Naive-Jump — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$207

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-05 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$0

Politics

23% — —

Crypto

15% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in dallas on march 2 2026 68 69f	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-02 06:44
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	2	$17	9	8	+1	No	$-0	05-07 05:43
will arirang bts debut week album sales be at least 6m	2	$16	9	8	+1	open	—	03-02 06:48
will tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in q1 2026	2	$16	8	7	+1	open	—	03-18 07:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$14	7	6	+1	open	—	03-18 07:44
military action against iran ends by march 18 2026	2	$14	7	6	+1	open	—	03-18 07:47
will turnout in the first round of the texas democratic senate primary be below 1000000 voters	2	$12	7	6	+1	open	—	03-02 06:53
open above 8 on march 20 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	03-18 07:48
will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	2	$10	6	4	+1	open	—	03-02 06:55
will juliana stratton win the illinois democratic senate primary by between 6 and 9	2	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	03-18 07:49
will uk gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	2	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	02-02 11:55
will zack polanski green party win the gorton and denton by election 859 229	2	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	02-02 11:54
will lush life zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week 527	2	$8	5	4	+1	open	—	02-02 11:59
bitcoin above 68k on march 18	2	$7	4	3	+1	open	—	03-18 07:50
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?	2	$6	3	2	+1	open	—	02-02 12:01
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 15:46
nflx above 30 on february 6 2026	2	$4	2	1	+1	open	—	02-02 12:03
Will Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	01-07 15:46
will the liberal democratic party win fewer than 190 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-02 12:06
will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	3	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	02-02 11:52
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 26 february 1 be greater than 15250000	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-02 11:47
will us gdp growth in 2025 be less than 0pt5	2	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	02-02 11:44
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 160 179	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-07 14:47
Will Charles River Laboratories (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-07 05:56
will bitcoin dip to 82k january 5 11	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-10 10:23
wta bulgaru danilov 2026 02 01	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-02 11:52
will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-02 06:56
will andrey rublev win the 2026 australian open	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-07 15:54
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in december 2025	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-07 16:03
will cornyn flip paxton for texas rep senate primary winner by march 2	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-02 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 09:32:15	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Tuncay Duran	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa02020…
05-07 05:56:34	Will Charles River Laboratories (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55ed7a…
05-07 05:43:07	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x87ae31…
05-07 05:42:51	Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x98fcc8…
05-07 05:41:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd57bbc…
03-18 07:50:29	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9dc425…
03-18 07:50:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x897e14…
03-18 07:49:45	will juliana stratton win the illinois democratic senate primary by between 6 and 9	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd33203…
03-18 07:49:33	will juliana stratton win the illinois democratic senate primary by between 6 and 9	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x853eca…
03-18 07:48:47	open above 8 on march 20 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x428308…
03-18 07:48:37	open above 8 on march 20 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9a9b6f…
03-18 07:47:41	military action against iran ends by march 18 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4781e2…
03-18 07:47:27	military action against iran ends by march 18 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1c5a05…
03-18 07:46:03	will tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf97ed1…
03-18 07:45:49	will tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x169043…
03-18 07:44:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbcb0a8…
03-18 07:44:13	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0f4111…
03-02 06:56:47	will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e624c…
03-02 06:55:07	will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x16048f…
03-02 06:54:57	will joachim trier win best director at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfc022d…
03-02 06:53:23	will turnout in the first round of the texas democratic senate primary be below 1000000 voters	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1a8ebf…
03-02 06:52:45	will turnout in the first round of the texas democratic senate primary be below 1000000 voters	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x256668…
03-02 06:49:51	cl up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4fb883…
03-02 06:48:59	will arirang bts debut week album sales be at least 6m	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb48389…
03-02 06:48:47	will arirang bts debut week album sales be at least 6m	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x240335…
03-02 06:45:13	will israel strike gaza on february 28 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2f3d5…
03-02 06:44:25	highest temperature in dallas on march 2 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe12427…
03-02 06:44:07	highest temperature in dallas on march 2 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x933a4c…
03-02 06:41:47	will cornyn flip paxton for texas rep senate primary winner by march 2	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c00cd…
02-02 12:06:10	will the liberal democratic party win fewer than 190 seats in the 2026 japanese snap general election	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9864f9…
02-02 12:03:28	nflx above 30 on february 6 2026	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x345a0a…
02-02 12:02:50	nflx above 30 on february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfa763d…
02-02 12:01:56	Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3e98fc…
02-02 12:01:40	Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6cf77d…
02-02 11:59:06	will lush life zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week 527	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xea4dec…
02-02 11:58:34	will lush life zara larsson be the 1 song on spotify this week 527	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa5d0c…
02-02 11:56:36	will google run an ad during super bowl lx	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48cb16…
02-02 11:55:34	will uk gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x2b3e9f…
02-02 11:54:56	will zack polanski green party win the gorton and denton by election 859 229	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4a3625…
02-02 11:54:18	will uk gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 2pt0 and 2pt5	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33d019…
02-02 11:52:50	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7ac2ee…
02-02 11:52:42	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc619cc…
02-02 11:52:32	wta bulgaru danilov 2026 02 01	Danilovic	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x60764c…
02-02 11:49:20	will zack polanski green party win the gorton and denton by election 859 229	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x234da8…
02-02 11:47:20	will the total number of tsa passengers for january 26 february 1 be greater than 15250000	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6da21a…
02-02 11:44:52	will us gdp growth in 2025 be less than 0pt5	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf34e54…
01-10 10:23:50	will bitcoin dip to 82k january 5 11	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x021ec2…
01-07 16:03:55	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in december 2025	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdc0e85…
01-07 16:03:23	will us gdp growth in 2025 be less than 0pt5	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x68c985…
01-07 16:01:49	will trump deport 1750000 2000000 people	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8ad061…
01-07 15:54:49	will andrey rublev win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb845cf…
01-07 15:46:57	Will Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf118a1…
01-07 15:46:37	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc321a1…
01-07 15:45:05	Will Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe47447…
01-07 15:44:11	will december 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb7999e…
01-07 15:36:05	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfccbf2…
01-07 14:47:29	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 160 179	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcb160c…
01-07 14:31:55	Will Jordan Kyrou win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0835cf…
01-07 14:31:23	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xed8d10…