Irresponsible-Study — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-02 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$0

Other

33% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	3	$67	33	33	+0	open	—	04-04 13:08
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	05-12 04:28
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-04 13:09
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	2	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	04-22 05:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	07-01 06:12
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	2	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	01-14 10:25
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-30 22:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-25 19:57
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-29 07:44
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-25 08:58
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	06-22 00:50
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-18 00:38
will solana reach 170 in february 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-09 19:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-23 03:13
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-20 19:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-24 07:36
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-23 01:23
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	02-11 09:04
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-26 10:03
highest temperature in austin on april 23 2026 70forhigher	1	$23	24	0	+24	open	—	04-23 05:56
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	06-30 11:48
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 6pt0	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-15 13:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-21 04:38
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-04 21:28
bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	07-02 16:33
bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	07-02 23:13
bitcoin above 66k on april 22	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-20 21:32
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-25 23:07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 27-May 3?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-01 08:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-03 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 23:13:19	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x648f0d…
07-02 16:33:52	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x75463b…
07-02 01:57:07	will bitcoin reach 62k on july 1	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x50ecfa…
07-01 06:12:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x742f76…
06-30 11:48:22	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc7112d…
06-25 03:44:19	bitcoin above 64k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x4b2789…
06-25 02:16:46	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4b86f8…
06-22 00:50:11	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9bfca9…
05-31 18:12:47	Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9cb52d…
05-30 22:00:23	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8e63b9…
05-30 04:35:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x15350e…
05-29 06:25:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8ee948…
05-27 10:56:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe8ef35…
05-26 03:32:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe70bb9…
05-25 19:57:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7bef4d…
05-25 08:58:16	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa3020e…
05-23 20:01:03	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfedc4c…
05-23 03:13:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x23f1e7…
05-21 04:38:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4a299b…
05-20 03:27:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc6767a…
05-19 18:35:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xea04c6…
05-18 11:02:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x3f42fd…
05-16 04:29:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xda6738…
05-15 10:52:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x691a6f…
05-12 04:28:03	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xbe579f…
05-11 03:39:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x1c2d4e…
05-09 22:35:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x7d16ee…
05-09 08:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x499d85…
05-06 16:24:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8c7c31…
05-05 09:07:46	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9350b2…
05-03 00:13:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3ca55f…
05-01 08:08:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x42c6fd…
04-30 23:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2670f7…
04-29 07:44:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc1a582…
04-28 16:10:58	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xcbd70b…
04-26 10:03:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x512ca2…
04-25 23:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x46614f…
04-25 13:47:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x68a430…
04-25 06:47:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xd1383a…
04-24 13:17:52	ethereum above 2200 on april 24	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x044aaa…
04-24 07:36:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4b7963…
04-23 05:56:56	highest temperature in austin on april 23 2026 70forhigher	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x0216e3…
04-23 01:23:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x7b932d…
04-22 05:57:08	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6df6cb…
04-21 21:30:40	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8f90a8…
04-21 13:45:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4c2971…
04-20 21:32:54	bitcoin above 66k on april 22	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x32e8e0…
04-20 19:52:46	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4187b3…
04-19 20:23:44	will ethereum dip to 2000 april 13 19	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x5c58cd…
04-19 01:30:24	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xde93f7…
04-18 00:38:08	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc0760c…
04-17 15:31:00	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x437606…
04-16 20:03:58	bitcoin above 62k on april 19	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xfcc853…
04-16 05:57:54	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 400 419	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc1e27b…
04-15 15:25:50	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xeb209e…
04-15 13:14:08	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 6pt0	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x2b26f4…
04-14 11:04:51	elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 140 164	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8af1d1…
04-14 04:28:33	highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 15c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2f136f…
04-13 17:40:35	bitcoin above 68k on april 14	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9ae692…
04-13 14:59:19	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5373ac…
04-11 13:04:59	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb548d7…
04-04 21:28:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x60b42a…
04-04 13:09:21	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xedaaa8…
04-04 13:08:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xa51928…
03-18 05:56:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x893e41…
03-03 16:32:51	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb913bd…
03-02 22:13:53	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbbcb11…
02-17 22:38:07	Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe27aa0…
02-11 09:04:05	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x780ad4…
02-09 19:46:13	will solana reach 170 in february 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x17abe0…
01-25 19:05:18	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcd2131…
01-19 06:55:18	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfe7ef1…
01-14 10:25:38	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x6c4a50…
01-09 23:26:08	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7649ee…
01-08 03:50:39	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcffce1…