Mountainous-Defense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.2%

Resolved

Trades

345

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-08 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 80% $-4

Other

27% 100% +$2

Politics

26% 100% +$1

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$396	471	0	+471	open	—	08-05 13:49
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$250	312	0	+312	open	—	08-05 14:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	4	$78	43	43	+0	open	—	05-27 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$60	91	0	+91	open	—	05-25 14:24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	4	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	05-22 20:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$52	42	22	+20	open	—	05-26 21:47
0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	1	$51	230	0	+230	open	—	08-05 17:13
Will RC Deportivo de la Coruna achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	05-24 11:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	05-22 09:19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	5	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	05-26 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	7	$41	49	43	+6	open	—	05-21 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 13:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-22 14:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-22 06:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 23?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 14:58
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	05-21 13:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	3	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-25 15:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-25 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$40	88	0	+88	open	—	05-25 14:37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 24?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-23 23:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-24 09:26
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 May 18-24?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-22 06:49
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-25 13:11
will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	2	$39	23	23	+0	open	—	06-23 17:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 21:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 09:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	05-25 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$38	89	50	+39	open	—	05-25 12:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	05-25 07:39
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	2	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	05-25 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 07:04:43	btc updown 5m 1786172400	Down	SELL	30	68¢	$21	0x1cd483…
08-08 07:04:09	btc updown 5m 1786172400	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbbaaf6…
08-08 07:03:10	btc updown 5m 1786172400	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x5906b1…
08-06 11:25:56	btc updown 5m 1786015500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x369fd8…
08-06 11:25:54	btc updown 5m 1786015500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1f7613…
08-06 11:24:21	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4510bd…
08-06 11:24:12	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x15cc12…
08-06 11:24:05	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x733ea4…
08-06 11:23:57	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa0d598…
08-06 11:22:12	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x6b2eb6…
08-06 11:22:11	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe25964…
08-06 11:22:11	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x40b7bf…
08-06 11:22:11	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x06b0d8…
08-06 11:20:20	btc updown 5m 1786015200	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfa8250…
08-05 17:46:56	btc updown 5m 1785951900	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6f8f69…
08-05 17:36:32	btc updown 5m 1785951300	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x763dfb…
08-05 17:13:06	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	Yes	BUY	230	22¢	$51	0xf16894…
08-05 14:04:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	312	80¢	$250	0xfae1bd…
08-05 13:49:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	471	84¢	$396	0x71134e…
08-03 13:07:45	btc updown 5m 1785762300	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcbe591…
08-03 13:07:44	btc updown 5m 1785762300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf4bc01…
07-31 21:17:39	btc updown 5m 1785532500	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbd3da8…
07-31 21:17:23	btc updown 5m 1785532500	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x66873b…
07-31 21:17:15	btc updown 5m 1785532500	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x31735f…
07-31 15:05:47	btc updown 5m 1785510300	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe67665…
06-23 17:28:13	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	Yes	SELL	23	82¢	$19	0xe145d7…
06-23 17:28:13	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	No	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0xd91299…
06-23 13:28:02	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 29b	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x5819e6…
06-23 13:28:02	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x1babac…
06-23 09:18:23	btc updown 5m 1782206100	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x793101…
06-23 09:16:55	btc updown 5m 1782206100	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2fae1e…
05-30 23:28:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x0490cb…
05-30 13:03:11	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x97dd28…
05-30 05:25:44	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xda97cd…
05-29 15:43:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x9f7f2e…
05-29 08:51:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf81dcd…
05-29 06:56:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x43157d…
05-29 03:30:55	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x4ec5af…
05-29 03:26:57	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xdc0372…
05-28 15:40:22	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x7130fa…
05-28 13:08:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x9652e9…
05-28 07:55:11	Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xca7653…
05-28 06:42:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd70dbe…
05-28 06:21:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xfbfd6f…
05-28 03:52:59	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x690269…
05-28 02:14:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x55147d…
05-28 00:25:00	Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1dbf92…
05-27 22:58:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe21adf…
05-27 18:39:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x61a71a…
05-27 18:10:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x5e676d…
05-27 06:10:54	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0xbfae40…
05-27 03:31:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x8e65d4…
05-27 03:09:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x6a9a53…
05-27 03:02:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xeabdd1…
05-27 02:51:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x48e17e…
05-27 01:32:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdaa386…
05-26 23:41:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x146d99…
05-26 22:38:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x095f9a…
05-26 22:33:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xa6edb3…
05-26 21:47:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xcaf3c8…
05-26 18:45:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x6a9ec6…
05-26 18:44:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x20f4e5…
05-26 17:51:01	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x35e686…
05-26 17:36:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd76587…
05-26 17:18:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x8b7a60…
05-26 16:12:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$13	0x711871…
05-26 16:09:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa29574…
05-26 14:14:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x7a43ef…
05-26 06:15:02	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x7c9420…
05-26 00:39:29	Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?	No	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x844505…
05-25 22:38:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x4cf7bc…
05-25 16:28:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x5c4405…
05-25 15:32:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x64802a…
05-25 15:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xcc803a…
05-25 14:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfb84f8…
05-25 14:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x015384…
05-25 14:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x47c94f…
05-25 14:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	31¢	$6	0x7488d4…
05-25 14:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x1de2c6…
05-25 14:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x4960b5…
05-25 14:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x9c4e8b…
05-25 14:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xda109d…
05-25 14:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x6a8826…
05-25 14:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x9f9562…
05-25 14:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xc2cd01…
05-25 14:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb282a8…
05-25 14:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xdc40e4…
05-25 14:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6a85bf…
05-25 13:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x401882…
05-25 13:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6c04bb…
05-25 13:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xf0d942…
05-25 13:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x85caba…
05-25 13:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x513894…
05-25 13:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x270413…
05-25 13:11:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x57a0b8…
05-25 13:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb3ce93…
05-25 13:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9f2abb…
05-25 13:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0bf38b…
05-25 13:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcffb41…
05-25 13:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x70f664…