Mountainous-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$65

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-12 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

54% 33% $-6

Politics

28% 100% +$2

Crypto

18% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	+7	$6	99¢	$7	+$1	05-07 21:56
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	+7	$6	90¢	$6	+$0	05-08 08:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	+6	$6	98¢	$6	+$0	05-12 15:38
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?	No	+7	$6	90¢	$6	+$0	05-12 15:38
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?	No	+7	$6	90¢	$6	$-0	05-12 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:38:04	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa46eac…
05-12 15:38:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xf0e7d0…
05-12 15:38:04	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x5e9a62…
05-11 10:36:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x612aa9…
05-09 12:11:51	Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x376fe0…
05-08 08:26:00	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x9b37e8…
05-08 08:25:58	Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb8f880…
05-07 21:56:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xbf2bdf…
05-07 21:36:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xbd9cb2…
05-07 11:41:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x00f6d0…
05-07 11:35:13	Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0xa15972…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$1.11K	11	05-13 20:58
Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977	3	$712	21	05-12 04:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$6	18	0	+18	Yes	$-6	05-07 21:36
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-08 08:26
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	05-07 11:41
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-12 15:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	05-11 10:36
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$1	05-08 08:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-07 21:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-12 15:38
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-16?	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-12 15:38
Will annual inflation increase by 3.9% in April?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-09 12:11
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?	1	$5	0	6	-6	No	$-1	05-07 11:35