Sad-Evidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$450

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

642

Trades

817

lifetime

Volume

$3.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-06 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 43% -$441

Other

6% 54% -$9

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 19:30 UTC	2	$506	523	+523	Down	+$4	04-11 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:20 UTC	1	$100	102	+102	Up	+$2	04-11 18:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 00:30 UTC	1	$43	45	+45	Down	+$3	04-07 00:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 05:15 UTC	3	$33	50	+50	Up	-$33	04-03 05:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-03 03:30 UTC	1	$27	45	+45	Up	-$27	04-03 03:39
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 16:45 UTC	4	$27	29	+29	Up	+$2	04-12 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 19:45 UTC	4	$25	60	+60	Up	+$35	04-01 19:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 23:30 UTC	7	$25	105	+105	Up	-$25	04-01 23:36
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 22:15 UTC	15	$25	250	+250	Down	-$25	04-01 22:22
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 20:15 UTC	1	$23	70	+70	Down	-$23	04-01 20:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 22:00 UTC	2	$21	192	+192	Down	-$21	04-01 22:05
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 00:15 UTC	1	$18	50	+50	Down	-$18	04-07 00:22
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 19:45 UTC	1	$16	94	+94	Down	-$16	04-01 19:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 03:00 UTC	1	$12	26	+26	Down	-$12	04-07 03:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 21:15 UTC	1	$12	50	+50	Up	-$12	04-02 21:23
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:15 UTC	10	$12	73	+73	Up	-$12	04-17 19:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-12 14:30 UTC	2	$12	39	+39	Down	-$4	04-12 14:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 17:00 UTC	2	$11	52	+52	Up	-$11	04-15 17:09
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 15:15 UTC	2	$10	29	+29	Up	-$10	04-11 15:21
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 10:30 UTC	2	$10	42	+42	Down	-$10	04-11 10:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 10:15 UTC	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	04-07 10:26
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	04-07 09:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:00 UTC	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	04-07 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:50 UTC	1	$9	10	+10	Up	+$1	04-07 08:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:00 UTC	1	$9	10	+10	Up	+$1	04-07 08:02
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 11:15 UTC	2	$9	41	+41	Down	+$5	04-11 11:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:10 UTC	1	$9	10	+10	Up	+$1	04-07 08:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:45 UTC	1	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	04-07 07:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-07 10:00 UTC	1	$9	9	+9	Down	+$0	04-07 10:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:45 UTC	1	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	04-07 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 16:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6fab85…
05-06 16:09:33	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x39505d…
05-06 14:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x129e64…
05-06 13:19:06	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x4aa3d8…
05-06 13:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x644834…
05-06 13:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x772789…
05-06 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x885f10…
05-06 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x45af7b…
05-06 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x28adbd…
05-06 10:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4eed05…
05-06 02:24:42	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xb2692e…
05-05 12:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xad90de…
05-05 12:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4271e5…
05-04 16:08:34	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xa4df03…
05-04 15:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xd5bb2d…
05-04 15:42:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0xaaea27…
05-04 15:38:10	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x3b6777…
05-04 15:37:54	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x974b96…
05-04 15:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x47a34e…
05-04 15:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0x76f71b…
05-04 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xca08c6…
05-04 15:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x5fc7cc…
05-04 15:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5b7715…
05-04 13:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x44c295…
05-04 13:22:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x33ef74…
05-04 13:10:20	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x8fdfa8…
05-04 10:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdb1163…
05-04 10:36:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xf83f04…
05-04 02:27:00	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x6257b3…
05-04 02:23:42	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x160b90…
05-04 02:19:48	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x32960c…
05-04 02:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8e2679…
05-04 02:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x54a5cd…
05-02 21:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x82086a…
05-02 21:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x1bfa27…
05-02 21:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4c6856…
05-02 21:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1cf42d…
05-02 21:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x015330…
05-01 12:43:48	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0xb7f998…
05-01 12:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x8eb0bc…
05-01 12:43:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x4a3cc9…
05-01 12:43:46	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xce78f2…
05-01 12:34:18	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x83b211…
05-01 12:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8e0207…
05-01 12:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd7ee0a…
04-30 15:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x304869…
04-30 15:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x41b5d3…
04-29 18:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x493c5a…
04-29 18:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x94f924…
04-29 18:20:56	BNB Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8ae908…
04-29 16:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6a6805…
04-29 15:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x078a68…
04-29 14:40:40	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x674c1d…
04-29 14:40:40	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$1	0x3bd3df…
04-29 14:35:56	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0x3164c5…
04-29 14:35:54	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xd15458…
04-29 14:35:54	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x676c58…
04-29 13:34:50	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x206681…
04-29 13:34:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc8ffd3…
04-27 16:08:16	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8017fd…
04-27 16:08:14	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x736dd2…
04-27 16:06:08	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x825eac…
04-27 15:24:10	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xb28fe2…
04-26 22:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc51b71…
04-24 11:21:56	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0xb159c9…
04-24 11:21:56	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-24 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x05c476…
04-23 19:09:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x23b1e0…
04-23 18:21:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe74648…
04-23 17:51:46	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x7e91aa…
04-23 17:50:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xaa0efc…
04-23 14:21:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x46afcd…
04-23 14:21:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x11b073…
04-23 14:08:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x19a920…
04-23 13:49:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8737e2…
04-23 03:49:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x33f10b…
04-23 02:36:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xb2104d…
04-23 00:19:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd41e57…
04-22 19:56:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xed0e9b…
04-22 19:55:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x78206b…
04-22 17:35:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe4f911…
04-22 17:35:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x770721…
04-22 14:07:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5ef4f8…
04-22 13:53:56	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa5dba5…
04-22 13:53:36	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc0d5de…
04-22 05:55:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xb52175…
04-22 03:05:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x84afe4…
04-22 02:53:46	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc0a7d2…
04-22 02:53:46	BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x897e80…
04-21 18:54:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x69a205…
04-21 18:05:32	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf77867…
04-21 17:42:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x363ada…
04-21 15:07:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xf7a633…
04-21 12:37:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x69dbfd…
04-21 06:37:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x53d7e4…
04-20 14:34:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcbd1ab…
04-20 13:08:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfca9e0…
04-20 12:21:20	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2494b4…
04-20 09:07:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x216f9c…
04-20 09:06:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae8e26…
04-20 08:22:30	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x138571…