Only-Bunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$202

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 07-21 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 84% -$3

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 50% -$3

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$9	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	05-13 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:40 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-21 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:50 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	03-21 13:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:50 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	03-26 07:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:40 UTC	2	$7	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	03-26 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:55 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	03-21 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:35 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	03-26 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:45 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	03-26 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:55 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	03-26 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:20 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	03-26 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:45 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	03-21 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:00 UTC	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	03-26 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 06:30 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	03-15 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:40 UTC	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	03-16 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:25 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	03-14 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:05 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-16 15:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:10 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-15 13:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:10 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-14 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:15 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-21 13:19
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-21 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:00 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-16 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:25 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-21 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-21 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:35 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-21 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 08:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:15 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-14 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:05 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-21 13:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:00 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-20 10:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 07:27:00	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xac44a7…
07-21 07:25:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x02f717…
07-20 18:12:28	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x04f223…
07-20 10:21:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x69c032…
07-15 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4df026…
05-14 15:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x7f2142…
05-13 20:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe4d1c6…
05-13 20:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xbc1944…
05-13 20:03:51	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28d669…
05-11 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3c75e5…
05-11 15:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf9760b…
05-11 15:21:52	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x68d94c…
05-10 08:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa6eed8…
05-10 08:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3ff7f6…
05-09 18:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9dc331…
03-26 08:54:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x73647d…
03-26 08:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaed9dd…
03-26 08:39:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xba433a…
03-26 08:25:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2d0853…
03-26 08:24:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xace6d2…
03-26 08:09:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xfe97f0…
03-26 08:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdb55bb…
03-26 08:04:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa51a17…
03-26 07:59:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x75059e…
03-26 07:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x957df0…
03-26 07:54:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x520022…
03-26 07:54:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x20c904…
03-26 07:50:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x821531…
03-26 07:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xecdc2a…
03-26 07:45:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe2796d…
03-26 07:44:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x387e9d…
03-21 14:00:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd87f80…
03-21 13:59:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x9d3e4a…
03-21 13:55:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5b8f36…
03-21 13:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xe5ebe9…
03-21 13:50:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x574397…
03-21 13:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x71d51c…
03-21 13:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5b9bdf…
03-21 13:44:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x49893f…
03-21 13:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcd6564…
03-21 13:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa2c6f2…
03-21 13:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x213ee8…
03-21 13:29:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbd33eb…
03-21 13:28:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9f8dd4…
03-21 13:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x684f5e…
03-21 13:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1918c6…
03-21 13:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb4b4b4…
03-21 13:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfc044a…
03-21 13:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3acfc4…
03-21 13:04:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xf898b1…
03-20 10:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc77d9b…
03-20 10:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x97523a…
03-16 15:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x279b33…
03-16 15:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x99f308…
03-16 15:05:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xda2402…
03-16 15:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x52372e…
03-16 14:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6c29e8…
03-16 14:43:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbd3004…
03-15 13:15:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7f8756…
03-15 13:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xda8470…
03-15 12:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x73fefb…
03-15 07:04:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xfe4587…
03-15 07:03:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x4ebf49…
03-15 06:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5d359d…
03-15 06:33:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xad98a4…
03-14 19:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x670cb9…
03-14 19:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2f547a…
03-14 19:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeecfee…
03-14 19:19:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0f29e2…
03-14 11:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x471352…
03-14 11:14:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xe4ef9a…
03-14 11:10:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb4000…
03-14 11:09:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdfec53…
03-14 10:59:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb6b8a9…
03-14 10:57:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:55 UTC	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x8b6f12…
03-14 10:55:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8d827f…
03-14 10:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaa94a9…
03-14 09:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x91bcd5…
03-14 09:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4333f7…
03-14 09:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xef1a06…
03-13 19:57:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8a2b6c…
03-13 19:49:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbd3789…
03-13 19:31:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5fb600…
03-13 19:17:35	will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4174b8…