Simplistic-Doe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

6,897

Trades

10,497

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-03 21:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 296 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 87% -$60

Other

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	—	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	11-03 22:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:55 UTC	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	08-17 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:05 UTC	3	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	08-17 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:25 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	08-17 12:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:10 UTC	3	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	08-17 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:25 UTC	2	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$1	08-17 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 15:05 UTC	2	$20	33	0	+33	Up	-$8	08-17 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:10 UTC	2	$16	19	0	+19	Up	+$1	03-28 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:30 UTC	3	$16	18	0	+18	Down	$0	03-28 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 02:45 UTC	3	$15	26	0	+26	Down	$0	03-28 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:15 UTC	1	$15	17	0	+17	Up	-$15	08-18 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 22:15 UTC	3	$15	28	0	+28	Up	+$6	03-27 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 14:10 UTC	2	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	08-17 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 14:55 UTC	2	$15	17	0	+17	Up	+$2	08-17 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 14:35 UTC	2	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	08-17 14:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:05 UTC	2	$15	19	0	+19	Up	-$5	03-28 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:50 UTC	2	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	08-18 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 02:20 UTC	14	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	03-19 02:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 17:50 UTC	10	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	03-19 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:20 UTC	4	$13	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	04-02 13:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:30 UTC	3	$13	8	6	+2	Down	-$1	04-02 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 19:05 UTC	1	$13	14	0	+14	Up	-$13	03-27 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:45 UTC	1	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	03-27 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 04:40 UTC	2	$13	15	0	+15	Up	+$2	08-18 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:50 UTC	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	03-27 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 05:05 UTC	2	$13	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	08-18 05:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:45 UTC	3	$13	15	0	+15	Up	$0	03-28 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:00 UTC	3	$13	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	08-17 13:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 07:55 UTC	5	$12	15	2	+12	Up	+$0	03-28 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 08:10 UTC	2	$12	22	0	+22	Up	-$9	03-28 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:35 UTC	1	$12	13	0	+13	Down	+$1	03-27 18:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 22:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf54ca2…
11-03 22:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x99c386…
11-03 22:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x413651…
11-03 22:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0a3f0…
11-03 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x46a01f…
11-03 22:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x03add9…
11-03 21:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2d46e3…
11-03 21:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x26aa1b…
11-03 21:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe1a0d7…
11-03 21:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x81e96e…
11-03 21:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2cb142…
11-03 20:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a0089…
11-03 20:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x896f9a…
11-03 11:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x90a2fc…
11-03 11:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfa43e9…
11-03 11:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf82a3d…
11-03 11:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4bd25d…
11-03 11:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbeaf96…
11-03 11:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf260a3…
11-03 09:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x245353…
11-03 09:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd3045d…
11-03 09:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb6d983…
11-03 09:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc00739…
11-03 09:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb7fc2c…
11-03 09:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x797c70…
11-03 08:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe44179…
11-03 08:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdbca11…
11-02 14:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5e9ccb…
11-02 13:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x31097c…
11-02 13:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb9c4e7…
11-02 13:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf0e2d7…
11-02 13:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2517a6…
11-02 13:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x383cf0…
11-02 13:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6cd3ab…
11-02 13:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe8d442…
11-02 09:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7b868a…
11-02 09:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x83a073…
11-02 09:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbf6431…
11-02 09:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdd53c4…
11-02 07:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc6f879…
11-02 07:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf85101…
11-02 07:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb759c…
11-02 04:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5bd68e…
11-02 04:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x747461…
11-02 04:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5afa34…
11-02 04:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0579f8…
11-02 03:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19249c…
11-02 03:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65c52f…
11-02 03:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3fea4a…
11-01 23:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0514f4…
11-01 23:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf2b6a2…
11-01 23:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9a758e…
11-01 23:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x94b057…
11-01 23:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeb170e…
11-01 23:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x58c24d…
11-01 23:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2fe13c…
11-01 23:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x93ff47…
11-01 23:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdd5ec9…
11-01 23:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x62a15a…
11-01 23:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8140c6…
11-01 23:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf5f826…
11-01 22:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4a0192…
11-01 21:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x189528…
11-01 21:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe604da…
11-01 21:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe4bc21…
11-01 21:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e5d54…
11-01 21:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7ac52b…
11-01 21:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf24039…
11-01 21:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaad4f8…
11-01 21:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x109cfb…
11-01 21:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xcdcc31…
11-01 21:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc9c240…
11-01 20:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x036305…
11-01 20:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfe86a6…
11-01 20:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8eb10b…
11-01 20:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9eef2c…
11-01 20:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1af9b8…
11-01 20:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x702716…
11-01 19:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb832b0…
11-01 19:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcbab32…
11-01 19:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcbf3fa…
11-01 17:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x72451e…
11-01 17:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x95176e…
11-01 17:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x82a45d…
11-01 17:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa28b3a…
11-01 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4bc545…
11-01 17:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0ca0ad…
11-01 17:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x61ce69…
11-01 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa7ee49…
11-01 16:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf9a341…
11-01 16:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc47a11…
11-01 16:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x544e53…
11-01 16:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xde84d0…
11-01 15:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x29d28f…
11-01 15:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x718908…
11-01 15:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeab179…
11-01 14:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x41433d…
11-01 14:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc821bf…
11-01 14:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x231b19…
11-01 14:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8df28a…