Moist-Earmuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

617

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-05 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

50% — —

Crypto

48% 43% $-10

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	04-07 13:55
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	4	$27	28	28	+0	open	—	04-21 15:22
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	4	$24	30	30	+0	open	—	04-14 14:07
highest temperature in beijing on march 24 2026 19c	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 12:42
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	03-27 13:02
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 200 219	7	$16	160	156	+4	open	—	04-02 12:55
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 9am et	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	03-19 13:42
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	10	$16	40	40	+0	open	—	04-07 07:48
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-03 13:14
btc updown 15m 1773843300	4	$15	29	26	+3	open	—	03-18 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?	5	$14	26	15	+11	open	—	04-28 06:10
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	9	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	03-31 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	4	$13	19	13	+5	open	—	04-25 00:11
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 20c	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-04 07:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	6	$13	21	21	+0	open	—	04-03 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 12:56
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	04-23 01:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 21c	5	$11	30	30	-0	open	—	04-24 05:44
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$11	220	20	+200	open	—	04-28 00:22
btc updown 15m 1776741300	3	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-21 03:31
btc updown 5m 1773842100	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-18 14:00
highest temperature in beijing on march 25 2026 25c	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-25 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$10	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 09:51
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 25c	4	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 09:23
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	8	$10	81	73	+8	open	—	03-31 06:24
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	04-11 01:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 20 2026 19c	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-20 06:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	4	$10	29	29	+0	open	—	05-19 10:35
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 220 239	3	$9	71	68	+3	open	—	04-03 23:09
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	4	$9	10	4	+6	open	—	03-24 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 09:51:58	eth updown 15m 1783331100	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xc6732e…
07-06 09:48:07	eth updown 5m 1783331100	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xc5b902…
07-06 09:46:16	eth updown 15m 1783331100	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2c9508…
07-06 09:45:28	eth updown 5m 1783331100	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8f241f…
07-06 09:43:16	eth updown 15m 1783330200	Up	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x0175fb…
07-06 09:41:02	eth updown 5m 1783330800	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x7a9089…
07-06 09:40:22	eth updown 5m 1783330800	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xec4a0e…
07-06 09:37:49	eth updown 15m 1783330200	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x00e2d4…
07-06 09:31:40	eth updown 15m 1783330200	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x854135…
07-05 02:34:13	eth updown 15m 1783218600	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x57ceb7…
07-05 02:30:47	eth updown 15m 1783218600	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x06f286…
06-20 07:13:05	eth updown 15m 1781938800	Up	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xaca817…
06-20 07:12:46	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Up	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9b3bb5…
06-20 07:07:17	btc updown 15m 1781938800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8f7820…
06-20 07:05:14	eth updown 15m 1781938800	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xeb3764…
06-20 06:43:40	eth updown 15m 1781937000	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x329a69…
06-20 06:36:38	eth updown 15m 1781937000	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3b3dc5…
06-20 02:43:34	btc updown 15m 1781922600	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfd80c5…
06-20 02:36:17	btc updown 15m 1781922600	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xe54088…
06-20 02:32:31	btc updown 15m 1781922600	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x76cd45…
06-19 03:59:31	eth updown 15m 1781840700	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x789357…
06-15 11:19:19	eth updown 15m 1781522100	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf32e74…
06-15 11:15:55	eth updown 15m 1781522100	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x688b83…
06-15 11:11:19	eth updown 15m 1781521200	Down	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x045001…
06-15 11:05:33	eth updown 15m 1781521200	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x48cbbb…
06-15 11:03:46	eth updown 15m 1781521200	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xc91e1c…
06-15 11:03:27	eth updown 15m 1781521200	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2eb9ab…
06-15 10:53:30	eth updown 15m 1781520300	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9982b5…
06-11 13:55:22	eth updown 15m 1781185500	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x4681fa…
06-11 13:49:43	eth updown 15m 1781185500	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x31d11a…
06-11 13:38:22	btc updown 15m 1781184600	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2ffee2…
06-10 12:25:34	eth updown 15m 1781093700	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcf9024…
06-10 12:09:16	btc updown 15m 1781092800	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xdb3eca…
06-10 12:04:55	eth updown 15m 1781092800	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$2	0xbbacc8…
06-10 12:03:21	eth updown 15m 1781092800	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4d5318…
06-10 11:56:58	eth updown 15m 1781091900	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9ad331…
06-10 11:10:51	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Up	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xb6c425…
06-10 11:04:49	btc updown 15m 1781089200	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x576053…
06-10 04:35:46	btc updown 15m 1781065800	Up	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xc2b216…
06-10 04:34:24	btc updown 15m 1781065800	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6b8162…
06-08 12:54:01	eth updown 15m 1780922700	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x36fa35…
06-08 12:45:54	eth updown 15m 1780922700	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x71869e…
06-08 12:37:46	eth updown 15m 1780921800	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x68a581…
06-08 12:32:27	eth updown 15m 1780921800	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcca5f8…
06-08 12:17:16	btc updown 15m 1780920900	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbeea64…
06-08 12:08:52	btc updown 15m 1780920000	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x124a38…
06-08 12:04:10	btc updown 15m 1780920000	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe3a766…
06-08 11:50:25	eth updown 15m 1780919100	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x7328d3…
06-08 11:48:37	eth updown 15m 1780919100	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7eb5d9…
06-01 15:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xbb57e5…
06-01 15:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x736e0a…
06-01 14:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x16397e…
06-01 14:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb0531c…
06-01 14:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4d74c2…
06-01 14:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x16a9a1…
06-01 14:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x925c5a…
06-01 14:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe8e64e…
06-01 14:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbf0753…
06-01 12:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x193212…
06-01 12:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9432b7…
06-01 12:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0x35796d…
06-01 12:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd643f1…
06-01 11:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x00d997…
06-01 11:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x0f6702…
06-01 11:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x66b856…
06-01 11:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x2493bc…
06-01 11:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x1c1019…
06-01 11:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x0e21d1…
06-01 11:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf784cc…
06-01 10:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x751cfc…
06-01 10:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8d4af6…
05-30 00:14:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x10d4c3…
05-28 06:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x2a00b0…
05-28 06:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5088b9…
05-27 00:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x5ce8e9…
05-27 00:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x43e10c…
05-27 00:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5dd4b5…
05-26 14:20:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x90d355…
05-26 12:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x47ad21…
05-26 12:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xf83e85…
05-26 12:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6a902a…
05-25 11:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xdcf48d…
05-25 11:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb94a90…
05-25 11:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xefb147…
05-25 10:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd796f8…
05-22 23:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x567b93…
05-22 13:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x749d86…
05-22 06:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbb9072…
05-22 04:11:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xdd6a6e…
05-22 04:07:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x586464…
05-22 04:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe488f2…
05-22 03:27:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9a4bcf…
05-21 11:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x7ca08d…
05-21 11:05:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb921e7…
05-21 11:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x1f2e41…
05-21 11:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x59dbd0…
05-21 10:57:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8d9574…
05-21 10:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x887b16…
05-21 10:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xae15f4…
05-20 11:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbc9227…