Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$601

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

109

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$48.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$154

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-30 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

62% 51% +$302

Politics

28% 46% -$6

Crypto

5% 25% -$851

Tech

4% 50% -$47

Pop-Culture

1% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-17	-$5	12¢	$-2	+$3	06-15 14:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	12	$1.7K	1,768	1,768	+0	No	-$50	02-14 10:05
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.7K	1,080	1,080	+0	No	+$194	04-09 10:37
up only podcast released by february 28 2026	2	$1.7K	965	965	+0	No	+$84	02-12 10:46
will goat third weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	6	$1.4K	1,397	1,397	+0	No	-$17	02-27 14:12
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	10	$1.4K	1,770	1,770	+0	No	-$94	01-29 11:44
will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	2	$1.3K	747	747	+0	No	-$7	01-29 19:23
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	836	836	+0	No	+$117	04-12 00:00
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	4	$1.2K	653	653	+0	Yes	+$7	03-24 06:00
israel x syria security agreement by march 31	8	$1.1K	1,229	1,229	+0	No	-$14	02-06 05:18
Named storm forms before hurricane season?	5	$1.1K	1,236	1,236	+0	No	+$0	01-29 17:11
spl njm nsr 2025 12 21 nsr	3	$1.0K	703	703	+0	Yes	+$267	02-22 03:39
will juventus advance to the round of 16	5	$1.0K	761	761	+0	No	-$20	02-16 06:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	7	$1.0K	589	589	+0	Yes	-$6	02-18 00:41
will lucinda m margolis jeopardy win best director of a reality quiz game at the 78th dga awards	3	$889	523	523	+0	No	-$21	02-05 10:58
will artemis ii launch by march 31	3	$865	497	497	+0	No	+$20	02-01 21:48
will tom hanks be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	2	$851	495	495	+0	No	+$0	02-13 19:44
will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	5	$851	686	686	+0	No	-$40	02-03 16:38
will usdai launch a token by march 31	6	$807	951	951	+0	No	-$150	02-23 23:56
will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$790	541	541	+0	Yes	+$22	03-26 07:25
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	3	$787	532	532	+0	No	+$0	03-31 02:12
will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	5	$778	597	597	+0	Yes	+$14	02-24 18:13
will trump say finish the job this week march 29	3	$769	732	732	+0	No	-$22	03-21 19:57
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	3	$756	425	425	+0	No	-$5	02-12 04:32
will keir starmer say ally or allied during the next prime ministers questions	6	$729	593	593	+0	Yes	+$184	02-02 17:55
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	4	$726	477	477	+0	No	+$20	03-10 11:01
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	4	$699	738	738	+0	Yes	+$6	01-31 19:06
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	4	$653	794	694	+100	Yes	+$118	02-15 18:34
will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	3	$646	376	376	+0	No	+$44	02-28 10:32
will trump say democracy this week february 22	2	$631	601	601	+0	No	+$90	02-17 19:16
will albin kurti be the next prime minister of kosovo	2	$618	715	715	+0	Yes	-$593	02-07 19:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:56:13	Will the biggest earthquake on October 30, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?	No	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0x185c51…
06-15 14:06:21	Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0xd32584…
04-12 00:00:33	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	836	82¢	$686	0x96000e…
04-11 13:17:05	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	836	68¢	$568	0x59fe62…
04-09 10:37:21	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,080	88¢	$950	0x7e1e1e…
04-07 10:13:47	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,080	70¢	$756	0x57f725…
03-31 03:09:35	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	SELL	137	18¢	$25	0x9bdb5c…
03-31 02:12:05	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	SELL	145	74¢	$107	0xfd8200…
03-31 02:10:51	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	SELL	387	74¢	$286	0xd56a40…
03-30 16:11:33	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	Yes	SELL	733	44¢	$323	0x713daa…
03-30 12:33:10	col1 bcf adc 2026 04 17 bcf	Yes	BUY	733	38¢	$279	0x64fe38…
03-29 16:25:00	will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	Yes	BUY	595	82¢	$488	0x588123…
03-29 16:24:44	will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x6792e7…
03-29 14:04:08	Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?	No	BUY	532	74¢	$394	0x4bcb22…
03-26 07:25:29	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	541	75¢	$406	0xabe0fe…
03-25 17:52:59	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	645	13¢	$84	0xcd41a8…
03-24 14:50:29	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	137	16¢	$22	0xa7f920…
03-24 09:07:39	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 22 2026	No	SELL	305	9¢	$28	0x4178bc…
03-24 06:00:57	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	165	91¢	$150	0x30306a…
03-24 06:00:35	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	283	91¢	$258	0x41b260…
03-24 06:00:09	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	205	91¢	$187	0xd2db51…
03-23 10:50:59	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	653	90¢	$588	0x9ad208…
03-22 17:16:27	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	645	14¢	$90	0xf41fc7…
03-22 16:22:29	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 22 2026	No	BUY	305	9¢	$27	0x5913cd…
03-22 11:28:37	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	269	29¢	$78	0x7682b2…
03-22 11:28:17	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	249	29¢	$72	0x3223ac…
03-22 07:35:39	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	SELL	421	44¢	$185	0x9236b4…
03-21 19:57:01	will trump say finish the job this week march 29	No	SELL	218	51¢	$111	0x1bd5d9…
03-21 19:56:09	will trump say finish the job this week march 29	No	SELL	514	51¢	$262	0x8b7291…
03-21 19:14:41	will iran successfully target shipping on march 30 2026 469	Yes	SELL	605	23¢	$139	0x0b2d43…
03-21 18:47:49	will elon or musk be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	SELL	285	63¢	$180	0xbd0c25…
03-21 07:22:45	will elon or musk be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 29	Yes	BUY	285	16¢	$46	0xc6109d…
03-21 06:40:57	will trump say finish the job this week march 29	No	BUY	732	54¢	$395	0x18f4be…
03-21 06:38:27	will iran successfully target shipping on march 30 2026 469	Yes	BUY	605	11¢	$67	0xe9f51e…
03-20 17:27:31	will fidesz kdnp win 85 99 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	518	27¢	$140	0x5ed42a…
03-20 14:54:55	will fidesz kdnp win 36 40 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	541	71¢	$384	0xf67f16…
03-20 08:13:35	will bnb dip to 600 in march	Yes	BUY	421	18¢	$76	0xaf35f8…
03-18 17:07:21	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	29¢	$35	0xed1fa3…
03-18 16:58:49	critical discord incident by march 31 2026	No	SELL	58	86¢	$50	0xea92df…
03-18 06:27:15	cbb sill evans 2026 01 25 spread away 3pt5	Southern Illinois Salukis	BUY	122	75¢	$92	0xa628cc…
03-18 06:02:43	elc por ips 2026 01 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	566	66¢	$374	0x1258a1…
03-17 16:05:35	will iran strike syria in march	Yes	BUY	644	13¢	$84	0x91b7c8…
03-16 16:44:59	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	27¢	$32	0x69d094…
03-16 01:41:13	will clear street group inc not ipo before april 2026	No	SELL	227	2¢	$6	0xc3962f…
03-16 01:40:03	will clear street group inc not ipo before april 2026	No	SELL	582	2¢	$15	0x38cbef…
03-12 13:58:37	will clear street group inc not ipo before april 2026	No	BUY	809	21¢	$171	0x1d3893…
03-10 11:01:45	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	84	79¢	$66	0xe7300b…
03-10 10:59:51	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	51	78¢	$40	0x8a935c…
03-10 10:58:51	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	SELL	342	78¢	$267	0xca18db…
03-06 08:15:47	usisrael strike yemen by march 7	No	BUY	383	71¢	$272	0x067a25…
03-06 06:07:33	masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	No	BUY	477	74¢	$353	0xff409c…
02-28 22:36:37	will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xe4fc47…
02-28 16:44:41	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	214	35¢	$75	0x5689db…
02-28 15:14:03	will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x2cbfe6…
02-28 15:11:49	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	214	35¢	$75	0x661eaf…
02-28 14:29:51	another us bank failure by march 31	Yes	SELL	153	24¢	$37	0xbc2cd0…
02-28 12:43:01	another us bank failure by march 31	Yes	BUY	153	23¢	$35	0x810452…
02-28 11:26:59	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	259	73¢	$189	0xfe1b61…
02-28 10:32:37	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	123	95¢	$117	0x3f16a1…
02-28 09:34:07	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	259	73¢	$189	0x03cb2c…
02-27 17:22:07	will kevin wilson be the republican nominee for ms 02	Yes	SELL	212	82¢	$174	0x228020…
02-27 15:45:33	will kevin wilson be the republican nominee for ms 02	Yes	BUY	212	81¢	$172	0x996a60…
02-27 14:12:17	will goat third weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	Yes	SELL	574	43¢	$247	0x1b0daf…
02-27 12:01:13	will goat third weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	Yes	BUY	574	36¢	$207	0x13fdec…
02-27 10:37:55	will goat third weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	SELL	192	57¢	$109	0x32ff5c…
02-27 10:36:49	will goat third weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	SELL	240	57¢	$137	0xf64339…
02-27 10:36:11	will goat third weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	SELL	391	57¢	$223	0x5434da…
02-27 09:14:11	will goat third weekend box office be between 10m and 11m	No	BUY	823	64¢	$527	0x602c0e…
02-27 08:36:19	will seth rogen win best actor in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	No	SELL	312	10¢	$31	0x832591…
02-27 08:15:19	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	307	27¢	$83	0x2aed94…
02-27 08:14:59	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	690	27¢	$186	0xd93af7…
02-27 08:14:43	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	27¢	$36	0x8dd2d1…
02-27 07:03:43	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	26¢	$179	0xc1f0e7…
02-27 07:03:25	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	26¢	$85	0x400fa9…
02-27 07:03:05	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x53d84f…
02-27 06:58:20	dems or gop larger turnout in texas senate primary	GOP	BUY	478	28¢	$134	0x29f780…
02-26 15:57:56	will seth rogen win best actor in a comedy series at the 2026 sag awards	No	BUY	312	20¢	$62	0x3085f0…
02-26 15:03:10	will jd vance say fake news in wisconsin on thursday	Yes	SELL	379	36¢	$136	0x1fdb55…
02-26 14:12:36	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	56	23¢	$13	0x4dde9f…
02-26 14:12:24	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	419	23¢	$96	0x4d6e9c…
02-26 14:12:12	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	477	23¢	$110	0xa8005c…
02-26 13:25:20	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	538	100¢	$537	0xa71a67…
02-26 13:19:18	will jd vance say fake news in wisconsin on thursday	Yes	BUY	379	37¢	$140	0xf87198…
02-26 12:18:48	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	256	22¢	$56	0xbdb270…
02-26 12:18:38	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	696	22¢	$153	0xed241e…
02-26 11:32:12	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	SELL	367	47¢	$172	0x555dea…
02-26 10:51:20	will angeliki stogia labour finish third in the gorton and denton by election	No	SELL	447	52¢	$232	0x1ee435…
02-26 10:05:02	Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	Yes	BUY	367	42¢	$154	0x39e951…
02-26 09:53:58	will angeliki stogia labour finish third in the gorton and denton by election	No	BUY	447	54¢	$241	0xe056e1…
02-25 16:34:28	nothing ever happens israel edition	No	SELL	83	74¢	$61	0x4d88e2…
02-25 16:32:04	nothing ever happens israel edition	No	SELL	322	74¢	$238	0xad1e75…
02-25 08:34:42	nothing ever happens israel edition	No	BUY	405	75¢	$304	0x39858c…
02-25 02:19:26	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	No	SELL	253	90¢	$228	0xe5189b…
02-24 19:45:50	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xea2096…
02-24 18:13:36	will israel strike 2 countries in february 2026	No	SELL	91	84¢	$76	0x0aebc6…
02-23 23:56:20	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0xe79ca1…
02-23 23:54:44	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	SELL	144	14¢	$20	0x49a07c…
02-23 23:53:12	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	SELL	524	14¢	$73	0xd4ada8…
02-23 09:00:58	will usdai launch a token by march 31	No	BUY	704	36¢	$253	0xbd0021…
02-23 08:13:56	Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8caf4d…