Alienated-Coevolution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-30 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:15
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C or higher on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 6?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 5?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 14:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:28
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 13c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:08
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:29
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 04:39
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:39
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 15:00
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:28
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:40
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:42:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d6422…
10-29 17:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x341b3e…
10-29 09:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb94541…
10-28 07:41:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbacf27…
10-27 08:26:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f278f…
10-26 09:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2593d…
10-24 11:40:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ba6e4…
10-22 10:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4798a…
10-20 07:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89cae0…
10-19 09:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e5933…
10-18 09:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x795b79…
10-17 15:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2847d7…
10-16 09:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a179e…
10-15 09:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85f702…
10-14 09:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x947ec2…
10-13 14:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d7065…
10-13 09:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabb041…
10-12 09:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x997e68…
10-11 08:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd1556…
10-08 09:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55cedf…
10-07 15:21:35	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9df689…
10-06 08:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x372774…
10-04 15:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e6767…
10-03 08:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe352de…
10-02 11:40:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa45ed7…
10-01 08:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8008f4…
09-30 12:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x511152…
09-29 14:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc6ab0…
09-28 09:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33397a…
09-27 08:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x593bac…
09-25 12:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59b3a0…
09-24 08:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8cfa62…
09-23 07:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4bf7a…
09-22 08:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52df59…
09-21 09:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e13fd…
09-20 05:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda230c…
09-19 08:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecad44…
09-18 06:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e047e…
09-17 04:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21c8a2…
09-16 08:22:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f6582…
09-15 09:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bbc2a…
09-14 08:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08ed99…
09-12 16:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x158ffe…
09-11 07:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55931a…
09-10 08:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x935743…
09-09 09:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d1351…
09-08 15:38:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc47634…
09-08 06:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27773a…
09-07 08:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x06c683…
09-06 17:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde6209…
09-06 09:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x196a8b…
09-05 01:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67e65e…
09-03 09:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10c97f…
09-02 07:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x021c9b…
08-30 08:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8284bc…
08-29 08:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a1222…
08-28 08:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0595ca…
08-27 08:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc900ea…
08-26 08:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b6814…
08-25 09:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb2e6b…
08-24 10:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x130765…
08-23 14:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa0243…
08-22 08:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3106ed…
08-21 07:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x397060…
08-20 08:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4ec56…
08-19 11:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8ee59b…
08-18 08:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97340b…
08-17 07:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9fefc…
08-16 11:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x102220…
08-15 09:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51d974…
08-14 06:49:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2e508…
08-13 07:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe28201…
08-12 07:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf0686…
08-11 06:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf26840…
08-10 07:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc5e9c…
08-09 01:25:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61c788…
08-08 07:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59cea5…
08-07 01:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x476ffd…
08-06 06:42:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5218cb…
08-05 07:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8f6e1…
08-04 08:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb19c1b…
08-03 07:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x862c83…
08-02 01:41:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82292d…
08-01 07:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0de337…
07-31 09:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9166e9…
07-30 06:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaa4e9…
07-29 07:07:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa288f4…
07-28 06:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b6c50…
07-27 08:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62e38f…
07-26 07:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6de1e0…
07-25 08:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x498184…
07-24 10:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x608973…
07-23 08:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x909331…
07-22 02:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d5b62…
07-21 09:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ae640…
07-21 00:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2adf19…
07-20 07:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b2e66…
07-18 23:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x611211…
07-18 00:28:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12b595…
07-17 07:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f50a8…