Unwilling-Shin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$211

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

1,256

Trades

4,444

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 06-03 09:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 85% $-211

Other

35% 84% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 383 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$85	21,324	0	+21,324	open	—	06-03 09:42
msft close above 380 on february 23 2026	4	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	02-23 21:04
highest temperature in dallas on february 18 2026 76 77f	4	$57	56	51	+5	open	—	02-18 10:36
highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 9corhigher	5	$56	44	22	+22	open	—	03-06 11:52
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$56	56	0	+56	Down	+$1	05-13 13:34
highest temperature in nyc on february 19 2026 40 41f	5	$55	49	49	+0	open	—	02-19 13:27
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 7c	3	$54	59	49	+10	open	—	02-18 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$50	107	0	+107	Down	$-50	05-05 20:39
highest temperature in paris on march 2 2026 18c	5	$49	33	22	+11	open	—	02-28 22:32
highest temperature in seoul on march 11 2026 8c	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	03-11 09:48
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 13corhigher	2	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	03-17 06:34
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 9c	6	$46	27	27	+0	open	—	03-18 03:22
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 11 2026 29c	2	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	03-11 20:23
highest temperature in chicago on march 15 2026 56 57f	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	03-15 18:22
highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 12c	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	03-12 11:49
highest temperature in seoul on march 13 2026 12corhigher	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	03-13 07:11
highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 48 49f	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	03-11 18:29
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	2	$44	100	0	+100	open	—	02-17 18:04
highest temperature in seoul on march 14 2026 10c	2	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	03-14 04:16
highest temperature in chicago on march 13 2026 43forbelow	2	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	03-13 11:01
highest temperature in atlanta on march 14 2026 78 79f	4	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	03-15 05:35
highest temperature in munich on march 15 2026 9corhigher	2	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	03-15 17:39
eth updown 5m 1776083400	9	$44	55	28	+27	open	—	04-13 12:33
highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 33corbelow	4	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	03-18 01:44
highest temperature in ankara on march 9 2026 10c	3	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	03-09 14:06
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 15c	25	$44	616	0	+616	open	—	03-24 09:07
highest temperature in toronto on march 25 2026 4c	7	$44	496	0	+496	open	—	03-24 09:01
highest temperature in atlanta on march 22 2026 73forbelow	3	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	03-18 17:33
highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 70 71f	3	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	03-13 18:42
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 12 2026 29c	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	03-12 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 09:42:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0xba7989…
06-03 06:12:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,190	0¢	$45	0xc2fee5…
06-03 06:04:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$40	0xbdb5bb…
05-13 20:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x920729…
05-13 20:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xdaac1d…
05-13 20:10:02	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1e60e2…
05-13 19:29:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xf74940…
05-13 18:19:49	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x951832…
05-13 18:14:48	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x26d2c7…
05-13 18:04:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa86d92…
05-13 18:00:04	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe4b91c…
05-13 17:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xdc1ea0…
05-13 17:54:58	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xacfef4…
05-13 17:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc68da7…
05-13 17:29:51	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x87b579…
05-13 17:29:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe036ca…
05-13 17:25:03	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa5409a…
05-13 17:25:01	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb665ff…
05-13 17:20:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xecbab9…
05-13 17:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x37edaa…
05-13 17:04:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xdbaef3…
05-13 16:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xdd180a…
05-13 16:54:48	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x25763e…
05-13 16:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x45d52c…
05-13 13:59:48	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xf37d9c…
05-13 13:54:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x31d20f…
05-13 13:54:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x4af51b…
05-13 13:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x07e091…
05-13 13:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb2468f…
05-13 13:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xcc54d0…
05-13 13:44:52	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x094482…
05-13 13:44:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe21e0e…
05-13 13:34:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0xf1f718…
05-13 13:19:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xe2e38e…
05-13 13:19:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x902baf…
05-13 13:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf52543…
05-13 12:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xc39559…
05-13 12:55:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$2	0xf91eb2…
05-13 12:54:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa49b76…
05-13 12:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x632595…
05-13 12:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdb9713…
05-13 12:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x9ce954…
05-13 12:49:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xf8c916…
05-13 12:49:51	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa79728…
05-13 12:29:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd36816…
05-13 12:14:53	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x25db2e…
05-13 12:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$20	0xdb746f…
05-13 12:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xc828a5…
05-13 12:14:50	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5010e2…
05-13 12:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xd72e0e…
05-13 12:09:57	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x108f68…
05-13 11:44:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfae9dd…
05-13 11:44:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x517d9c…
05-13 11:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xbc1126…
05-13 10:39:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x6d972a…
05-13 10:34:54	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x57451a…
05-13 10:24:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xc69726…
05-13 10:19:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xde78a6…
05-13 10:19:51	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xad7fde…
05-13 10:19:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1179b4…
05-13 09:59:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x227355…
05-13 09:59:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x9712b3…
05-13 09:54:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xf4cb01…
05-13 09:54:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x06314c…
05-13 09:49:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x889a10…
05-13 09:49:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xb5a340…
05-13 09:34:18	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbee252…
05-13 09:04:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xce33ad…
05-13 08:59:21	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x7602f2…
05-13 08:59:21	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x262dc3…
05-13 08:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x99455c…
05-13 08:49:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xe7c585…
05-13 08:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xbc03dd…
05-13 08:35:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x69444a…
05-13 08:35:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x57dbc7…
05-13 08:35:00	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb18d1f…
05-13 08:34:56	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x6c1cfc…
05-13 08:34:55	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc7ffe8…
05-13 08:34:55	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa6a516…
05-13 08:34:53	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe5b36c…
05-13 08:34:32	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x3ab64b…
05-13 08:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8e5c2c…
05-13 08:34:20	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x55abb1…
05-13 08:29:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf0c7fb…
05-13 08:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x93cd4f…
05-13 08:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xd1f28a…
05-13 08:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xba5bb6…
05-13 08:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x88811e…
05-13 08:29:38	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x78cb34…
05-13 08:29:36	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x9f0b37…
05-13 08:24:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x07cb0d…
05-13 08:19:59	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x275d92…
05-13 08:19:57	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd185ff…
05-13 08:19:57	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x73c637…
05-13 08:19:57	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5a12ad…
05-13 08:19:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x037223…
05-13 08:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x7c481b…
05-13 08:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6d1d1c…
05-13 08:14:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xcbd55f…
05-13 08:14:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbf35f6…