First-Transmission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$491

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-21 09:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 74% $-2

Tech

6% — —

Other

3% 50% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	8	$51	74	25	+49	Down	$-19	05-09 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$41	22	22	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$35	20	20	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$32	27	14	+13	Up	+$4	05-09 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$31	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 08:35
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	06-21 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$15	20	10	+9	Down	$-5	05-09 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 08:22
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 06:44
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 18:44
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-10 06:54
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-09 18:40
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	1	$10	0	12	-12	open	—	06-20 11:05
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	2	$9	6	6	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$3	05-09 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 21:04
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$6	15	0	+15	Chennai Super Kings	$-6	05-10 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$6	11	0	+11	Up	+$5	05-09 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-10 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	$-5	05-10 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-09 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-09 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 09:20:53	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0xb27e86…
06-20 11:05:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x943d2c…
06-20 10:53:49	btc updown 5m 1781952600	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x925b19…
06-20 10:52:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbe22ef…
06-20 10:50:20	btc updown 5m 1781952600	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa551d0…
06-20 10:26:49	btc updown 5m 1781951100	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9de47d…
05-10 16:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x650076…
05-10 16:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x92c34a…
05-10 16:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xca0e98…
05-10 16:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x7a5db6…
05-10 16:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x60462c…
05-10 13:59:59	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9ea53d…
05-10 10:01:31	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x44aae4…
05-10 09:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf1a441…
05-10 09:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x3ed155…
05-10 09:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbb66d9…
05-10 08:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6f8222…
05-10 08:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7102e2…
05-10 08:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x26818d…
05-10 08:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x119aef…
05-10 08:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x41bd67…
05-10 08:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2ea4e3…
05-10 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x523793…
05-10 08:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xa9a5f2…
05-10 08:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xe547b7…
05-10 06:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb6d98c…
05-10 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x5957e9…
05-10 06:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x96fd4b…
05-10 06:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$6	0x65b944…
05-10 06:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$6	0x26d166…
05-09 21:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x59efbf…
05-09 21:31:33	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xa94d9b…
05-09 21:30:28	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x90d681…
05-09 21:29:43	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee49da…
05-09 21:29:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8bb9ab…
05-09 21:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x38a749…
05-09 21:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc71a55…
05-09 21:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8b51ba…
05-09 21:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6c85bf…
05-09 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x0c6fe3…
05-09 21:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf89182…
05-09 21:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x35616d…
05-09 21:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x04103e…
05-09 21:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x93fd19…
05-09 21:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x3d30e7…
05-09 21:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x5cde60…
05-09 21:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1302b5…
05-09 21:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x081f35…
05-09 20:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe737e9…
05-09 20:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xab0128…
05-09 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xeba272…
05-09 20:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfcebb1…
05-09 20:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0f280d…
05-09 20:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa71d10…
05-09 20:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0x3cfc12…
05-09 20:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x887ad8…
05-09 20:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9d3e67…
05-09 20:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x1449ab…
05-09 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xa559e7…
05-09 20:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3a9f4d…
05-09 20:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x58005a…
05-09 20:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd90bcd…
05-09 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x2a9bbc…
05-09 20:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x78cd64…
05-09 18:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0b3264…
05-09 18:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6e84d7…
05-09 18:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	84¢	$12	0x9dc48b…
05-09 18:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x92c6f1…
05-09 18:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3144ef…
05-09 18:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0x83f576…
05-09 18:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf3efb9…
05-09 18:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x90932e…
05-09 18:47:29	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x04bfb0…
05-09 18:46:49	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xcbdb51…
05-09 18:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5efee0…
05-09 18:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7a3a04…
05-09 18:40:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7668ee…
05-09 18:39:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3c3353…
05-09 18:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcd2150…
05-09 18:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xccb2d0…
05-09 18:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x13b93c…
05-09 18:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xaada2c…
05-09 18:33:03	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7a4c16…
05-09 12:21:40	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x94d093…