Skinny-Attenuation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$387

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

1,005

Trades

1,362

lifetime

Volume

$7.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 09-11 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% -$387

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:25 UTC	2	$228	151	151	+0	Up	+$65	07-16 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$184	123	123	+0	Up	+$59	09-09 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$167	135	135	+0	Down	+$32	09-06 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$153	131	131	+0	Down	+$25	09-06 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:15 UTC	2	$124	127	127	+0	Down	+$48	07-16 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 09:05 UTC	2	$96	78	78	+0	Down	+$34	07-16 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$96	67	67	+0	Up	+$34	09-06 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$92	65	65	+0	Up	+$30	05-30 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 11:30 UTC	3	$91	61	61	+0	Up	+$29	07-16 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$76	49	49	+0	Up	+$14	09-06 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$75	185	0	+185	Up	-$75	09-11 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:55 UTC	2	$75	61	61	+0	Up	+$13	07-16 02:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:40 UTC	1	$73	144	0	+144	Down	-$73	07-27 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$66	181	181	+0	Up	-$48	05-31 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:10 UTC	1	$63	127	0	+127	Up	+$64	07-18 04:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:10 UTC	1	$63	129	0	+129	Down	-$63	07-16 16:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 10:20 UTC	1	$63	165	0	+165	Down	-$63	08-28 10:20
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$63	118	0	+118	Down	+$55	07-23 11:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:05 UTC	2	$62	166	0	+166	Down	-$62	07-23 13:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:35 UTC	2	$53	39	39	+0	Down	+$13	07-16 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$52	83	51	+32	Down	-$8	05-30 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$51	34	34	+0	Down	+$17	09-11 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$49	34	34	+0	Up	+$19	09-02 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	3	$45	30	30	+0	Up	+$15	09-10 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$44	34	34	+0	Down	+$14	05-31 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 08:30 UTC	2	$44	29	29	+0	Down	+$14	08-25 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:25 UTC	2	$44	30	30	+0	Down	+$14	07-20 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$44	82	0	+82	Up	+$38	09-06 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	2	$44	29	29	+0	Up	+$14	08-28 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 12:10 UTC	2	$43	28	28	+0	Down	+$13	08-18 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	185	41¢	$75	0x842efb…
09-11 13:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xe608d8…
09-11 13:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x66afa0…
09-11 13:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x96fb0a…
09-11 13:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xe8aeeb…
09-11 12:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x252146…
09-11 12:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c9bbc…
09-11 12:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2f348a…
09-11 06:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x49ca1e…
09-11 06:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0xebe789…
09-11 06:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf42e13…
09-11 06:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6e7f87…
09-11 06:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x41c432…
09-11 05:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8a7399…
09-10 12:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x377267…
09-10 12:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x90963f…
09-10 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x378bb4…
09-10 11:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2df03c…
09-10 11:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x07acdf…
09-10 11:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9d358c…
09-10 11:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1ce72b…
09-10 09:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x815e50…
09-10 08:59:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf7a75a…
09-10 08:59:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e9192…
09-10 08:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xe45096…
09-10 07:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xab76fa…
09-10 07:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6616cf…
09-10 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x916105…
09-10 07:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x566717…
09-10 03:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xc88869…
09-10 03:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x293cb8…
09-10 03:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xb56e1d…
09-10 03:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xdcd2f0…
09-10 02:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x187181…
09-10 01:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0x6c74e8…
09-10 01:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x073117…
09-10 00:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbb4832…
09-09 16:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0xaad24e…
09-09 16:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x10f874…
09-09 14:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x13eee1…
09-09 14:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2a8e8e…
09-09 14:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x23de86…
09-09 14:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x960c0c…
09-09 14:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7e575e…
09-09 14:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd98c46…
09-09 14:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x96ee03…
09-09 14:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2a71e9…
09-09 14:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfe7bed…
09-09 13:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8923f6…
09-09 13:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7a9b0a…
09-09 13:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x1e8bd9…
09-09 13:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	123	51¢	$63	0x52b7c5…
09-09 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x89d3fe…
09-09 13:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xb824bb…
09-09 13:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x762eb8…
09-09 13:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xf51eb3…
09-09 13:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x7e4357…
09-09 12:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd69fc4…
09-09 12:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x920744…
09-09 12:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1b23eb…
09-09 10:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb3c4fc…
09-09 09:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x9e54dc…
09-09 09:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e60f3…
09-09 03:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8672be…
09-09 03:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7e1f16…
09-09 02:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4f948c…
09-09 02:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3ab8d7…
09-09 01:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3a6180…
09-09 01:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x40ca1d…
09-08 14:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa6d280…
09-08 11:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd71b90…
09-08 11:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3cf51d…
09-08 11:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xaae657…
09-08 11:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x85d3d1…
09-08 11:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcb1bd0…
09-08 11:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0c3300…
09-08 10:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5bf163…
09-08 10:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x75c7bc…
09-08 09:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x6a3735…
09-08 09:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb4a6f9…
09-08 09:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1489f0…
09-08 07:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9254bb…
09-08 07:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa02946…
09-08 03:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1a116f…
09-08 03:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa34026…
09-08 03:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x75f519…
09-08 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbfb6e2…
09-08 02:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbabd9d…
09-07 09:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x210648…
09-07 09:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7b35de…
09-07 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x911a42…
09-07 09:20:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd8223e…
09-07 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xb2bcd0…
09-07 09:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9cdd9b…
09-07 09:10:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xeee075…
09-07 07:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x73d126…
09-07 07:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd80b6a…
09-07 05:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x3e7aad…
09-07 05:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x048e62…
09-07 05:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc8d9c5…