Subdued-Transom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$633

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.1%

Resolved

3,099

Trades

4,379

lifetime

Volume

$21.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-15 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 61% -$544

Other

2% 41% -$94

Sports

1% 56% +$4

Politics

0% 50% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on january 6	8	$239	250	201	+48	Down	-$25	01-06 15:48
bitcoin up or down january 20 6pm et	3	$186	111	111	+0	Down	+$36	01-21 00:10
bitcoin up or down january 20 3pm et	4	$169	197	197	+0	Up	-$47	01-20 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:55 UTC	2	$152	159	0	+159	Up	-$7	02-22 13:59
bitcoin up or down january 7 5pm et	5	$146	132	71	+61	Up	-$28	01-07 22:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 18:45 UTC	2	$133	82	81	+1	Down	+$29	01-20 19:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 00:00 UTC	2	$129	88	86	+1	Down	+$30	01-08 00:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 06:00 UTC	4	$121	67	67	+0	Down	+$12	01-21 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:25 UTC	2	$120	140	0	+140	Up	-$82	02-22 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:25 UTC	2	$119	72	71	+1	Down	+$20	02-20 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 13:45 UTC	6	$117	132	84	+48	Down	+$10	01-18 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:40 UTC	3	$108	63	53	+9	Down	-$2	02-20 22:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:15 UTC	2	$108	58	58	+0	Down	+$2	02-20 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:05 UTC	2	$105	56	56	+0	Down	+$6	02-20 22:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 01:00 UTC	2	$104	55	52	+3	Up	+$3	02-20 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:50 UTC	2	$101	52	52	+0	Up	+$1	02-20 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:45 UTC	2	$101	55	55	+0	Down	+$8	02-22 14:50
bitcoin up or down january 20 5pm et	5	$98	107	107	+0	Down	-$13	01-20 22:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 22:00 UTC	5	$96	98	73	+25	Down	+$43	01-15 22:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 16:15 UTC	3	$94	114	0	+114	Down	-$15	01-13 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 06:15 UTC	2	$93	48	48	+0	Down	+$3	01-21 06:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 14:40 UTC	2	$91	47	47	+0	Down	+$2	02-22 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 00:55 UTC	4	$90	64	63	+1	Up	+$18	02-20 01:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:00 UTC	3	$90	61	60	+1	Up	+$21	01-20 00:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 15:25 UTC	2	$89	48	48	+0	Up	+$0	02-22 15:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:05 UTC	4	$88	59	59	+1	Up	+$12	02-20 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 18:45 UTC	4	$88	78	77	+1	Down	+$4	01-19 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 15:15 UTC	2	$86	44	44	+0	Down	+$3	02-22 15:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 22:30 UTC	3	$85	61	61	+1	Down	+$25	01-15 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 01:15 UTC	3	$82	65	64	+1	Up	+$33	01-08 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x21901f…
05-15 15:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe4e432…
05-15 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa0f20a…
05-15 15:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x681e0e…
05-15 14:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x84343e…
05-15 14:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x516e47…
05-15 14:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x81c476…
05-15 14:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb18014…
05-15 14:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe3ca28…
05-15 14:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec342d…
05-15 14:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xbf2d48…
05-15 14:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1d70fb…
05-15 14:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf12ed1…
05-15 14:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7fb7ec…
05-15 14:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x91ee12…
05-15 14:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc97db9…
05-15 13:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x35808e…
05-15 13:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0e33b5…
05-15 13:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x64dd98…
05-15 13:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x3c586b…
05-15 12:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb4d2d1…
05-15 12:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa821b6…
05-15 12:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd4d4aa…
05-15 12:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x54a105…
05-15 12:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x718a93…
05-15 12:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0b4ead…
05-15 11:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe55cd3…
05-15 11:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7ffa52…
05-15 11:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3a1881…
05-15 11:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb7318…
05-15 11:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd53a3c…
05-15 11:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d6c51…
05-15 08:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x608398…
05-15 08:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa85ca1…
05-15 08:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb076d0…
05-15 07:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdba155…
05-15 07:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1f2cd6…
05-15 07:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2b5c09…
05-15 07:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6678eb…
05-15 07:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x960216…
05-15 07:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8a331f…
05-15 07:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb9d2c3…
05-15 07:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf4672f…
05-15 02:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4cacf4…
05-15 02:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x98eb01…
05-15 02:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x53c9b9…
05-15 02:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x88eafe…
05-15 02:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xee4290…
05-15 01:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x39eba2…
05-15 01:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfb028c…
05-15 01:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xab9ad1…
05-15 01:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf0464f…
05-15 01:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xde82c9…
05-15 00:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa75752…
05-15 00:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6755fd…
05-15 00:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3d4cbb…
05-15 00:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	61¢	$1	0x5dfa84…
05-15 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6dfbff…
05-15 00:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18348e…
05-15 00:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa29b0f…
05-15 00:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9348a0…
05-14 23:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0f0a65…
05-14 23:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x40cbb7…
05-14 23:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6b8a5f…
05-14 23:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9f1d82…
05-14 23:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x21d4b6…
05-14 23:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x35b8fa…
05-14 22:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xad400a…
05-14 22:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd905f6…
05-14 22:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd7100d…
05-14 22:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb08422…
05-14 22:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd21cd0…
05-14 22:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcf6650…
05-14 22:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3f108f…
05-14 21:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3e0a9c…
05-14 21:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc12073…
05-14 21:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb1fb7d…
05-14 21:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x22842b…
05-14 21:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4b24f0…
05-14 21:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x28e562…
05-14 21:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x34f95c…
05-14 21:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xddb4a1…
05-14 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x784be3…
05-14 21:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x67177e…
05-14 21:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x679720…
05-14 20:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2793bc…
05-14 20:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x958aa5…
05-14 20:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x875a90…
05-14 20:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6c4b21…
05-14 20:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x01c7a9…
05-14 20:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x52dd56…
05-14 20:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x2f5ca7…
05-14 20:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa39f65…
05-14 20:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x2df24b…
05-14 20:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x99adba…
05-14 19:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x95820a…
05-14 19:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xebaa40…
05-14 19:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5f0bee…
05-14 19:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa86dde…
05-14 18:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe95864…