Untried-Abrogation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

1,072

Trades

1,646

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-28 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 60% -$841

Other

4% 58% -$179

Sports

1% 60% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down		+96	$50	1¢	$1	-$49	10-28 16:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	2	$874	1,133	1,133	+0	Up	-$525	05-28 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 20:30 UTC	3	$463	286	286	+0	Down	+$103	07-23 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$351	233	233	+0	Up	+$111	07-23 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 10:30 UTC	1	$338	769	0	+769	Down	-$338	08-09 10:30
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 18:40 UTC	2	$295	172	168	+3	Down	+$41	04-10 18:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 10:25 UTC	2	$277	392	0	+392	Up	-$277	08-09 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$256	137	136	+1	Down	+$15	04-28 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	4	$252	140	136	+3	Down	+$18	04-30 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$242	135	131	+5	Down	+$16	04-29 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$238	122	122	+0	Up	+$4	04-28 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$237	123	122	+0	Up	+$5	04-28 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$236	121	121	+0	Down	+$4	04-29 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$232	127	119	+9	Down	+$4	04-27 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$229	118	118	+0	Up	+$5	04-29 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$228	124	121	+3	Up	-$6	04-30 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$227	123	118	+6	Up	+$5	04-29 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$225	115	114	+2	Down	+$1	04-29 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$224	116	115	+0	Up	+$5	04-27 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$224	114	114	+0	Up	+$2	04-27 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$224	119	114	+5	Down	+$2	04-27 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$222	113	113	+0	Down	+$2	04-27 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$218	123	102	+21	Down	-$16	04-29 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$216	119	117	+3	Up	+$16	04-26 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1AM ET	3	$208	105	105	+0	Down	+$2	04-25 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$206	105	105	+0	Up	+$2	04-29 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$204	105	103	+2	Down	+$0	04-29 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12AM ET	3	$202	102	102	+0	Down	+$2	04-25 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$202	104	101	+3	Down	$0	04-27 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$202	110	102	+8	Down	$0	04-30 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$201	101	101	+0	Down	+$1	04-27 05:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xa054fc…
10-28 10:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0xe1fcc9…
10-28 09:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x57053f…
10-28 09:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x7dedca…
09-25 12:47:09	bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	Up	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0x2a4d98…
09-24 20:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x18b73d…
09-24 19:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2581d5…
09-24 18:09:30	bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x93c5f5…
09-24 16:38:51	bitcoin up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa298af…
09-24 16:35:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x12f496…
09-24 16:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdd4562…
09-24 15:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee422c…
09-24 14:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	Up	SELL	53	68¢	$36	0xa8b480…
09-24 13:33:05	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-24 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xa6f0c5…
09-24 13:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1b1b0d…
09-24 11:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8ec0af…
09-24 11:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xbb8f7c…
09-24 10:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xbcf1c4…
09-24 09:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfbb713…
09-24 08:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdc32ae…
09-24 08:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc99053…
09-24 08:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x6349cb…
09-24 07:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x91d039…
09-24 07:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd79d06…
09-24 05:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd3454f…
09-23 19:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xba1387…
09-23 16:49:23	bitcoin up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3c89ef…
09-23 16:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x7d28dd…
09-23 16:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa17945…
09-23 16:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x341478…
09-23 16:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x937a57…
09-23 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x696aea…
09-23 16:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3a2ddc…
09-23 16:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x30568d…
09-23 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6a010b…
09-23 15:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3c177a…
09-23 15:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x76a1c9…
09-23 15:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa31dbd…
09-23 15:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfdde21…
09-23 15:42:28	bitcoin up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x88d89b…
09-23 13:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf901b8…
09-23 12:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0d4c3a…
09-23 12:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x06b345…
09-23 12:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2ec1c2…
09-23 12:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x244c0a…
09-23 12:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1732a2…
09-23 12:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x905e47…
09-23 12:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf94b00…
09-23 12:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x05a26b…
09-23 12:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4824e3…
09-23 12:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3806ca…
09-23 12:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x18568d…
09-23 12:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xe4407f…
09-23 12:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd26da9…
09-23 12:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x17ed0f…
09-23 12:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x00373c…
09-23 12:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x8ece55…
09-23 12:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6c1c1f…
09-23 12:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x450581…
09-23 12:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8f1825…
09-23 12:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5be821…
09-23 12:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcd20d6…
09-23 12:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf44d05…
09-23 11:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x170379…
09-23 11:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd65dec…
09-23 11:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc573d5…
09-23 11:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd0cc39…
09-23 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe16a8e…
09-23 11:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe7f967…
09-23 11:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4f36ac…
09-23 10:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x6b2cb1…
09-23 10:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3ae5c1…
09-23 10:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5c5bbd…
09-23 10:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x63856d…
09-23 10:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7766c…
09-23 10:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x8ad11d…
09-23 10:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x693549…
09-23 10:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x95a7de…
09-23 10:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfda9f3…
09-23 10:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xda5e73…
09-23 10:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xa7488c…
09-23 10:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6d68f6…
09-23 10:06:55	bitcoin up or down september 23 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4fa323…
09-23 08:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x86ee31…
09-23 01:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23?	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x81bbdc…
09-23 00:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x31dcef…
09-22 23:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0x3a45c4…
09-22 23:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x262c63…
09-22 22:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x26163d…
09-22 22:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe1b5a1…
09-22 21:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4991f5…
09-22 20:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa9edf8…
09-22 20:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9456fc…
09-22 20:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x5bbf47…
09-22 20:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc7ac7a…
09-22 19:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7cccee…
09-22 18:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x034d8a…
09-22 18:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe425b3…
09-22 13:03:04	bitcoin up or down september 22 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7f606e…
09-22 12:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x31e0b0…