
10-21 20:56:45	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82d5e1…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d1c8c…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x328835…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22c484…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab9437…
10-15 20:32:36	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x55ca8c…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88e8c6…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53dfc0…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce7ae4…
10-14 13:12:36	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x276c7c…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf822f7…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3785b0…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fec79…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x439d02…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x268b0b…
10-13 01:33:57	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6baed…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba3f80…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43cd92…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabfaf0…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe39db1…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2a29e…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3286a…
10-09 02:10:00	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35fc59…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc0e6dc…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc3310…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa96c83…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0872d…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x441a00…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06bf13…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5cb1e…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1157ce…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x926266…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe3183f…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f0687…
10-02 14:15:33	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a38c0…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x506967…
10-01 22:18:32	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c0874…
10-01 20:54:36	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39a1ce…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x021802…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x04b289…
10-01 12:04:08	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56f8be…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83753b…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a98cc…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4a7ca…
09-30 23:54:54	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x930559…
09-30 07:05:53	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x185fd0…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f3921…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xba152f…
09-29 13:58:54	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe69267…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb4f971…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7772fd…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb04577…
09-28 10:07:59	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb61b8…
09-27 20:13:29	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7617a2…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e4c8c…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f15db…
09-27 12:13:44	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x208864…
09-27 00:28:21	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x177f5d…
09-27 00:23:44	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd455cd…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb6847…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ab76e…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67c99b…
09-26 16:18:09	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d8683…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf42e2…
09-25 23:23:14	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41a9b5…
09-25 22:56:30	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x33a326…
09-25 10:14:23	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe52df1…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf34185…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a56a8…
09-23 16:26:48	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64b450…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6a9b0b…
09-21 18:44:31	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95b71a…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf024a6…
09-20 06:45:34	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x522546…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ee697…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79eb72…
09-19 22:11:06	daviscup fery guillen 2026 09 19	Arthur Fery	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x436f52…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cfb99…
09-17 20:00:13	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f6d13…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65766d…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3253ce…
09-17 12:48:04	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd68bc…
09-17 00:30:46	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf9f37…
09-16 15:14:29	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa947a0…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90f6ca…
09-16 06:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a89ee…
09-16 00:09:51	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ae1f9…
09-15 16:15:00	cs2 wraith morrow 2026 09 15	MORROW	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee2ff1…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5efe6…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0bc8d…
09-13 20:06:01	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xead091…
09-13 14:59:06	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x658ea7…