Angry-Hyacinth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

+$155

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

Trades

277

lifetime

Volume

$6.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$945

1 position

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-05 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 59% $-134

Politics

37% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 156 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No		+3,000	$790	32¢	$945	+$155	06-03 22:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$998	1,718	0	+1,718	open	—	06-05 16:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	3	$790	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-03 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	10	$772	488	438	+50	open	—	05-16 11:16
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	4	$435	600	600	+0	open	—	06-05 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$150	199	0	+199	Down	$-150	05-13 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$140	310	0	+310	Up	$-140	05-14 02:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$130	200	0	+200	open	—	05-25 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	3	$115	168	168	+0	open	—	05-14 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$100	175	0	+175	Down	+$75	05-13 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$100	114	0	+114	Up	$-100	05-14 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$71	129	65	+65	Down	$-9	05-13 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$70	100	0	+100	Up	+$30	05-14 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$70	100	0	+100	Down	+$30	05-13 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	14	$70	100	0	+100	Up	+$30	05-14 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$65	100	0	+100	Down	+$35	05-13 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$64	44	44	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$60	344	0	+344	Up	$-60	05-13 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$60	45	45	+0	Down	+$30	05-13 13:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	8	$54	500	0	+500	open	—	05-16 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	4	$53	43	43	+0	Down	$-7	05-13 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$50	82	0	+82	Up	+$32	05-13 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$50	52	0	+52	Up	+$2	05-13 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$49	104	104	+0	open	—	05-14 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$49	100	0	+100	Up	$-49	05-13 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$43	74	74	+0	Down	$-12	05-13 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$40	50	0	+50	open	—	05-14 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$38	45	0	+45	Down	+$7	05-13 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$35	99	16	+83	open	—	05-14 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	3	$35	42	17	+25	Up	$-0	05-14 03:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 16:17:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xe66a38…
06-05 16:16:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	SELL	600	36¢	$219	0xeda511…
06-04 23:22:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	369	36¢	$133	0x062fd5…
06-04 22:01:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x5acc27…
06-04 21:15:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x212785…
06-03 22:21:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	27¢	$675	0x4fa4e3…
06-02 02:37:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0x8f5595…
05-30 19:09:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	58¢	$580	0xdaa181…
05-30 16:00:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	418	57¢	$238	0xd953f6…
05-28 04:23:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	492	23¢	$113	0x89dc84…
05-28 04:21:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xa3ec67…
05-25 16:33:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x6f2845…
05-24 23:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xf40857…
05-24 23:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xacd8fe…
05-24 23:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x67ab21…
05-24 23:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0x2fac14…
05-24 23:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x57497c…
05-24 23:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0xee5dce…
05-16 15:43:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0x6c0085…
05-16 15:42:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	120	3¢	$4	0xd5a4db…
05-16 15:42:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x3d9d26…
05-16 15:36:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9f0831…
05-16 15:33:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0xc9acfc…
05-16 15:30:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2cbfd9…
05-16 14:41:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x21c6f7…
05-16 12:00:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x63a131…
05-16 11:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x8da814…
05-16 11:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x5153d3…
05-16 11:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc8bcd9…
05-16 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	72	87¢	$63	0x214f2a…
05-16 11:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	116	87¢	$101	0x1ee74c…
05-16 11:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	250	87¢	$218	0x6a37c7…
05-16 10:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0x61cb94…
05-16 10:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x8b5003…
05-16 10:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe7e519…
05-16 10:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	338	89¢	$300	0xdf7663…
05-15 02:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x00de32…
05-15 02:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3d0051…
05-15 02:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x34327c…
05-14 17:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0xfb9bc1…
05-14 17:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xf95619…
05-14 17:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6477b9…
05-14 17:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x05c215…
05-14 17:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xcf3c2a…
05-14 17:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xd5ebc8…
05-14 17:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xc6c7c6…
05-14 17:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0xaf301b…
05-14 17:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x0e008d…
05-14 17:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xfaadc0…
05-14 16:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x0772d3…
05-14 16:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x79c6a6…
05-14 16:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	45	30¢	$14	0x6cd2ad…
05-14 16:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x034659…
05-14 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xff40ac…
05-14 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfee8d3…
05-14 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa3130d…
05-14 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x75ef99…
05-14 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x5a3bef…
05-14 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x50b8f0…
05-14 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x3d1a81…
05-14 16:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0xc28783…
05-14 16:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd22969…
05-14 16:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x9e2cb6…
05-14 16:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf9e853…
05-14 16:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xf449bb…
05-14 16:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x4ae7ff…
05-14 16:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x46d0aa…
05-14 16:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x82fb91…
05-14 15:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb1cb61…
05-14 15:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x683c2b…
05-14 15:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x079a52…
05-14 15:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xfe92c4…
05-14 15:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7b250d…
05-14 15:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	40¢	$11	0x6ba45b…
05-14 15:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x6772ef…
05-14 15:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x6c2d6d…
05-14 15:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x78aeb5…
05-14 14:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x6599fd…
05-14 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xccdba4…
05-14 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xb575a7…
05-14 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6b395b…
05-14 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6129ce…
05-14 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x57cbf3…
05-14 14:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x3974f5…
05-14 14:37:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x2f5240…
05-14 14:34:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1b9b40…
05-14 14:34:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x937fdd…
05-14 14:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x52f650…
05-14 14:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0d417c…
05-14 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x60bf9b…
05-14 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0x557f88…
05-14 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4d2353…
05-14 13:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x8520ac…
05-14 13:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4b4b45…
05-14 13:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0bc72d…
05-14 13:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x11f0b3…
05-14 13:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x90fa2a…
05-14 13:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0x6f5488…
05-14 13:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	43	30¢	$13	0x5ef897…
05-14 13:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3925c5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	116	$182.5K	4,520	06-09 16:57
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	109	$29.0K	4,151	05-24 23:34
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	108	$54.4K	6,009	05-15 02:28
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	108	$28.3K	7,438	05-15 02:29
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	108	$25.7K	6,750	05-15 02:29
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	108	$25.6K	4,551	05-15 02:28
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	108	$25.5K	3,521	05-15 02:29
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	108	$15.3K	845	05-15 02:28